News linked to both this project and an event.
trader Killa stated in a post that the FTX collapse once marked a market bottom, and the recent Binance hack incident may have a similar effect. He believes the best way to recoup losses is to drive prices up significantly rather than push them further down, noting that Binance holds billions of dollars worth of Bitcoin and has the financial capacity to launch billion-dollar-scale long positions, and that such operations may not be directly observable by retail investors.Killa also speculated that Binance may have generated approximately $1 billion in revenue through liquidations, slippage, and trading fees. Although the market may need some time to digest the short-term impact of this incident, he remains bullish on the medium- to long-term outlook for the crypto market.
Glassnode's latest report indicates Bitcoin's one-month realized volatility has dropped to approximately 25%, falling back to summer 2023 levels; since August, the realized losses triggered by each round of decline have continued to narrow, suggesting that selling pressure has eased somewhat. Glassnode believes that Bitcoin is currently in a range-bound state characterized by weak demand and limited selling pressure, with the market focused on the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision on October 28. If the daily close reclaims the $85,000 level, it could serve as an initial signal for a further rebound; if it breaks below the active investors' average cost of approximately $77,900, attention should be paid to short-term holder cost support near $75,800.Market data shows that Bitcoin has fallen back below the $84,000–$85,000 range, which has capped price gains four times this year. Inflows into U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have cooled notably, with net inflows of only about $67 million over the past two weeks; major buy-order support on Binance's spot order book has also shifted down to the $78,000–$79,000 range, amounting to approximately $42 million.
Morgan Stanley analyst Mike Wilson believes the U.S. stock market pullback that began in June is entering its final stage, but the S&P 500 index may still need to drop to the 7,100 to 7,200 range before a more sustained rally can begin.
Trader Killa posted that in a bull market, traders should seize the opportunity to go long when prices dip within an established range. However, because the market previously went through a bear market full of fake breakouts, many traders still habitually view every rebound as a bull trap. Bitcoin's trading range and bottom structure have already formed, with the area around $80,000 being a key zone. Although Bitcoin may still pull back again to sweep liquidity, it could ultimately just head higher directly, causing traders who keep waiting for lower prices to miss the move. Traders should follow the market trend rather than stubbornly clinging to a bearish scenario.
Odaily reports: Bankless founder David Hoffman reposted Lighter's regulatory update on X and wrote: "Lighter season back on btw."During Lighter's Q3 investor call held last night via webcast, David Hoffman, speaking as an investor, asked: "Given that Lighter has already had extensive prior communication with the CFTC (U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission), do you expect the approval of the DCM (Designated Contract Market) and DCO (Derivatives Clearing Organization) licenses to come earlier than the CFTC's stipulated 180-day review period?"Lighter founder and CEO Vladimir Novakovski responded: "We believe that the extensive prior communication will make the whole process much smoother... The CFTC currently has a lot on its plate, so we can't give an exact timeline yet... However, the CFTC is a fast-moving team internally, so we expect the overall approval process to go relatively smoothly."Previously, David Hoffman reportedly sold all his ETH and rotated into tokens such as LIT, ZEC, and NEAR, with the rotated tokens subsequently significantly outperforming ETH.
Odaily News: Trader Killa posted that Bitcoin has about 7% downside room to $75,000, while it has about 56% upside room to $126,000. The market may retest $75,000, or it may not happen at all—no one can be 100% certain. He reminded investors not to miss out on potential upside by waiting for a lower entry price. He noted that when Bitcoin was previously at $60,000, many investors missed the entire subsequent rally because they were waiting for $50,000. The market does not necessarily offer investors their ideal entry price, and even if the price reaches the target, investors may continue to raise their expectations.
Odaily reports: Trader Bonk Guy posted on X platform that despite a recent decline in PONS revenue, PONS remains the highest-fee and highest-revenue project in the Robinhood chain ecosystem across multiple timeframes including 24-hour, 3-day, and 7-day periods.Bonk Guy believes that the revenue decline is primarily driven by an overall drop in activity across the Robinhood chain, rather than a weakening of the project's own competitiveness. He stated that the Robinhood chain ecosystem may have reached a cyclical bottom, and if on-chain activity recovers, PONS revenue could resume growth and potentially become one of the leading tokens in the next ecosystem rally.
