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Project Overview
Prophet is a platform for prediction markets, allowing users to create, trade, and resolve event-based markets using blockchain. It supports community-driven outcomes, transparent settlement, and tokenized incentives for accurate predictions.
Polymarket probability of "o1 TGE market cap exceeding $400 million on day 2" rises to 89%, up 81% in 24H
Monitoring from the Odaily Seer Prophet Channel shows that the probability of "o1 TGE market cap exceeding $400 million on day 2" on Polymarket has risen to 89%, up 81% in 24 hours.This event will be settled based on the fully diluted valuation (FDV) of the o1 governance token one day after its launch. If the FDV of the o1 governance token at 16:00 Eastern Time on the day following its launch is higher than the stated value in the title, it will settle as "Yes"; otherwise, it will settle as "No."The token must be publicly available, transferable, and tradable to be considered fully launched. FDV will be calculated by multiplying the total token supply by the token price, with the price source being the most liquid source at the time. If o1 fails to launch a token before 23:59 Eastern Time on December 31, 2027, the event will settle as "No."Previous news: o1.exchange completes $4.2 million financing, co-led by Coinbase Ventures and AllianceDAOThe Odaily Seer Prophet Channel continues to monitor prediction markets, observing changes before pricing occurs.
predict.fun: The probability of "Variational's FDV market cap exceeding $500 million one day after opening" has risen to 57%, up 12% in 24H
Monitoring by Odaily Seer Prophet Channel shows that on predict.fun, the probability of "Variational's FDV market cap exceeding $500 million one day after opening" has risen to 57%, up 12% in 24H. Additionally, the probability of "Variational's FDV market cap exceeding $800 million one day after opening" has risen to 36%.Last night, Variational announced the completion of a $50 million Series A funding round, led by Dragonfly Capital, with participation from Bain Capital Crypto and Coinbase Ventures.Odaily Seer Prophet Channel continues to monitor the prediction market — seeing changes before they are priced in.
Polymarket: Probability of "Printr public sale raising over $4 million" drops to 63%, down over 30% in a day
Monitoring from the Odaily Seer Prophet Channel shows that on Polymarket, the probability of "Printr public sale raising over $4 million" has fallen to 63%, down over 30% in a day, with a trading volume of nearly $3.26 million.Printr is a cross-chain token issuance platform that supports users and AI agents in token issuance, trading, and staking across multiple blockchain environments. It is currently deployed on 8 blockchains including Solana, Base, BNB Chain, and Ethereum, offering features such as customizable fee structures, cross-chain trading, and staking incentive mechanisms.Data indicates that the project has currently raised over $2.46 million, with approximately 35 hours remaining until the fundraising concludes.The Odaily Seer Prophet Channel continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing changes before pricing.
Polymarket introduces new “Number of Fed Rate Hikes in 2026” event
Odaily Seer Prophet Channel monitoring shows that Polymarket has launched a prediction event for the “Number of Fed Rate Hikes in 2026.”From the perspective of the interest rate path, the market is currently pricing in two distinctly different macro narratives. One view holds that the U.S. economy will enter a growth slowdown cycle in 2026, with the Fed maintaining a wait-and-see stance or even resuming rate cuts. The other view argues that if inflation reemerges or long-term inflation expectations become unanchored, the Fed could be forced to restart its rate hiking cycle. Therefore, the high probability attached to “3 to 4 rate hikes” essentially reflects the market’s reassessment of inflation stickiness and economic resilience over the next year, rather than a consensus on a single path.Bank of America has already shifted to a more hawkish interest rate path forecast. BofA Global Research now expects the Fed to raise rates by 25 basis points in September, October, and December of 2026, totaling 75 basis points for the year, pushing the federal funds rate target range to 4.25%–4.50%. This represents a significant upward revision from its previous outlook of “rates unchanged for the year,” primarily based on the still-resilient U.S. labor market, the bumpy progress of disinflation, and the possibility that the Fed’s policy reaction function under new Chair Kevin Warsh could be more hawkish. In comparison, Deutsche Bank also expects the Fed to start hiking in September, but with a cumulative annual increase of 50 basis points, indicating that major Wall Street institutions are reassessing the upside risks to U.S. interest rates in 2026.Odaily Seer Prophet Channel continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing changes before they are priced in.
