News linked to both this project and an event.
According to official sources, in response to recent security incidents involving Bybit, Bitget, and Binance, OKX founder and CEO Star stated that security should not be an area of commercial competition, but rather a shared responsibility of the entire crypto industry. Over the past decade, major exchanges have made significant progress in private key protection, but potential risks remain in access control and wallet management systems. He emphasized that no system is absolutely secure, and any major security breach at any exchange could undermine trust in the entire industry.Star called on major exchanges in the crypto industry to strengthen cooperation and jointly establish stricter industry security standards and coordinated response mechanisms, including adding verification and security delays for large withdrawals to unknown addresses and smart contract authorization transactions, and implementing key security restrictions at the cryptographic signing layer. Meanwhile, the industry should establish real-time security incident reporting, joint monitoring of suspicious funds, and rapid response mechanisms, and promote collaborative research in areas such as quantum-resistant cryptography and AI-driven security threat defense. He emphasized that no single company can safeguard the future of the crypto industry alone.
Ali noted that Bitcoin has experienced significant drawdowns during each of the past four U.S. midterm election cycles, with declines reaching 72%, 65%, 52%, and 27% in 2010, 2014, 2018, and 2022, respectively. Additionally, aside from 2010, the fourth quarters of the remaining three midterm election years all recorded negative returns.
Odaily reports: Bitcoin's market dominance rose to 60% on Wednesday, reaching its highest level since May of this year and holding near that level, reflecting investors' preference for holding Bitcoin over altcoins. Meanwhile, Bitcoin fell below $82,000 on Thursday, giving back gains from the previous day's brief break above $84,000. Small-cap tokens saw more pronounced declines, with the CoinDesk Memecoin Index dropping over 5%, the Computing Select Index falling 3.5%, and the DeFi Select Index down 2.5%.Joel Kruger, market strategist at LMAX Group, said that the crypto market's prior outperformance relative to other assets has shifted to trading more closely in line with equity markets, with investors awaiting new industry catalysts. Vikram Subburaj, CEO of Indian exchange Giottus, noted that Bitcoin ETF inflows have yet to form a sustained trend, and investors should avoid chasing rallies while monitoring ETF fund flows and Federal Reserve policy signals. (CoinDesk)
Odaily reports: Trader Killa says that for Bitcoin (BTC) to replicate its 2023 price action, it needs to form a higher low (HL) above $75,500 and ideally hold the low near $80,000.After Bitcoin recently reclaimed its short-term structure around the $82,000 zone, it pulled back to test and broke through again, with short-term price action showing strong characteristics of "bull traps and bear traps." When BTC previously fell from $84,100 to $81,000, the structure appeared weak, but a large number of shorts entering at the lows fueled the subsequent rebound.Killa noted that during the drop from $84,100 to $81,000, long liquidations totaled approximately $300 million, while during the earlier decline from $86,800 to $80,600, long liquidations exceeded $2 billion, indicating that the market's leverage structure is improving and the proportion of longs has declined compared to before. The market now needs to form a higher low and initiate the next leg up; otherwise, this correction could break below $80,000.
Odaily reports: Crypto trader Rune stated on X platform that PaperTrade's official documentation has actually disclosed a "vulnerability" risk in the protocol-level pricing mechanism. According to the document screenshots he shared, attackers can exploit the BBO (Best Bid and Offer) of the Hyperliquid order book for price manipulation. This risk involves unresolved price manipulation paths, contract economic mechanisms and risk exposure controls, as well as operational-level protective measures and permission management mechanisms.Additionally, Rune retweeted a post by community user boblob, which revealed that two wallets were suspected of actively exploiting and "attacking" the PaperTrade platform, conducting trades worth approximately $20 million that briefly caused ETH price fluctuations of about 10-20 basis points on the Hyperliquid platform. boblob further added that the obvious issues currently present in the PaperTrade protocol need to be fixed as soon as possible, otherwise they may affect the protocol's long-term sustainability.
According to Cointelegraph, CryptoQuant data shows that during the week ending September 27, Binance's Bitcoin net outflow reached 23,137 BTC, marking the highest level since June 2023. Since September 20, Binance's Bitcoin reserves have cumulatively decreased by nearly 40,000 BTC.
Renowned trader Bonk Guy stated that he has been tracking and trading Meme coins for three consecutive cycles, and has previously publicly predicted the market trends of multiple Meme coins with multi-billion dollar market caps. He believes USELESS could become an opportunity similar to DOGE or PEPE in this market cycle.
