News linked to both this project and an event.
Odaily News Grayscale analyst Zach Pandl disclosed data showing that Bitcoin has rebounded over 20% from its low of around $63,000 in early February. The current price is approximately $76,000, slightly above the average cost (realized price) of about $74,000 for buyers over the past 1 to 3 months. This means most short-term investors have returned to the break-even range.Analysis suggests that if the price rises further, more recent buyers will enter a profitable state, which is often considered one of the important signals in the early stages of a bull market. However, Bitcoin remains below its high from last October. Market views indicate that this round of recovery may have formed a relatively solid interim bottom in the range of $65,000 to $70,000.
Crypto analyst Ali published a detailed analysis on X, arguing that rather than debating whether Bitcoin has hit its bottom, market participants should focus on whether the current volatility represents a “generation-defining entry opportunity.” Based on long-term trend lines, on-chain liquidity, and cost distribution metrics, Ali delineates the core “value range” for this cycle. On the support side, the UTXO Realized Price Distribution (URPD) shows a significant concentration of coins in the $63,111–$70,685 range, forming the current primary support zone; if price breaks below $63,111, the market may enter a liquidity vacuum. From a long-term perspective, Bitcoin is approaching the key upward trend line from the past decade (approximately $56,000–$60,000), a level historically associated with accumulation phases preceding major rallies.
According to CoinDesk, Bitcoin is currently trading at approximately $71,200, while Ethereum trades at $2,185; the broader market remains range-bound. Bloomberg analyst Mike McGlone warned that if Bitcoin fails to reclaim $75,000, it risks falling as low as $10,000; conversely, Fundstrat founder Tom Lee believes the market bottom has already been established. In derivatives markets, Bitcoin futures open interest rose to 726,000 BTC, with the 24-hour Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) remaining positive for two consecutive days and funding rates slightly above zero—indicating an overall bullish bias. In contrast, CVD and funding rates for ETH, XRP, and Solana are marginally negative. The volatility index continues to decline, with the market anticipating price swings of only about 2.5% around Friday’s inflation data release. Among altcoins, MANA and AERO each rose roughly 6%; however, MANA’s gain coincided with a 25% surge in open interest, suggesting leveraged trading drove much of the move. Market participants are closely watching whether Bitcoin can decisively break above and hold $75,000—if achieved, it could trigger capital rotation into oversold altcoin sectors.