News linked to both this project and an event.
Polymarket staff member Shantikiran Chanal posted on platform X, stating that they have taken note of the security reports related to reward distribution, and that user funds and market settlements remain safe. The investigation indicates that a private key leak occurred in a wallet used for internal operations, and the issue is not related to contracts or core infrastructure. Further updates will be provided.Previous report: ZachXBT stated that the Polymarket UMA CTF Adapter contract allegedly came under attack on Polygon, with over $520,000 having been drained.
ahead of the release of the April US CPI data, the crypto market rally has temporarily stalled. Bitcoin has been oscillating within the $80,000 to $82,000 range recently, failing to break out effectively since last Wednesday. Market participants believe that while capital flows still point to the potential for a future breakout, inflation and macroeconomic risks are weighing on risk appetite.The United States will release the April Consumer Price Index (CPI) at 8:30 PM Beijing time tonight. According to FactSet data, the market expects April CPI to rise 3.7% year-over-year, up from 3.3% in March. If this forecast materializes, it would mark the largest increase since January 2024 and be significantly higher than the average of 2.7% over the past 12 months. Core CPI is expected to rise 2.7% year-over-year, up from the previous 2.6%.Analysts are concerned that against a backdrop of high oil prices and Trump's characterization of the US-Iran ceasefire as "extremely fragile," inflation data exceeding expectations could further trigger risk-off sentiment in the markets, dragging down risk asset performance.Lukman Otunuga, Head of Market Research at FXTM, stated that the market is entering a sensitive phase where geopolitical risks, inflation concerns, and central bank expectations are intertwined. High oil prices, uncertainties surrounding the Iran situation, and key US economic data could drive increased volatility in commodities, currencies, and global stock markets.Beyond macroeconomic factors, XRP and SOL are also approaching key supply zones again. XRP tested $1.50 today, but this level has repeatedly failed to be breached since February this year; SOL is once again nearing the resistance zone around $97.Meanwhile, institutional interest in related assets is heating up. The US spot XRP ETF recorded net inflows of $25.8 million on Monday, the highest since January 5th. Bitcoin and Solana ETFs also maintained net capital inflows, while the Ethereum ETF saw net outflows of $16.9 million. (CoinDesk)
Wintermute released its weekly market analysis, covering the week ending May 11. During this period, BTC broke above $80,000 for the first time since January, peaking near $83,000 and decisively crossing its 200-day moving average—a resistance level that had held for seven months. However, Wintermute noted that this rally was primarily leveraged-driven: open interest surged by $10 billion month-on-month to $58 billion, while spot trading volume hit a two-year low—classic hallmarks of a short squeeze rather than a healthy breakout. Funding rates remain skewed bearish, indicating further short-covering potential in the near term; yet covering shorts does not equate to genuine bullish consensus. Looking at medium- to long-term fundamentals, institutional buying logic remains intact: BTC ETFs posted $623 million in net inflows for the week; Morgan Stanley’s BTC ETF attracted $194 million in its first month with zero net outflows on any single day; and BTC reserves held on exchanges remain at a seven-year low. Nevertheless, Wintermute cautioned that the RSI has entered overbought territory, and if spot buying fails to materialize after the squeeze concludes, prices face significant risk of a rapid correction. On the macro front, the Nasdaq rose 4.5% and the S&P 500 gained 2.3% for the week—both hitting all-time highs. Nonfarm payrolls significantly exceeded expectations (115,000 vs. forecast 65,000). U.S.-Iran negotiations collapsed, with Iran demanding sovereignty recognition and reparations—terms rejected by Trump. Oil prices swung violently between $88 and $113 per barrel during the week, yet equity markets reacted indifferently. Key events to watch this week:
Odaily News Over the past year, the ETH/BTC trading pair has cumulatively fallen by more than 35%, with the market structure continuously weakening, raising concerns about further downside risks. Analysts point out that the ETH/BTC trend remains suppressed by a multi-year descending trendline, a structure that has repeatedly capped rebounds since 2022 and was accompanied by a nearly 70% correction during the 2024–2025 market cycle.Currently, after attempting a rebound in August 2025 to the confluence zone of the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level and the 50-month moving average, ETH/BTC was rejected and has subsequently broken below support at the 20-month moving average, indicating sustained selling pressure dominance. Technical models suggest that if this weakness persists, the next key support level could be around 0.0176 BTC, representing approximately 40% downside from current levels and approaching the cycle low area of 2020.On-chain data shows that ETH reserves on Binance have continued to rise, reaching approximately 3.62 million coins as of May, accounting for about 24.6% of the total exchange holdings across the network, signaling increased potential selling pressure. In contrast, Bitcoin exchange reserves have continued to decline, reflecting tightening BTC liquidity and stronger holding sentiment.The analysis suggests that this divergence in data reinforces ETH's relatively weaker market structure. Meanwhile, at the narrative level, the "ultra-sound money" narrative surrounding Ethereum has cooled off, while Bitcoin continues to benefit from institutional allocation and corporate treasury demand, placing ETH under pressure from both capital flows and market narrative. (Cointelegraph)
