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Bitwise: Bitcoin Could Rise to $1.6 Million by 2036 Under Base Case Scenario

Odaily News: Bitwise has released its "2027 Bitcoin Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions" report, forecasting Bitcoin's returns, volatility, and correlation with equities over the next 10 years. Bitwise stated that under its base case scenario, Bitcoin is expected to rise to $1.6 million by 2036.

ESMA Adds BingX and YouHodler to MiCA Register, Registered Providers Rise to 375

Odaily reports: The European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) has updated the EU's Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCA) register, adding 9 new crypto-asset service providers (CASPs), including BingX's Austrian entity MEGE zweite, bringing the number of independently registered CASPs to 375.The register also includes the Italian subsidiary of crypto lending platform YouHodler, which has been authorized to provide custody, crypto-asset trading, order execution, and transfer services. Openbank Deutschland, the German subsidiary of Banco Santander's Openbank, is also on the newly added list.Spain's Prakma Markets and Germany's VR-Bank Alb-Blau-Donau and VR Bank im südlichen Franken have likewise been added to the register. Denmark's Penning Financial Services no longer appears on the latest list.The electronic money token (EMT) register still contains 50 records involving 25 independent entities; the asset-referenced token (ART) register remains empty. The non-compliant crypto-asset service provider (NCASP) register increased by 5 entries to 178. (Cointelegraph)

Arthur Hayes: OpenAI and Anthropic Have No Value—The Bigger the AI Bubble, the Higher Bitcoin Will Rise

Odaily reports: BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes said on the Convergence program on October 16 that OpenAI, Anthropic, and SpaceX are all unprofitable, and that AI model companies rely on debt financing, equity financing, and implicit support from the U.S. government.The Nasdaq 100 index fell 2.5%, and chip stocks declined for an eighth consecutive day, marking the longest losing streak since 2008. On October 17, Bitcoin's price was close to $81,400. A Bank of America analyst said the $1 trillion AI investment boom may follow a typical boom-and-bust cycle.Hayes believes that the bigger the AI bubble, the larger the subsequent bailout will be, and the higher Bitcoin's price will go. He also said Bitcoin can reflect wasted capital. He also criticized token issuance methods, saying that retail investors who bought at TGE and then suffered a 95% drop were the ones who got hurt. (Bitcoin.com News)

Metis Launches Rise Monthly Developer Incentive Program to Reward Teams Deploying AI Agents on Andromeda Mainnet

Odaily News: On October 8, Metis announced the launch of the Metis Rise monthly developer incentive program, rewarding teams that deploy new AI Agents on the Metis Andromeda mainnet, acquire real users, and generate real on-chain economic activity.Metis stated that while many teams can currently build Agents capable of answering questions, Agents that can get paid, prove their identity, and earn sustained transaction trust remain scarce. Metis Rise aims to support developers in exploring this direction, help developers innovate, and drive the growth of AI Agent applications within the Metis ecosystem.Metis also stated that it is building an execution and data layer for AI Agents, and that Andromeda's decentralized sequencer (DSeq) can eliminate the single point of failure that trustless transactions between Agents depend on.The program focuses on the "economic usability" of AI Agents, covering four categories of needs: payments (x402), identity (ERC-8004), stablecoin escrow (Escrow), and independently verifiable on-chain signature receipts.In terms of participation thresholds, developers need to meet the following conditions each month:- At least 15 valid monthly active users;- Each counted user must complete at least 3 qualifying transactions on Metis Andromeda, or settle an amount of no less than $2 (m.USDC, m.USDT, or METIS);- Primary user transactions, settlement volume, and Gas consumption must occur on the Metis Andromeda mainnet.The program is open to all developers, but is limited to projects newly deployed on the Andromeda mainnet. It supports any AI Agent framework and hosting method, including ClawUp, GOAT AgentKit, or self-built backends, and supports a dual-chain architecture based on GOAT Network. Metis Rise is hosted by Metis, with ClawUp, GOAT Network, and LazAI as ecosystem partners.

Futures Highlights: Coke Prices Drop, Iron Ore Inventories Rise, Agricultural Data Updated

This issue's futures highlights cover a slight rise in shipping indices, the implementation of coke price cuts, and rising iron ore inventories. It also covers downward revisions to China's soybean production, detailed regulations on sugar import quotas, and Malaysia's edible oil subsidy policy.