Boosted by Nvidia's strong Q2 earnings, the Bitcoin spot price has rebounded to the $81,000 range. As August options expiration approaches, analysts believe key selling pressure is easing, indicating greater upside potential once the price breaks through $82,000.
Odaily News Crypto analyst Ali posted on social platform X, stating that the end phases of Bitcoin’s two historical bear markets both exhibited a key characteristic—a sudden, powerful weekly reversal pattern. These “massive bullish candles” often catch the majority of market participants off guard and may serve as a signal for the start of a new bull market. Such moves are typically driven by “short squeezes.” As Bitcoin’s price rises, bearish traders continue to add short positions, but as the rally accelerates, these shorts are forced to cover, further fueling the upward momentum.Historical data shows that in 2019, near the end of Bitcoin’s bear market, a single week saw a 31.98% surge, followed by the onset of a new upward cycle. In January 2023, amid extremely pessimistic market sentiment following the FTX collapse, Bitcoin posted a 24.90% weekly gain, reversing prior bearish expectations.A similar pattern may now be unfolding in the current market. Although many investors, based on the “four-year cycle theory,” anticipated a market bottom in October, Bitcoin has recently rallied from $62,700 to $79,500, a one-week gain of 26.81%. If historical patterns hold, this robust weekly reversal could indicate that Bitcoin (BTC) has already entered the early stages of a new upward cycle.
Odaily News: CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost stated that Bitcoin (BTC) is currently attempting to reclaim the "Active Supply Cost Basis" level.Darkfost noted that active supply refers to all BTC that has been transferred at least once within the past 7 years. By excluding long-dormant Bitcoin, a more accurate average cost basis that aligns with the current market structure can be obtained, with its Realized Price standing at approximately $70,400.He stated that the last time Bitcoin successfully reclaimed this level was in early April, before the market fell back below this zone again in early June, with sellers reasserting dominance.Darkfost said that if BTC can sustain its position above the active supply cost basis this time, it could signal the market is forming a longer-term uptrend, rather than the brief breakout that lasted only about two months previously.This metric is commonly used by the market to observe changes in long-term holder costs and Bitcoin market cycle status. Whether BTC can firmly hold near the $70,400 level will become a key indicator for future bullish and bearish forces.
Peter Schiff, a well-known gold bull and long-term Bitcoin bear, stated that he is confused about Bitcoin's recent lack of decline and believes this rebound provides a new round of selling opportunities for long-term holders. He pointed out that $65,000 is Bitcoin's current key resistance level, with limited upside potential after breaking this level, but significant downside risk once it falls below.
According to Glassnode data reported by Odaily, the $63,000 level is emerging as a key support and battleground zone for Bitcoin (BTC) in the current market. Over the past few weeks, Bitcoin has continued to trade within the $60,000 to $67,000 range, with over 3% of BTC's circulating supply—approximately 515,000 BTC—having a cost basis concentrated near $63,000. Additionally, more than 362,000 BTC is concentrated in the $61,000 area. Glassnode notes that only the $78,000 to $82,000 range currently has a higher supply density than this zone, corresponding to Bitcoin's May cyclical peak.Furthermore, Bitcoin's current price nearly coincides with the 200-week moving average. Glassnode data shows that the 200-week MA currently stands at approximately $63,657, while BTC's price is around $63,822, indicating significant historical accumulation and strong cost support in this area.Looking at the 30-day cumulative Accumulation Trend Score, all types of investors are currently in a net accumulation state, with retail buying momentum being the most pronounced. Meanwhile, whale addresses holding more than 1,000 BTC continue to increase their positions, suggesting that long-term capital is still positioning itself. The $63,000 level has become a critical price band in Bitcoin's short-term market structure, and investor accumulation behavior may provide important reference for future price movements. (CoinDesk)
Odaily News: Analyst “AntiFragile” stated on Platform X that Bitcoin’s (BTC) order book currently shows strong buyer support, with a significant number of patient buy orders concentrated in the range 2%-20% below the current price.AntiFragile noted that these buy orders began appearing as early as early June, representing passive buying demand positioned in advance. If BTC’s price pulls back into these zones, these orders are expected to act as a buffer, reducing market volatility. The current order book structure indicates that some investors are waiting for lower entry prices rather than buying into the uptrend. These long-standing orders may serve as potential support in the event of short-term market corrections.
