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Rally is a platform that enables creators, artists, celebrities, communities, and brands to build their own independent digital economies by launching their own social tokens and NFTs. Fans benefit from unreleased content, private communities, backstage passes, early-access to tickets, and exclusive merchandise, as well as showing their loyalty to their favorite creator by holding their coin.
Wintermute: BTC’s Recent Rally Clearly Driven by Leverage, Open Interest Surges While Spot Volume Slumps
Wintermute’s weekly market report indicates Bitcoin recently broke through $80,000 and briefly touched around $83,000, while also reclaiming the 200-day moving average for the first time in seven months. However, this rally is clearly more driven by leveraged capital rather than spot buying.The report notes that over the past month, Bitcoin open interest increased by approximately $10 billion, while spot trading volume dropped to a two-year low, a classic short squeeze scenario. Although ETFs still recorded net inflows of $623 million and BTC reserves on exchanges fell to a seven-year low, the current RSI has entered overbought territory. If spot buying fails to sustain after the short squeeze ends, BTC prices could face a rapid correction risk.Wintermute also stated that the current crypto market rally is more driven by the strength of US equities and the resonance of leverage, rather than an independent bull market narrative. Upcoming US CPI data and changes in Federal Reserve policy expectations will be key factors in determining whether BTC can stably hold above $80,000.
Analysis: BTC’s Rally Stalls Amid Japanese Inflation Data and Iran War-Driven Market Risk Aversion
According to CoinDesk, the cryptocurrency market weakened overall on Friday, with BTC hovering near $77,800—its upward momentum since Wednesday’s rally from $65,000 notably slowing. ETH traded at $2,300, down approximately 0.8% over the past 24 hours, underperforming BTC. Market pressure stems primarily from two sources: First, Japan’s March Corporate Services Price Index rose 3.1% year-on-year—above expectations—and core inflation accelerated, raising market expectations that the Bank of Japan may signal an interest rate hike at its next policy meeting; a stronger yen could trigger unwinding of global risk-asset carry trades. Second, the ongoing Iran conflict continues disrupting oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz; WTI crude futures have surged over 40% since the outbreak of hostilities, reaching $96 per barrel. The U.S. Department of Defense warned that mine clearance will take at least six months, implying persistent global inflationary pressures and further constraining the Federal Reserve’s room to cut interest rates.
Ansem: JTO and HYPE Lead the Market Rally, WLD Rides OpenAI Narrative
trader Ansem posted on X platform, stating that JTO and HYPE are the strongest performing assets in today's market, clearly leading the rest of the tokens.Ansem also noted that WLD's performance slightly trails JTO and HYPE, but benefits from the narrative tied to OpenAI, maintaining a relatively strong upward trend overall.
Analyst: Coinbase Faces Critical Support Test Next Week; Holding Above $141 Could Trigger a Rally to $185
Crypto analyst Ali posted on X, stating that Coinbase will face a critical technical test next week. If it holds above $141, it could trigger a rebound and potentially rally toward $185; however, if it breaks below this key support level, further downside risk looms, with a potential target near $74. Meanwhile, analyst Hussein Kashmar noted that the weekly support level at $145 is also highly significant—this zone has historically attracted strong buying interest. Market participants are now watching closely to see whether bulls can successfully defend this current support area. Should buying pressure fail to materialize effectively, Coinbase may retreat further into the prior breakout range of $100–$115.
CryptoQuant Analyst: Bitcoin Short-Term Holders Exit on Rally Rather Than Holding Positions
CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler stated Bitcoin has recently attempted to breach the $82,000 level three times, but each time it has faced a pullback. During each rebound, the STH-SOPR indicator rose to around 1.0 before weakening again, indicating that short-term holders are taking advantage of the uptrend to continuously exit with profits, rather than continuing to hold positions. Currently, $82,000 is not only a key technical resistance level but also an important selling pressure zone from a market behavior perspective, having formed a strong supply zone.
Analyst: Bitcoin Rejected Again at $82,000, Short-Term Holders Still Selling on Every Rally
Odaily Odaily News: Analyst Axel Adler Jr. posted on X platform, stating that Bitcoin has been rejected at $82,000 again, marking the third failure at this level. The short-term holder SOPR indicator has still failed to stay above 1.0, indicating that short-term holders continue to sell during each rally. Currently, crude oil is near $106, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has dropped 537 points, and interest rates face the risk of remaining elevated for a prolonged period.
