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10x Research: Bitcoin's Decline is Not Driven by Strategy, but by Inflation and ETF Outflows

Odaily Planet Daily reported that Markus Thielen, founder of 10x Research, stated that the core driver behind Bitcoin's drop below $60,000 is not the market's feared Strategy sell-off, but sustained ETF outflows triggered by rising US inflation. Data shows that since US inflation data exceeded expectations in April, US spot Bitcoin ETFs have accumulated net redemptions of approximately $5.4 billion. Over the same period, MicroStrategy actually increased its BTC holdings by around $2 billion, becoming one of the few net buyers.Markus Thielen noted: "The market has misjudged this decline. Strategy is not the issue; the real driver is institutional ETF selling." The market's current focus should shift to the CPI data to be released this Wednesday. If inflation comes in higher than expected, it could reinforce the "higher for longer" interest rate expectation, continuing to pressure risk assets. His model predicts US inflation could rise to 4.3%, higher than the market consensus.10x Research emphasized that market liquidity remains weak: stablecoins saw a net outflow of approximately $5.5 billion last month, and futures open interest has declined, indicating that capital is withdrawing from the crypto market. ETF flows remain the core variable for Bitcoin's price. "Follow the flows, not the narrative." (CoinDesk)

AI Industry Frontier: Passive components are rising in price again and again, with the sector leader surging 3x over the past two months

Odaily Planet Daily reports that Citrini analyst jukan stated on the X platform that, starting July 1, Murata will raise the ex-factory price of its full range of power inductors by 50%; Taiyo Yuden will uniformly raise the spot price of power inductor models with supply constraints by 150% and increase the price of standard models by 35%.Note: This round of power inductor price hikes is the latest continuation of the passive component price surge since the end of 2025. Price increases have gradually spread from tantalum capacitors → resistors → MLCCs/ferrite beads to power inductors. Japanese giants (Murata, Taiyo Yuden) have strong pricing power in high-end products, while Taiwanese and mainland Chinese manufacturers (such as Yageo, Walsin Technology, Fenghua, and Sunlord) have followed up with multiple rounds of increases.

Tom Lee: Strategy's Bitcoin Sale and ETF Outflows Are Typical Bottoming Behavior, Not Risk Signals

Odaily Planet Daily reported that Tom Lee stated the recent market anxiety, including Strategy's small-scale Bitcoin sale, is typical bottoming behavior rather than a sign of deeper systemic issues. Michael Saylor sold 32 Bitcoins at an average price of $77,135, raising approximately $2.5 million to pay preferred stock dividends. This sale accounts for only 0.004% of the company's total Bitcoin holdings of over 843,700 BTC.Furthermore, regarding the 11 consecutive days of outflows totaling $3.4 billion from U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs, Tom Lee believes capital outflows are a classic lagging indicator of market cycle resets. Bitmine's macro strategy remains unchanged; its plan to purchase 111,942 Ethereum for approximately $237 million is still in progress, bringing its total Ethereum holdings to nearly 5.4 million ETH. (coindesk)

Bitcoin Whale Activity Hits 6-Week High, Large Transactions Over $100,000 Reach Highest Since April 22

Odaily Planet Daily reports that according to Santiment data, Bitcoin whale activity has reached its highest level in six weeks, with the number of large transactions exceeding $100,000 hitting a new high since April 22, when the BTC price dropped to $70,011.

BIT: ETF Sees Significant Capital Outflows, Bitcoin May Continue to Consolidate in the Short Term

Odaily Planet Daily reports that BIT's chart of the day indicates that the key to market analysis often lies in identifying the core factors driving asset price movements and observing when these factors begin to change.For Bitcoin, the sustained upward trend over the past period has largely depended on the shifting dynamic between institutional demand and market supply. Over the past year, spot Bitcoin ETFs and Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) have been important sources of this demand.When ETF inflows accelerate and Strategy continues to increase its Bitcoin holdings, Bitcoin prices typically rise. Currently, the combined net purchases of ETFs and Strategy have fallen to just $870 million, primarily due to significant capital outflows from ETFs, which have shifted from net buying to net selling.Until ETF inflows stabilize and recover, Bitcoin may continue to oscillate and consolidate in the short term.