According to The Block, Bitcoin rose above $65,800 on July 22, hitting a new high in over a month, with a monthly gain of approximately 2%. Spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded net inflows for the sixth consecutive day, with single-day net inflows of $203 million on Tuesday. Spot Ethereum ETFs recorded net inflows of $37.5 million on the same day, marking three consecutive days of positive inflows. Analysts have identified the next key resistance level near $68,000 — this price level represents the convergence zone of the short-term holder cost basis and the Q2 opening price, where a large number of trapped buyers will break even, and the first touch is expected to trigger massive selling pressure.
Odaily In May of this year, Bankless founder David Hoffman publicly announced on the X platform that he had liquidated all of his ETH holdings.Due to ETH's recent strong price performance, some community users posted remarks teasing David for "selling ETH at the exact bottom." David Hoffman responded by saying: "Stop saying that. The current price of ETH is lower than my liquidation price."
on-chain analytics firm Glassnode stated that top traders on decentralized derivatives exchange Hyperliquid are heavily long on Bitcoin, with their sustained long position reaching the highest level since the platform's records began, surpassing the level seen during Bitcoin's previous rally to approximately $83,000. Glassnode noted that this position indicates strong speculative demand at the current price level. Hyperliquid is a decentralized derivatives exchange where traders can trade leveraged perpetual contracts with no expiry date on-chain. A Bitcoin whale on Hyperliquid has recently pushed net long positions to a year-to-date high. Glassnode's weekly report shows that despite Bitcoin's price decline in June, accumulation has continued; Bitcoin has recently reclaimed the $65,000 level.
Bloomberg senior ETF analyst Eric Balchunas posted that the June ETF market showed "JUNE-SANITY (June Madness)" level performance, with multiple indicators approaching or breaking historical records. Data shows that net ETF inflows for the month reached $191 billion, marking the second-highest single-month level on record, with average daily inflows of approximately $9 billion across about 2,700 different funds.
Miller Tabak strategist Matt Maley and 22V Research technical strategist John Roque believe Bitcoin is at a key technical indicator level.Matt Maley stated that if Bitcoin declines further from its current level of around $60,000, it could amplify negative investor sentiment. Although Wall Street firms continue to invest in digital assets, retail investors, who have historically been the main force driving cryptocurrency rallies, have shifted their focus to high-growth AI and tech stocks. Recent significant outflows from Bitcoin ETFs indicate waning investor enthusiasm. Cryptocurrencies are also showing signs of decoupling from the stock market.John Roque noted that Bitcoin is retesting its first downside target of $60,000. If it breaks below this level, it implies a potential drop to $400,000. Matt Maley added that Congress might pass a crypto structure bill with clearer rules, which would reduce uncertainty and encourage institutional participation in the long run. Furthermore, Bitcoin ETFs experienced their largest monthly outflow since 2024 recently. (CNBC)
Analyst Ai pointed out that over the past decade, Bitcoin's 200-week simple moving average (200-week SMA) has been regarded as a core indicator for judging "cycle bottoms." Historically, every time the price touched or fell below this moving average, it was accompanied by a long-term macro accumulation window, followed by a strong upward cycle. Reviewing historical performance:August 2015: Touched the 200-week MA and then started a bull run, with cumulative gains exceeding 8,500%December 2018: Bounced approximately 267% after testing this moving averageMarch 2020: Confirmed support after bottoming out due to the pandemic liquidity shock, followed by a rise of 1,125%June 2022: Fell below for the first time and remained below the moving average for a long period until reclaiming it in December, which triggered a rally of approximately 680%In the current market, the 200-week MA is located around $63,500, while Bitcoin's current price is trading below $60,000. Analysts believe this has already entered a typical long-term value accumulation zone.At the same time, analysts also caution that potential downside risks remain. In the short term, a pullback to $54,000 is possible, and in extreme cases, testing the $40,000 range cannot be ruled out. However, overall, adopting a Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) strategy for gradual position building is more suitable.Regarding key observation points, the $63,500 level is seen as the "bull-bear dividing line." If Bitcoin can firmly reclaim and confirm the 200-week MA as macro support on a higher time frame, historical patterns suggest it could signal that the early stages of a new bull cycle have already begun.
Analyst Ali Charts believes that Bitcoin is currently in a historically significant long-term accumulation zone. He points out that the 200-week simple moving average has historically served as a key demarcation line between Bitcoin’s bull and bear cycles; regaining and holding above this level could signal the early stage of a new bull market.