Odaily reports: Crypto trader Bonk Guy posted on X platform that the recent market pullback has led some investors to question long-term holders, but unrealized gains and losses are not the same as realized gains and losses — profits or losses are only realized upon selling.Unipcs believes that the real altcoin and Meme coin rally of this cycle has not yet begun, and advises investors to ignore short-term price fluctuations, continue holding or adding to their most confident investment targets, and avoid exiting prematurely before the anticipated rally arrives.
Odaily reports: CryptoQuant on-chain analyst Darkfost stated that Bitcoin (BTC) is currently clearly dominated by futures trading, with the ratio of Binance spot-to-futures trading volume at approximately 0.12, meaning futures account for roughly 90% of trading volume. Meanwhile, Binance BTC open interest fell from $10.6 billion to $9.2 billion over the past week, but spot demand remains weak, preventing the ratio from improving.Darkfost noted that the current rally is primarily driven by the futures market, and spot buying remains the missing piece. If spot demand fails to follow through, this rally could become unstable.
well-known trader Bonk Guy posted that MARSCOIN's current price action is "very clean," and predicted it may see a significant rally in Q4, adding that its fundamentals are also improving. According to the analyst, as BNB and BNB Chain gain greater influence in this cycle, MARSCOIN's "Musk + CZ" narrative has further strengthened. He noted that in the previous cycle, SHIB and DOGE market caps once surpassed $40 billion and $80 billion, respectively, while MARSCOIN this time will combine elements such as Musk, Binance founder CZ, and space rocket company SPCX. Binance has already provided support to the related ecosystem through SPCX rewards and a portion of its own trading fees, and the market may be underestimating MARSCOIN's potential performance over the next few months.
analyst Ali has noted that after the SUI weekly chart previously confirmed a macro buy signal, it rebounded from the bottom of the channel and has now reclaimed the mid-range around $1. Following this breakout above resistance, he is watching whether SUI's rally can continue and advance further toward the upper channel level near $1.40.
Odaily News: Bitcoin fell back to around $83,600 on Friday, down about 1% from the previous trading day, after briefly touching around $87,000, reaching that level for the first time in months. Market analysis suggests that the expiry of $1.56 billion in Bitcoin options on Deribit may have exacerbated short-term volatility, as market makers typically unwind their hedging positions after options expiry.Over the past 24 hours, BTC open interest and trading volume fell by 14.39% and 13.68% respectively, with long and short liquidations relatively balanced—long liquidations totaled $161.96 million and short liquidations $156.1 million—indicating that leveraged funds are readjusting. On the technical side, BTC's 50-day moving average remains above its 200-day moving average, forming a "golden cross," and the short-term trend is still viewed as relatively strong.Meanwhile, Bitcoin spot ETFs saw net inflows of $299.09 million on Friday, though this was lower than the single-day inflow levels seen earlier in the week. By contrast, XRP rose 4.37% over the past 24 hours and 15.45% over the past 7 days, currently trading at around $1.58; Solana rose 3.36% over the past 24 hours and 9.33% over the past 7 days, currently trading at around $119.84. The next macro data points the market is watching are the U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation data due on September 30 and the September nonfarm payrolls report due on October 2. (Decrypt)
Odaily - Renowned trader Bonk Guy posted on X that the Robinhood Chain ecosystem is currently performing well. Investors who buy the dip now may reap substantial returns in the coming months. This is the phase to accumulate positions for the next rally, and the next upward move in the Robinhood Chain ecosystem is expected to be more violent than any previous one.