Polymarket probability of "Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers before July 1" rises to 73%, up 33% in 24H
Monitoring by Odaily Seer Prophet Channel shows that the probability of "Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers before July 1" on Polymarket has risen to 73%, up 33% in 24H.If Anthropic reopens Claude Fable 5 (or Claude Mythos, or a version confirmed to be the same model) to the US public before the specified date, this event will settle as "Yes"; otherwise, it will settle as "No". Qualifying methods of restoration include public beta or public waitlist; closed testing and private access do not count. Other models such as Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus are not included by default unless they are confirmed to be the same model as Claude Fable 5. Settlement will primarily be based on official announcements from Anthropic, supplemented by consensus reports from mainstream media.Due to export controls imposed by the US government on national security grounds, Anthropic urgently suspended global access to the Claude Fable 5 model just days after its release on June 9. Although the restrictions were primarily aimed at foreign users, due to the difficulty of real-time user identity screening, Anthropic ultimately closed access for all users, including those in the US, and switched requests to less capable models such as Opus 4.8. Anthropic is currently engaged in high-level discussions with the White House on issues including model capabilities and potential jailbreak risks. The company has publicly stated that the ban may have stemmed from a misunderstanding and is actively pushing to restore access.Odaily Seer Prophet Channel continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing changes before they are priced in.
OKX Launches Exchange OS Open API, Enabling API Participation in "Prophet Season 3"
Odaily reports: According to official sources, OKX has now launched the Exchange OS Open API, providing on-chain spot and perpetual contract trading interfaces for developers and professional traders. Developers can connect trading bots, trading terminals, and other trading systems to Exchange OS, obtaining market data, managing orders, and executing on-chain trading strategies via the API. The trading process adopts a self-custody model, and all related trading records can be verified on-chain.In addition, this Open API release simultaneously supports "Prophet Season 3." During the public beta period, eligible users can use free XP through the API to participate in prediction trading and related leaderboard activities, competing for the corresponding prize pools while testing automated trading strategies.
Predict Prophet Challenge S2 Officially Launches
Odaily reports: predict.fun posted on X that the Predict Prophet Challenge S2 is officially launching. The registration deadline is 24:00 (UTC+8) on October 18, and the official competition will take place from October 19 to 25, with a maximum of 100 participants.In this competition, the platform provides each contestant with $100 in initial capital. Participants can engage in any type of prediction market trading, with support for manual operations, API trading, and AI-assisted decision-making. The competition ranks participants based on account PNL return rate. The daily champion can earn 200 USDT, and the final overall champion, runner-up, and third place can receive 5,000, 2,000, and 1,000 USDT in rewards, respectively. If a participant's account balance falls below $10, they can apply for self-funded revival, up to a maximum of 3 times. Revival is not supported on the final day.
Polymarket introduces new “Number of Fed Rate Hikes in 2026” event
Odaily Seer Prophet Channel monitoring shows that Polymarket has launched a prediction event for the “Number of Fed Rate Hikes in 2026.”From the perspective of the interest rate path, the market is currently pricing in two distinctly different macro narratives. One view holds that the U.S. economy will enter a growth slowdown cycle in 2026, with the Fed maintaining a wait-and-see stance or even resuming rate cuts. The other view argues that if inflation reemerges or long-term inflation expectations become unanchored, the Fed could be forced to restart its rate hiking cycle. Therefore, the high probability attached to “3 to 4 rate hikes” essentially reflects the market’s reassessment of inflation stickiness and economic resilience over the next year, rather than a consensus on a single path.Bank of America has already shifted to a more hawkish interest rate path forecast. BofA Global Research now expects the Fed to raise rates by 25 basis points in September, October, and December of 2026, totaling 75 basis points for the year, pushing the federal funds rate target range to 4.25%–4.50%. This represents a significant upward revision from its previous outlook of “rates unchanged for the year,” primarily based on the still-resilient U.S. labor market, the bumpy progress of disinflation, and the possibility that the Fed’s policy reaction function under new Chair Kevin Warsh could be more hawkish. In comparison, Deutsche Bank also expects the Fed to start hiking in September, but with a cumulative annual increase of 50 basis points, indicating that major Wall Street institutions are reassessing the upside risks to U.S. interest rates in 2026.Odaily Seer Prophet Channel continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing changes before they are priced in.