Wintermute Weekly Report: BTC Breaks $80,000, but Rally Structure Raises Concerns
Wintermute released its weekly market analysis, covering the week ending May 11. During this period, BTC broke above $80,000 for the first time since January, peaking near $83,000 and decisively crossing its 200-day moving average—a resistance level that had held for seven months. However, Wintermute noted that this rally was primarily leveraged-driven: open interest surged by $10 billion month-on-month to $58 billion, while spot trading volume hit a two-year low—classic hallmarks of a short squeeze rather than a healthy breakout. Funding rates remain skewed bearish, indicating further short-covering potential in the near term; yet covering shorts does not equate to genuine bullish consensus. Looking at medium- to long-term fundamentals, institutional buying logic remains intact: BTC ETFs posted $623 million in net inflows for the week; Morgan Stanley’s BTC ETF attracted $194 million in its first month with zero net outflows on any single day; and BTC reserves held on exchanges remain at a seven-year low. Nevertheless, Wintermute cautioned that the RSI has entered overbought territory, and if spot buying fails to materialize after the squeeze concludes, prices face significant risk of a rapid correction. On the macro front, the Nasdaq rose 4.5% and the S&P 500 gained 2.3% for the week—both hitting all-time highs. Nonfarm payrolls significantly exceeded expectations (115,000 vs. forecast 65,000). U.S.-Iran negotiations collapsed, with Iran demanding sovereignty recognition and reparations—terms rejected by Trump. Oil prices swung violently between $88 and $113 per barrel during the week, yet equity markets reacted indifferently. Key events to watch this week:
Wintermute: BTC’s Recent Rally Clearly Driven by Leverage, Open Interest Surges While Spot Volume Slumps
Wintermute’s weekly market report indicates Bitcoin recently broke through $80,000 and briefly touched around $83,000, while also reclaiming the 200-day moving average for the first time in seven months. However, this rally is clearly more driven by leveraged capital rather than spot buying.The report notes that over the past month, Bitcoin open interest increased by approximately $10 billion, while spot trading volume dropped to a two-year low, a classic short squeeze scenario. Although ETFs still recorded net inflows of $623 million and BTC reserves on exchanges fell to a seven-year low, the current RSI has entered overbought territory. If spot buying fails to sustain after the short squeeze ends, BTC prices could face a rapid correction risk.Wintermute also stated that the current crypto market rally is more driven by the strength of US equities and the resonance of leverage, rather than an independent bull market narrative. Upcoming US CPI data and changes in Federal Reserve policy expectations will be key factors in determining whether BTC can stably hold above $80,000.
Bitget simultaneously launches Phase 2 of Contract SuperPairs, with a total prize pool of 60,000 USDT
Bitget has simultaneously launched the Phase 2 Contract SuperPairs event, with participation ending on June 9th at 19:00 (UTC+8). Details are as follows:**Gold & Oil Rally Challenge:** Total prize pool of 30,000 USDT. Users trading XAU, XAG, CL, BZ, and other assets, and completing designated futures contract trading tasks can receive blind box rewards, with a maximum prize of 0.3 XAUT. Users with a cumulative trading volume of 10,000 USDT or more, ranked in the top 1,000, can share 20,000 USDT, with a maximum individual prize of 2,000 USDT.**Popular Futures Coin Pair Challenge:** Total prize pool of 30,000 USDT. Users trading XRP, HYPE, ZEC, XLM, and other assets, and completing corresponding futures contract trading tasks can receive blind box rewards, with a maximum prize of 10 HYPE. Users with a cumulative trading volume of 10,000 USDT or more, ranked in the top 1,000, can share 20,000 USDT, with a maximum individual prize of 2,000 USDT.
Wintermute Weekly Report: BTC Breaks $80,000, but Rally Structure Raises Concerns
Wintermute released its weekly market analysis, covering the week ending May 11. During this period, BTC broke above $80,000 for the first time since January, peaking near $83,000 and decisively crossing its 200-day moving average—a resistance level that had held for seven months. However, Wintermute noted that this rally was primarily leveraged-driven: open interest surged by $10 billion month-on-month to $58 billion, while spot trading volume hit a two-year low—classic hallmarks of a short squeeze rather than a healthy breakout. Funding rates remain skewed bearish, indicating further short-covering potential in the near term; yet covering shorts does not equate to genuine bullish consensus. Looking at medium- to long-term fundamentals, institutional buying logic remains intact: BTC ETFs posted $623 million in net inflows for the week; Morgan Stanley’s BTC ETF attracted $194 million in its first month with zero net outflows on any single day; and BTC reserves held on exchanges remain at a seven-year low. Nevertheless, Wintermute cautioned that the RSI has entered overbought territory, and if spot buying fails to materialize after the squeeze concludes, prices face significant risk of a rapid correction. On the macro front, the Nasdaq rose 4.5% and the S&P 500 gained 2.3% for the week—both hitting all-time highs. Nonfarm payrolls significantly exceeded expectations (115,000 vs. forecast 65,000). U.S.-Iran negotiations collapsed, with Iran demanding sovereignty recognition and reparations—terms rejected by Trump. Oil prices swung violently between $88 and $113 per barrel during the week, yet equity markets reacted indifferently. Key events to watch this week:
Wintermute: BTC’s Recent Rally Clearly Driven by Leverage, Open Interest Surges While Spot Volume Slumps
Wintermute’s weekly market report indicates Bitcoin recently broke through $80,000 and briefly touched around $83,000, while also reclaiming the 200-day moving average for the first time in seven months. However, this rally is clearly more driven by leveraged capital rather than spot buying.The report notes that over the past month, Bitcoin open interest increased by approximately $10 billion, while spot trading volume dropped to a two-year low, a classic short squeeze scenario. Although ETFs still recorded net inflows of $623 million and BTC reserves on exchanges fell to a seven-year low, the current RSI has entered overbought territory. If spot buying fails to sustain after the short squeeze ends, BTC prices could face a rapid correction risk.Wintermute also stated that the current crypto market rally is more driven by the strength of US equities and the resonance of leverage, rather than an independent bull market narrative. Upcoming US CPI data and changes in Federal Reserve policy expectations will be key factors in determining whether BTC can stably hold above $80,000.