According to BIT's weekly "On Target" report, BIT analysts identify two key market catalysts: first, U.S. debt has surpassed the psychological threshold of $40 trillion, and second, U.S. Treasury yields are approaching the critical 5.0% level. Since July 24, Bitcoin has accumulated gains of 22% and gold has risen 9.4%, confirming earlier forecasts. Macro cycle models indicate that the market is currently in the first phase of cyclical reflation, typically accompanied by a weakening U.S. dollar and rising commodity prices. Historical data indicates that during this phase: • Annualized returns for U.S. equities at approximately 29% • Annualized returns for gold at approximately 47% • Annualized returns for Bitcoin at approximately 73% Furthermore, between 2020 and 2026, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of U.S. debt has reached 8.59%, while the CAGR for M2 money supply stands at 6.02%, significantly outpacing the CPI's 4.11%. This sustained accumulation of long-term inflationary pressure further reinforces the allocation rationale for gold and Bitcoin.
Odaily News DWF Labs stated that last week, BTC and ETH ETFs recorded a combined net inflow of approximately $1.2 billion, marking the third consecutive week with inflows exceeding $1 billion — the first time since July 2025. Among this, BTC ETFs saw net inflows of around $987 million, with a single-day inflow of $731 million on September 3, ranking as the third highest this year. The AUM of BTC ETFs rose to $103.3 billion, accounting for approximately 6.32% of BTC's total supply.Meanwhile, open interest denominated in BTC dropped from 762,200 BTC in mid-August to 669,600 BTC. Over the same period, BTC climbed from around $63,000 to $80,000, indicating that the recent price movement has been driven more by spot capital flows rather than leverage.
Odaily News, the agent of the “1011 Insider Whale,” Garrett Jin, stated on the X platform that most “traders” missed this Bitcoin rally. When BTC dropped to $76,000, they advised waiting for $75,000, yet Bitcoin successfully held $76,600 and broke through $79,000, while also exploring higher highs. However, it is currently encountering resistance near the $82,500 level. Garrett Jin also noted that these traders are now suggesting taking profits at $85,000, and joked, “I doubt they are actually trading.”
Odaily News Trader BonkGuy (Unipcs) has posted again, stating that the market is not yet ready for the upcoming "BNB Season" and believes that the BNB Chain rally is about to begin.BonkGuy stated that he had previously flagged the Robinhood Chain opportunity for several consecutive weeks, and the subsequent rally validated his call. He believes a similar trend may now unfold on BNB Chain.
Trader BonkGuy (Unipcs) stated that he is monitoring trading opportunities across four chains — Robinhood Chain, Solana, BNB Chain, and Base — and described them as "the multi-chain Kingmaker trading portfolio that opens this cycle."BonkGuy noted that over the past week, the market has primarily focused on Robinhood Chain, but he expects Solana, BNB Chain, and Base to gradually become market focal points in the near future.
trader Ansem stated on X: "There is always a lag when TradFi companies integrate new crypto businesses, because those executives in suits often see the relevant data very late. I believe buying Robinhood (HOOD) right now is an excellent bet, as its technical chart has started to consolidate from the bottom, and they are adding a significant new revenue stream by launching Robinhood Crypto. In Q4, I expect HOOD to hit an all-time high (ATH), and then rally another 50% from there."
According to the weekly market report by Wintermute OTC trader @Jjay_dm, Fed Chair Warsh delivered a hawkish speech at Jackson Hole, reiterating the 2% inflation target and pushing the probability of a September rate hike to 61.9%, making the September 15-16 FOMC meeting a key catalyst for risk assets. In cross-asset performance, 20+ year US Treasuries led gains (+1.01%), followed by altcoins (+0.61%), the S&P 500 (+0.47%), and the Nasdaq (+0.42%). BTC closed flat (+0.10%), while ETH (-0.86%), the Russell 2000 (-1.40%), gold (-3.42%), and Brent crude oil (-4.31%) were the weakest performers. In the crypto market, BTC digesting its previous 23% rally, encountered repeated rejections at the $82k resistance level. It reached an intraday high of $81k earlier this week, dipped below $78k following Warsh's remarks, and ultimately closed flat. BTC ETFs posted nine consecutive days of net inflows totaling $924 million, with a first-time single-day outflow of $202 million on Friday. ETH ETFs logged net inflows of $816 million this week, with no single-day outflows. SOL and XRP ETFs both set new 2026 weekly inflow records, reaching $154 million and $110 million, respectively. Strategy increased its position again on Monday, raising $2 billion, with approximately $16