Bitcoin held above the $80,000 mark over the weekend, with no further significant decline in the market for now. However, market analysts believe that the short-term correction is not yet over. Cryptic Trades stated that current low-timeframe charts indicate that after encountering resistance near a high-timeframe resistance level, BTC is more likely to retest the "Bull Market Support Band" in the short term, which consists of two key moving averages located below $80,000. As long as BTC can hold this support band and the high-timeframe support zone around $75,000, the subsequent trend still leans towards an upward move.Additionally, some market analysis points out that Bitcoin's previous breakout above the bull market support band was "not clear-cut," and the market needs to consolidate firmly above the lower $80,000 region for one to two weeks to confirm a strengthening trend. (Cointelegraph)
Alex Thorn (@intangiblecoins), Head of Research at Galaxy Research, published a post revealing that Galaxy Research has released a new report refuting banking industry claims that the GENIUS Act would erode U.S. bank deposits—and providing quantitative estimates. Key findings from the report include: - Under the GENIUS Act framework, 60%–70% of new stablecoin issuance would originate overseas; inflows of foreign deposits would be approximately twice the volume of domestic deposit migration—indicating a net increase in total deposits rather than a zero-sum reallocation. - Each newly minted GENIUS stablecoin would generate approximately $0.32 in net credit for the U.S. economy. - In the base-case scenario, total credit expansion by 2030 would reach roughly $400 billion; under the optimistic scenario, it could reach $1.2 trillion. - Short-term U.S. Treasury yields (T-bills) would compress by 3–5 basis points, potentially saving taxpayers up to $3 billion annually in borrowing costs. - The report also notes that the interest pass-through mechanism does not pose an existential threat to U.S. banks—it merely represents a reallocation of profit margins and will not reduce overall credit capacity.
a CryptoQuant analyst stated, "$93,000 is the key upside target for Bitcoin. CME gaps are not guarantees but signals. They represent areas where positioning, liquidity, and market psychology converge, making them key reference points for future price movements."
Bitcoin remained near $76,000 on Thursday. After the Federal Reserve held interest rates steady, market attention quickly shifted to internal policy divergence and macroeconomic uncertainty. Analysts noted that Bitcoin remains suppressed below the key resistance range of $78,000 to $79,000, lacking short-term breakout momentum.Thomas Perfumo, Chief Economist at Kraken, stated that the market is currently more focused on policy uncertainty stemming from internal "divisions" within the Federal Reserve rather than the inaction itself. This is particularly true against the backdrop of Chairman Jerome Powell's continued tenure and the potential expectation of Kevin Warsh succeeding him, creating a lack of clear policy transition.Glassnode data shows that Bitcoin remains "trapped" below the True Market Mean, with resistance concentrated in the $78,000 to $79,000 range and support lying between $65,000 and $70,000. While selling pressure has eased, demand remains insufficient to support a sustained upward breakout.On the macro front, the Fed has shown rare, severe internal disagreements, interpreted by the market as rising uncertainty over the inflation path. Analysts from institutions like Bitget Wallet and 21Shares point out that the expectation of "higher rates for longer" is suppressing risk asset performance, pushing the crypto market into a wait-and-see phase.Regarding capital flows, U.S. Bitcoin spot ETFs have recorded net outflows for three consecutive days, with a single-day outflow of approximately $138 million on April 29. Ethereum ETFs saw outflows of about $87.7 million over the same period. Although individual products still saw inflows, the overall trend indicates cooling institutional demand.Meanwhile, CME open interest and ETF assets under management have stabilized but have yet to show strong signals of capital return. In the derivatives market, short positions in perpetual contracts have reached an all-time high, suggesting a potential squeeze if sentiment improves. However, the current market remains dominated by a low-volatility, low-confidence consolidation structure.Overall, Bitcoin is caught in a tug-of-war between an improving support structure and weak demand. Sustained ETF outflows, policy uncertainty, and macroeconomic risks collectively suppress its ability to break through the key resistance range. (The Block)
Odaily, Berachain Foundation issued a warning on the X platform, stating that the Wasabi Protocol experienced a cross-chain security incident due to a deployer's private key leak, which has impacted multiple blockchains including Berachain. To prevent the risk from spreading, Berachain has suspended and blacklisted all affected Wasabi Reward Vaults within its network, immediately halting the distribution of BGT staking rewards to the compromised contracts and blocking the flow of new BGT into the affected vaults.The official team requires all users who have previously interacted with Wasabi on Berachain to immediately revoke token approvals for the specified contracts to avoid the risk of asset theft. Berachain also emphasized that the BGT reward funds within the native Reward Vaults remain secure and users can claim them normally; this incident does not affect core ecosystem interests.