Loracle reduces HYPE spot holdings, short position floating loss expands to $23 million

Odaily Odaily Planet Daily reported that according to Onchain Lens monitoring, trader Loracle (@loraclexyz) has deposited 616,670 HYPE into HyperLiquid, worth approximately $36 million, and has begun selling, with only about 78,000 HYPE remaining for sale.In addition, the floating loss on his 5x leveraged HYPE short position has now expanded to $23 million, with a liquidation price of $83.34.

A whale associated with a16z created a new wallet to purchase 206,325 HYPE and stake it

Odaily Planet Daily reported that according to Lookonchain monitoring, a whale (0x4c6...828) associated with a16z created a new wallet. Over the past 10 hours, it purchased 206,325 HYPE, worth $9.95 million, and has staked them. Since April 14, this whale has accumulated a total of 2.34 million HYPE, with a total value of $102 million.

Former FTX Executive Launches "No-Loss" AI Trading Platform UpsideOnly

Odaily Planet Daily reported that Patrick Gruhn, a former executive at FTX's European operations, has launched the "no-loss" AI trading platform UpsideOnly. The platform converts crowdsourced simulated trading strategies into shared real-money profits, executing trades using only company funds.Investors engage in simulated trading by predicting the future prices of assets such as oil, gold, and stocks. Subsequently, its AI model selects the predictions most likely to generate profits. The company uses its own funds to trade based on these predictions, and upon success, shares half of the profits with the traders who created the winning signals. (Bloomberg)

Whale Loracle.hl increases its HYPE short position to 122,305 HYPE

Odaily Planet Daily reported that according to Onchain Lens monitoring, the whale Loracle.hl has increased its 5x leveraged HYPE short position to 122,305 HYPE, worth $5.4 million.

Multicoin Capital Transfers 150,000 AAVE to Galaxy Digital and BitGo, with Cumulative Unrealized Losses Exceeding $40 Million

Odaily Planet Daily reports: According to monitoring by Onchain Lens, Multicoin Capital has transferred 150,000 AAVE (worth approximately $14.9 million) to Galaxy Digital and BitGo for Over-The-Counter (OTC) trading. Subsequently, a portion of the funds was transferred to centralized trading platforms.Data shows that Multicoin Capital purchased 338,005 AAVE for approximately $73.94 million. It currently holds 188,005 AAVE, worth about $18.49 million, representing an unrealized book loss of approximately $40.54 million.

A whale has gone long on altcoins including NEAR, STRK, XMR, TON, with total position value exceeding $16 million<odaiy-translate-split><p>Odaily Planet Daily News According to Lookonchain monitoring, a whale has taken long positions on several popular al

据 Lookonchain 监测,某巨鲸做多多个热门山寨币,包括 NEAR、STRK、XMR、TON、AZTEC、PUMP。当前持仓包括:308 万枚 NEAR(483 万美元)、7555 万枚 STRK(430 万美元)、9561 枚 XMR(380 万美元)、128 万枚 TON(333 万美元)、1486 万枚 AZTEC(35.7 万美元)、7199 万枚 PUMP(14.7 万美元)。

A certain address bought $480,000 worth of SATO at the peak, currently facing an unrealized loss of $276,000.

According to Odaily Planet Daily, on-chain analyst Ai Yi monitored that over the past 11 hours, address 0xe5f…cceaf purchased $480,000 worth of SATO at an average price of $1.4304, buying right at the peak. This makes it the address with the highest purchase amount in the last 24 hours (and also the new second-ranked address), currently facing an unrealized loss of $276,000. 23 hours ago, it withdrew 1.23 million USDC from Hyperliquid, likely for position building. The wallet still has 750,000 USDC unused, and SATO is its only Memecoin. Although it has dropped significantly, it has not reduced its position for now.

A whale transferred 800 billion SHIB to an exchange, still holding 95.42 trillion SHIB

Odaily Planet Daily reported that according to on-chain analyst Yu Jin @EmberCN, a whale who initially purchased 103 trillion SHIB with 37.8 ETH transferred 800 billion SHIB, worth approximately $4.91 million, to an exchange over the past day.At the 2021 peak, the value of this address's holdings once reached as high as $9.1 billion. It currently still holds approximately 95.42 trillion SHIB, accounting for about 16.2% of the total supply, valued at approximately $588 million at the current price.