Related news
Ansem: JTO and HYPE Lead the Market Rally, WLD Rides OpenAI Narrative
trader Ansem posted on X platform, stating that JTO and HYPE are the strongest performing assets in today's market, clearly leading the rest of the tokens.Ansem also noted that WLD's performance slightly trails JTO and HYPE, but benefits from the narrative tied to OpenAI, maintaining a relatively strong upward trend overall.
Analyst: Coinbase Faces Critical Support Test Next Week; Holding Above $141 Could Trigger a Rally to $185
Crypto analyst Ali posted on X, stating that Coinbase will face a critical technical test next week. If it holds above $141, it could trigger a rebound and potentially rally toward $185; however, if it breaks below this key support level, further downside risk looms, with a potential target near $74. Meanwhile, analyst Hussein Kashmar noted that the weekly support level at $145 is also highly significant—this zone has historically attracted strong buying interest. Market participants are now watching closely to see whether bulls can successfully defend this current support area. Should buying pressure fail to materialize effectively, Coinbase may retreat further into the prior breakout range of $100–$115.
Bitget simultaneously launches Phase 2 of Contract SuperPairs, with a total prize pool of 60,000 USDT
Bitget has simultaneously launched the Phase 2 Contract SuperPairs event, with participation ending on June 9th at 19:00 (UTC+8). Details are as follows:**Gold & Oil Rally Challenge:** Total prize pool of 30,000 USDT. Users trading XAU, XAG, CL, BZ, and other assets, and completing designated futures contract trading tasks can receive blind box rewards, with a maximum prize of 0.3 XAUT. Users with a cumulative trading volume of 10,000 USDT or more, ranked in the top 1,000, can share 20,000 USDT, with a maximum individual prize of 2,000 USDT.**Popular Futures Coin Pair Challenge:** Total prize pool of 30,000 USDT. Users trading XRP, HYPE, ZEC, XLM, and other assets, and completing corresponding futures contract trading tasks can receive blind box rewards, with a maximum prize of 10 HYPE. Users with a cumulative trading volume of 10,000 USDT or more, ranked in the top 1,000, can share 20,000 USDT, with a maximum individual prize of 2,000 USDT.
Goldman Sachs: US Stocks May Experience a New "Short Squeeze" Rally
since the end of April, bearish bets on U.S. and Canadian stock markets have rapidly expanded. Data from S3 Partners LLC shows that total short positions have increased by nearly $100 billion, reaching $2.13 trillion, the highest level since the agency began tracking in 2010. Meanwhile, data from Goldman Sachs' prime brokerage business shows that the median net short interest as a percentage of market capitalization for S&P 500 index components has risen to 3%, the highest level since the end of 2011.The Goldman Sachs trading desk views this positioning structure as a key signal of change, suggesting that the next phase of upward momentum for the market may come from a "short squeeze" driven by short covering, rather than continuing to rely on the rally expansion led by large-cap tech stocks over the past two months.A team composed of Gail Hafif, Brian Garrett, and Lee Coppersmith pointed out: "We do see the potential for the market to move higher from current levels, but the next leg of the rally is more likely to be fueled by short covering in out-of-favor market sectors and risk aversion towards the momentum frenzy."
CryptoQuant Analyst: Bitcoin Short-Term Holders Exit on Rally Rather Than Holding Positions
CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler stated Bitcoin has recently attempted to breach the $82,000 level three times, but each time it has faced a pullback. During each rebound, the STH-SOPR indicator rose to around 1.0 before weakening again, indicating that short-term holders are taking advantage of the uptrend to continuously exit with profits, rather than continuing to hold positions. Currently, $82,000 is not only a key technical resistance level but also an important selling pressure zone from a market behavior perspective, having formed a strong supply zone.
Analyst: Bitcoin Rejected Again at $82,000, Short-Term Holders Still Selling on Every Rally
Odaily Odaily News: Analyst Axel Adler Jr. posted on X platform, stating that Bitcoin has been rejected at $82,000 again, marking the third failure at this level. The short-term holder SOPR indicator has still failed to stay above 1.0, indicating that short-term holders continue to sell during each rally. Currently, crude oil is near $106, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has dropped 537 points, and interest rates face the risk of remaining elevated for a prolonged period.