Ethereum Completes Fix Ahead of Glamsterdam Upgrade Testing, Sepolia Testnet Gas Limit to Rise to 200 Million

Odaily News: The Ethereum development team has completed an emergency software update ahead of the Glamsterdam upgrade testing on the Sepolia testnet, fixing an issue that could cause some validators to produce low-capacity blocks. This test will raise the Sepolia network's Gas limit from approximately 60 million to 200 million, validating Ethereum's future efforts to enhance network processing capacity.Glamsterdam is Ethereum's next major upgrade, and Sepolia, as a testnet, will be the first to deploy the related improvements to simulate the upgrade's effects. Gas is the unit that measures the computational capacity a block can handle on Ethereum. Raising the Gas limit means a single block can accommodate more transactions and more complex on-chain operations, but it also increases the computational burden on node operators.Ethereum validator client Prysm released version 7.2.1 on Monday evening, adding the 200 million Gas limit configuration. The previous version was released before the relevant Sepolia parameter adjustments, so if validators did not manually modify their settings, they would still operate under the 60 million Gas limit. This update ensures that validating nodes can participate in the Glamsterdam test as expected. (CoinDesk)

CertiK Report: From Assistive Tools to "AI Employees," Agentic AI Reshapes Security and Compliance Work

Odaily News — Web3 security firm CertiK today officially released its Intel3D report, "The Rise of AI Employees: How Agentic AI Is Reshaping Cybersecurity, Anti-Money Laundering, and Compliance." The report notes that AI is transitioning from an assistive tool that helps analysts identify issues to a member of the working team capable of conducting investigations, making judgments, and executing remediation tasks within defined permissions. This shift is reshaping security and compliance processes across traditional finance and Web3, and is also raising new requirements for how enterprises supervise AI, define permission boundaries, and allocate responsibility.The report also cautions that model misjudgments, prompt injection, and adversaries' exploitation of AI may introduce new risks. As AI begins to hold and trade digital assets, its own behavior must also be subject to audit. CertiK recommends that enterprises establish governance mechanisms covering permission boundaries, human approval, decision records, and division of responsibilities, and conduct regular red-team testing; these mechanisms must be improved in tandem with AI's execution capabilities to support "AI employees" in continuously creating value for security and compliance work under supervision and accountability.

Peter Brandt: ETH Could Rise to $8,600 After Breaking $5,000

veteran trader Peter Brandt stated that his long-term ETH chart shows that if ETH breaks above $5,000, the price could eventually rise to $8,600. The higher target marked on the chart is $8,674.50.Brandt emphasized that publishing a chart or making a price judgment is not the same as an actual trade, and those claiming to have completed a trade need to provide proof of the trade. His commodity trading career began in 1976, and he founded Factor Trading Co. in 1980. (Bitcoin News)

Gate gStocks Sees Multiple Popular Assets Rise, Qualcomm Leads Gains

Odaily News: Trading activity for popular US stocks and tech-related assets continues to heat up, with multiple stock tokens on Gate gStocks showing active performance. According to the latest market data from Gate, Qualcomm (QCOMG/USDT) posted a 24-hour gain of 4.57%, last trading at $188.21; MiniMax (MINIMAXG/USDT) rose 3.98% over 24 hours, last at $31.89; Zhipu AI (ZHIPUG/USDT) gained 2.45% in 24 hours, last at $91.62.Gate gStocks adopts a 1:1 fully-backed native stock reserve mechanism, where each tokenized security is backed by an equivalent number of native shares as the underlying asset. It supports 7×24-hour trading, unified account management, a minimum investment of 1 USDT, and fractional share trading. Users can participate more flexibly in global popular stock investments, achieving one-stop allocation across digital assets and traditional securities. As the tokenized securities ecosystem continues to expand, Gate gStocks will keep adding more high-quality stocks and ETF targets, offering users more diversified global asset allocation options.

Analysis: SpaceX Likely to See Over $10 Billion in Passive Net Buying; Weight in Nasdaq 100 Expected to Rise

According to Odaily, SpaceX's stock price has recently been fluctuating within a narrow range, but a new wave of buying may arrive soon as the Nasdaq 100 Index undergoes its quarterly rebalancing later this month. Due to lock-up restrictions, SpaceX has a relatively low proportion of freely floating shares, which currently gives it a weight of only 1.25% in the Nasdaq 100 Index, ranking 19th. Despite its market capitalization exceeding $2 trillion, placing it sixth among the index's constituents.Following the next index rebalancing, SpaceX's weight is expected to increase. The adjustments will be announced after the market close on Friday and take effect on September 21. This is partly because more than 1 billion shares have already been unlocked, raising SpaceX's free-float shares from less than 10% of total shares outstanding shortly after the IPO to nearly 30%.According to a report released Tuesday by J.P. Morgan Securities strategists including Min Moon, SpaceX's weight could rise to 1.51% after the rebalancing, which would trigger approximately $12.4 billion in passive net buying of SpaceX shares by index funds and ETFs. Nasdaq data shows that as of the end of the second quarter, approximately $1.7 trillion in assets were tracking the Nasdaq 100 Index, including the Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 exchange-traded fund, widely known by its ticker QQQ.