Gate Prediction Market World Cup Section Fully Upgraded, Creating a One-Stop Tournament Prediction Experience
Gate has completed the upgrade of its prediction market World Cup section, further enhancing the prediction market experience within the tournament context. After upgrading the Gate App to version v8.25.0 or higher, users can enter the World Cup section with one click via a newly added entry on the homepage, quickly viewing match schedules, standings, popular prediction markets, and more, thereby improving the efficiency of tracking and participating in the tournament. This upgrade adds new sections such as historical champions, best players, and news, providing users with references on team historical records, player performance data, and World Cup hot topics. Simultaneously, a team subscription feature has been launched, allowing users to follow specific national teams or subscribe to all World Cup events with one click, to promptly obtain related match and prediction opportunities. The section also adds a page sharing function, making it convenient for users to share match details, leaderboards, and prediction market content.Furthermore, Gate has launched a World Cup-themed leaderboard to centrally showcase traders with outstanding prediction performance related to the World Cup. This is combined with a "Smart Money" feature to help users track the activities of high-win-rate traders. The platform has recently introduced a prediction market trial voucher mechanism, allowing users to experience prediction market trading at zero cost while retaining profit opportunities, further lowering the barrier to participation. Surrounding the World Cup events, Gate has also launched a series of activities such as "Green Pitch Prophet, World Cup Prediction Carnival" and "Gate Prediction Market × World Cup Daily Highlight Matches," releasing a prize pool of over 550,000 USDT. As the first centralized exchange to integrate with Polymarket, Gate continues to promote the deep integration of prediction markets and sports events, further enriching the application scenarios of prediction markets.
Polymarket“GPT-5.6 will not be publicly available before June 28” probability rises to 78%, up 67% in 24 hours
Odaily Seer Prophet Channel monitoring shows that the Polymarket “GPT-5.6 will not be publicly available before June 28” probability has risen to 78%, up 67% in 24 hours.OpenAI Chief Scientist Jakub Pachocki described GPT-5.6 as a significant upgrade over GPT-5.5 in an internal memo on June 11. Analysts suggest that previous leaked information related to the Codex backend in May, along with the relatively fast iteration pace following the release of GPT-5.5 on April 23, have strengthened market expectations for the imminent launch of GPT-5.6.The rules stipulate that GPT-5.6 includes both models explicitly named GPT-5.6 and models identified by OpenAI as direct successors to GPT-5.5 (such as GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc.). Task-specific models, cost-optimized versions like Nano/Mini, and o-series reasoning models are not within the scope of this event. Next-generation flagship models such as GPT-6 are also ineligible. Eligible models must be officially opened for public use, including open beta or open waitlist forms. Versions limited to closed beta or private access do not meet the settlement criteria.This event will primarily rely on OpenAI’s official announcements and website information as the main basis for settlement, supplemented by verification from credible media reports.Odaily Seer Prophet Channel continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing changes before prices are set.
Polymarket probability of "Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers before July 1" rises to 73%, up 33% in 24H
Monitoring by Odaily Seer Prophet Channel shows that the probability of "Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers before July 1" on Polymarket has risen to 73%, up 33% in 24H.If Anthropic reopens Claude Fable 5 (or Claude Mythos, or a version confirmed to be the same model) to the US public before the specified date, this event will settle as "Yes"; otherwise, it will settle as "No". Qualifying methods of restoration include public beta or public waitlist; closed testing and private access do not count. Other models such as Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus are not included by default unless they are confirmed to be the same model as Claude Fable 5. Settlement will primarily be based on official announcements from Anthropic, supplemented by consensus reports from mainstream media.Due to export controls imposed by the US government on national security grounds, Anthropic urgently suspended global access to the Claude Fable 5 model just days after its release on June 9. Although the restrictions were primarily aimed at foreign users, due to the difficulty of real-time user identity screening, Anthropic ultimately closed access for all users, including those in the US, and switched requests to less capable models such as Opus 4.8. Anthropic is currently engaged in high-level discussions with the White House on issues including model capabilities and potential jailbreak risks. The company has publicly stated that the ban may have stemmed from a misunderstanding and is actively pushing to restore access.Odaily Seer Prophet Channel continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing changes before they are priced in.
Related news
OKX Launches Exchange OS Open API, Enabling API Participation in "Prophet Season 3"
Odaily reports: According to official sources, OKX has now launched the Exchange OS Open API, providing on-chain spot and perpetual contract trading interfaces for developers and professional traders. Developers can connect trading bots, trading terminals, and other trading systems to Exchange OS, obtaining market data, managing orders, and executing on-chain trading strategies via the API. The trading process adopts a self-custody model, and all related trading records can be verified on-chain.In addition, this Open API release simultaneously supports "Prophet Season 3." During the public beta period, eligible users can use free XP through the API to participate in prediction trading and related leaderboard activities, competing for the corresponding prize pools while testing automated trading strategies.
