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Research Affiliates founder Rob Arnott stated that mega IPOs from companies like SpaceX, Anthropic PBC, and OpenAI could divert hundreds of billions of dollars away from existing stocks, potentially creating a multi-year drag on the broader equity market.This diversion effect may take some time to materialize, following the S&P Dow Jones Indices' decision not to accelerate the inclusion of these large new issues into its benchmarks. However, in Arnott's view, as these companies' weights within the indexes gradually increase, the impact will naturally take longer to transmit to the rest of the market. Arnott is a pioneer in smart beta investing, and his firm's strategies are adopted by institutions such as Pimco and Invesco. "This is going to disturb the capital markets, and it already is," Arnott said. He is known for his research on fundamental indexing, a methodology that determines index constituent weights based on metrics like earnings and cash flow. (WSJ)
Bitcoin's price is approaching the key support level of $60,000, and a breach below could trigger accelerated selling.Jean-David Péquignot, Chief Commercial Officer of Deribit, stated that $60,000 is more than just a psychological round number; it is a structural threshold with tangible implications for institutional investors and the derivatives market. Over the past year, a significant amount of institutional capital, including ETF buyers, large holders, and short-term speculators, purchased BTC at prices between $60,000 and $67,000. As the price approaches these buy zones, investors are near their breakeven point. If the price falls below their cost basis, unrealized losses will increase. This pressure is amplified when traditional markets, such as AI stocks, are rising, raising the opportunity cost of holding BTC and potentially prompting investors to accelerate their selling.The derivatives market is also under strain. Deribit data shows that approximately $1.2 billion in notional value of $60,000 put options remain open. Market makers hedging this risk may be forced to sell spot or futures contracts, thereby accelerating the decline. Simultaneously, there is still a large amount of leveraged long positions in the system. A break below $60,000 could trigger a cascade of liquidations, intensifying market sell pressure. Péquignot believes that billions of dollars in leveraged long positions have already been liquidated this week. If the $60,000 support level fails, the downward momentum could amplify further, leading to a rapid and chaotic sell-off scenario. (CoinDesk)