BIT: Bitcoin Records Strongest Rally Since 2023 Banking Crisis as Expectations for Macro Policy Support Rise

In its published analysis, BIT notes that Bitcoin is experiencing its strongest rally since the collapses of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank in March 2023. During that period, US authorities implemented emergency measures to stabilize the banking system, and the current market sentiment mirrors that era—the recent interventions by the US Treasury in the Japanese yen FX market and bond markets have heightened investor expectations for further macroeconomic policy support. Meanwhile, the SEC's proposed regulatory framework for crypto assets has sent increasingly favorable signals, further bolstering market sentiment. BIT's official Chinese-language analysis indicates that Bitcoin has regained its upward momentum, aligning closely with the scenarios discussed in research over the past several weeks.

Gate gStocks Multiple Stock Tokens Rise, SOXSG Up Over 12% in 24 Hours

Odaily News: According to latest Gate market data, multiple tokens in the Gate gStocks stock token sector have shown impressive 24-hour performance. The top three gainers are: Direxion 3x Inverse Semiconductor ETF (SOXSG/USDT), up 12.10% in 24 hours; AbbVie (ABBVG/USDT), up 3.66% in 24 hours; and Eli Lilly (LLYG/USDT), up 3.36% in 24 hours.Gate gStocks supports 7×24-hour trading, unified account management, and low-barrier participation, allowing users to invest in global stocks. Going forward, Gate gStocks will continue to expand its offerings with more high-quality stocks and ETFs.

Standard Chartered: RWA Tokenization Could Reach $4 Trillion, LINK May Rise to $200 by End of 2030

Odaily News: Standard Chartered Bank's Head of Global Digital Assets Research, Geoff Kendrick, stated that as the tokenization of Real World Assets (RWA) accelerates, the price of Chainlink (LINK) tokens could rise to $200 by the end of 2030, representing an increase of over 25 times from its current level of approximately $8.In his latest report, Kendrick predicts that the scale of tokenized RWA will reach $4 trillion by the end of 2028. As more traditional assets are brought on-chain, the demand for secure and reliable off-chain data is expected to increase significantly, which could further boost Chainlink's fee revenue and drive up LINK's valuation.The report also projects that by the end of 2030, the scale of tokenized assets and crypto-native assets deployed in decentralized finance (DeFi) will grow approximately 37-fold to reach $2.7 trillion. Kendrick believes these assets require trusted data, cross-network interoperability, privacy-preserving compliance mechanisms, and integration with the existing financial system—infrastructure that Chainlink currently has the capability to provide.Demand for RWA tokenization has continued to grow recently. Data shows that trading volume of tokenized RWAs on decentralized exchanges (DEXs) hit an all-time high of $14.1 billion in July, up 19.5% month-over-month, driven primarily by public market assets such as tokenized stocks.Currently, Chainlink remains one of the largest decentralized oracle service providers in the crypto industry, with a Total Value Secured (TVS) of approximately $34.4 billion—significantly higher than second-ranked Chronicle's $7.36 billion.However, Kendrick also noted that the prediction of LINK reaching $200 still faces risks, including institutional tokenization projects progressing slower than expected, intensified competition from specialized oracle service providers, and potential technical issues. (Cointelegraph)

DeFi Overall Deposits Decline 15%, RWA Deposits Rise Against Trend to $7.4 Billion

According to BeInCrypto, a latest report jointly released by CoinShares and Token Terminal shows that over the past year (Q2 2025 to Q2 2026), the deposit volume of tokenized real-world assets (RWA) in the DeFi sector increased from $2.3 billion to $7.4 billion, a year-on-year increase of more than twofold, while total DeFi deposits declined by approximately 15% during the same period. The growth was primarily concentrated in yield-bearing products, including tokenized treasury bonds and multi-strategy funds (such as JTRSY, BUIDL, sUSDS), with Aave, Morpho, and Kamino providing the deepest liquidity. Meanwhile, on-chain RWA spot trading volume increased by approximately 220% year-on-year, while native crypto spot trading volume on decentralized exchanges fell by approximately 70%.