Predict Prophet Challenge S2 Officially Launches
Odaily reports: predict.fun posted on X that the Predict Prophet Challenge S2 is officially launching. The registration deadline is 24:00 (UTC+8) on October 18, and the official competition will take place from October 19 to 25, with a maximum of 100 participants.In this competition, the platform provides each contestant with $100 in initial capital. Participants can engage in any type of prediction market trading, with support for manual operations, API trading, and AI-assisted decision-making. The competition ranks participants based on account PNL return rate. The daily champion can earn 200 USDT, and the final overall champion, runner-up, and third place can receive 5,000, 2,000, and 1,000 USDT in rewards, respectively. If a participant's account balance falls below $10, they can apply for self-funded revival, up to a maximum of 3 times. Revival is not supported on the final day.
Predict the Prophet Challenge Officially Launches, with a Top Prize of $1,000
Odaily News, predict.fun announced that the Predict Prophet Challenge has officially launched. Predict provides the principal, users participate in predictions, with $100 in starting funds and the ultimate chance to win a $1,000 grand prize. Users can fill out a form to apply for eligibility, and only 100 traders will be selected.Selected participants will compete against 99 other traders, with all entrants strictly limited to $100 in starting funds to ensure fair competition. Over the next 14 days, users will make their own decisions: choosing markets, setting position sizes, and deciding whether to lock in profits or cut losses and exit.
Smart money collectively bets on Mexico not winning in regular time, with top holders' addresses realizing a total profit of $20.3 million
Pre-match position data from the PPP Prediction Market Tool shows that in the Polymarket "World Cup Round of 16: Mexico vs. England" prediction event, multiple profitable addresses have bet on Mexico failing to secure a victory during regular time.The total profits of the top 5 addresses are $360,000, $350,000, $2.3 million, $650,000, and $16.7 million, respectively.The Odaily Seer Prophet Channel keeps a close watch on prediction markets, spotting changes before prices are set.
Polymarket probability of "BLG achieving the 'Golden Road' (Grand Slam)" rises to 21%, up 8% in 24 hours
Monitoring by the PPP Prediction Market Tool shows that the League of Legends MSI (Mid-Season Invitational) World Championship has officially begun. On Polymarket, the probability for the event "Will BLG achieve the Golden Road (Grand Slam)?" is currently reported at 21%, up 8% in 24 hours. In today's MSI match, BLG defeated the LCK team T1 with a score of 3-2, advancing to the winners' bracket of the MSI Mid-Season Invitational knockout stage. Previously, BLG won the 2026 League of Legends First Stand tournament.The event's determination rule is: If BLG completes the "Golden Road" this year, the event is resolved as "Yes." This means BLG achieves the feat of winning all major tournaments in the League of Legends esports circuit within the 2026 calendar year. Specifically, the team's players must win all regional competitions while also participating in and winning all three major international events: the First Stand, MSI, and the World Championship. The source of information for this will be the official information on the League of Legends esports website. However, reliable reports, such as those on Liquipedia, may also be referenced.The Odaily Seer Prophet Channel continuously monitors the prediction market, seeing changes before the pricing occurs.
A smart money address purchased over $130,000 in Colombia to beat Ghana in the World Cup Round of 16.
According to monitoring by the PPP Prediction Market Tool, in the Polymarket prediction event "2026 World Cup Round of 16: Colombia vs. Ghana," the account hot2trot (address: 0xb61b2079b95f6b7476fd3203e0274ffb93308a06), which has earned nearly $1.16 million in total profit, purchased over $130,000 worth of shares for Colombia to advance. The average entry price was 65¢, with a total of 190,431.3 shares bought. The position is currently showing an unrealized profit of $6,665.The Colombia vs. Ghana knockout match is scheduled for July 4th at 9:30 AM Beijing time. Ghanaian defender Opong may miss the game due to an undisclosed injury. Colombia returns to the World Cup knockout stage after an 8-year absence and scored 4 goals while conceding only 1 goal throughout the group stage. Ghana boasts talents such as Manchester City star Semenyo, Atalanta speedster Sulemana, newly naturalized player Iñaki Williams, and Leicester City's rising star Fatawu. However, their heavy reliance on individual brilliance will be tested as this match will determine the final spot in the Round of 16.The Odaily Seer Prophet Channel continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing changes before the price is set.