Analysis: U.S. Stock Index Futures Rise as Market Focus Shifts Back to Corporate Earnings and Oil Prices

Odaily News, On the first trading day of this month, U.S. stock index futures opened higher as market attention shifted to this week's densely packed earnings releases. Additionally, the drop in oil prices on Monday also boosted market sentiment.Matt Orton, Chief Market Strategist at Raymond James Financial, said: "Earnings reports will remain the primary focus of the market, with about 15% of S&P 500 index components, by market value, set to release results soon." He noted that the energy, healthcare, utilities, and industrial sectors are worth watching, as these sectors have "benefited from the recent market rotation." He added that "the earnings reports from these sectors will help determine whether this relative strength is fundamentally sustainable."

Analysis: US Treasury Yields Rise to Highs, Four Major Risk Factors Weighing on Bitcoin Rebound

CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler pointed out in a weekly report analysis that the US 10-year Treasury yield has recently risen to approximately 4.7%, approaching the upper limit of the range over the past five years. The high-interest rate environment is tightening financial conditions, raising financing costs and asset discount rates, and increasing pressure on risk assets.

Bitwise: Crypto Stocks Rise 23% in First Half of 2026, Outperforming Most Major Asset Classes

Bitwise released a report stating that while crypto asset prices fell by approximately 36% in the first half of 2026, crypto-related stocks rose by 23%. This performance trailed only emerging market stocks, outpacing all other major asset classes. Bitwise Head of Research Ryan Rasmussen noted that the 30 crypto-related publicly listed companies in the Bitwise Crypto Innovators 30 Index outperformed the U.S. stock market by a factor of two, driven by factors including AI computing demand benefiting mining companies, stablecoin issuers, and asset tokenization platforms.Furthermore, according to Token Terminal data, the top ten crypto applications generated cumulative revenue of $5.9 billion over the past 12 months. PancakeSwap, Hyperliquid, and Aave ranked in the top three, with cumulative revenues of $923 million, $912 million, and $877 million, respectively.During the same period, the scale of tokenized real-world assets reached $33 billion in the second quarter, an increase of 45% from the beginning of the year; open interest in prediction markets hit an all-time high of $1.8 billion, with quarterly trading volume reaching $43 billion. (The Block)

AI Data Center Crusoe Plans to Raise $3 Billion, Valuation Could Rise to $30 Billion

AI data center Crusoe Energy Systems is in talks for a new round of financing worth approximately $3 billion. Upon completion of this round, the company's valuation is expected to roughly triple from the previous round, reaching the $30 billion range.Founded in 2018, Crusoe initially started with crypto-related businesses before transitioning into an AI infrastructure and data center service provider. It is currently categorized as one of the "neocloud" firms, a new type of cloud computing company focused on providing computational power support for generative AI. The company has signed compute supply contracts with tech giants including Meta and Oracle. As demand for AI infrastructure construction surges, the scale of its compute business continues to expand.According to previously public information, Crusoe completed a funding round of approximately $1.38 billion last year, with a valuation exceeding $10 billion. If this new round is successfully completed, it would become another large-scale capital move in the AI infrastructure sector.Market sources estimate that the final valuation for this round could be around the $30 billion level, but the deal is still in progress and has not yet been finalized. (Reuters)

Metaplanet Increases Bitcoin Holdings by Another 2,823 BTC, Total Holdings Rise to 43,000 BTC

According to an announcement released on Metaplanet Inc.'s official X account, Japanese listed Bitcoin treasury company Metaplanet (Tokyo Stock Exchange code: 3350) announced the purchase of an additional 2,823 BTC, bringing the total cumulative Bitcoin holdings to 43,000 BTC.

Ionic Digital Releases May Financial Report: Sold No BTC in May, Total Holdings Rise to 2,861 BTC

cryptocurrency mining company Ionic Digital has released its mining and operational update report for May 2026, disclosing a mining output of 24.77 BTC, representing a 21.1% month-over-month increase. During the period, the company did not sell any Bitcoin and maintained a zero-debt status, with total holdings rising to 2,861 BTC. The company also disclosed current average daily hashrate of 1.74 EH/s, an increase of 15.3% compared to the previous month. (Globenewswire)