QCP Group’s analysis states that U.S.-Iran negotiations have once again collapsed, while the Middle East ceasefire continues, leaving the overall geopolitical landscape relatively static. A shooting incident occurred at the White House Correspondents’ Dinner, with Trump suspected as the target. Following Asia’s market open, BTC briefly surged past $79,000 and ETH above $2,400—but gains quickly reversed amid concerns triggered by news of Iran’s Foreign Minister traveling to Russia for talks with Putin. Since early April, BTC has rallied over 14% cumulatively, marking four consecutive weeks of positive closes. Spot ETFs recorded nine straight days of net inflows totaling approximately $2.11 billion. Strategy funds added over $3.8 billion worth of BTC in the past month. The current key resistance level for BTC lies near the CME gap around $82,000. BTC perpetual contract funding rates remain persistently negative; a breakout above this level could trigger short-covering. Implied volatility continues declining, and risk-reversal skew has narrowed somewhat, signaling gradually rising market interest in upside exposure. Key events this week: - April 29: Earnings reports from Microsoft, Amazon, Meta, and Google, plus the FOMC interest-rate decision. - April 30: Apple earnings report, U.S. Q1 GDP data, and March PCE inflation data.
CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler stated that, following the market pressure release in spring, selling pressure from short-term holders (STH) has significantly eased. The Bitcoin market’s recovery remains ongoing, with the current price approaching the STH cost basis. The key catalyst for the next leg of price movement lies in whether Bitcoin can sustainably hold above the ~$83,000 STH cost level. Only a confirmed breakout and stabilization above this level will allow the market to further validate the actual selling pressure from short-term holders—and determine whether such pressure will re-emerge to suppress prices again.
According to BIT on Target’s weekly report, the Bitcoin bear market phase may be nearing its end, with multiple time-frame signals gradually converging. The weekly stochastic oscillator has declined to its lowest level since January 2023—a reading that historically corresponds to market bottom zones. Meanwhile, the trend model has also turned bullish, and the current price action exhibits stronger continuity conditions compared to the previous two signal reversals. On the price front, Bitcoin is currently consolidating near $70,000, gradually approaching its 21-week moving average—the critical bull-bear demarcation line. The report notes that $73,000 has served as a key inflection point since March 2024; a decisive breakout and sustained hold above this level would further confirm the reversal signal. On-chain capital inflow data shows a recent monthly inflow of approximately $1 billion—marking a clear improvement over prior periods of deep net outflows. The report also cautions that, before prices enter the target zone, the upward momentum may still be disrupted by short-term risk factors.
Bitcoin is once again approaching the $80,000 mark. Market analysis suggests that this level has become a key resistance point to test the strength of the current rebound. On the capital front, continued institutional inflows are providing support. Data shows that Bitcoin spot ETFs have recorded net inflows for six consecutive days, while Ethereum spot ETFs have also seen inflows for nine straight days, indicating a recovery in risk appetite. Meanwhile, whale addresses holding over 1,000 BTC have cumulatively added approximately 270,000 BTC over the past 30 days, marking the largest monthly increase since 2013, and exchange reserves have fallen to their lowest point in seven years.In terms of on-chain data, Glassnode points out that Bitcoin has reclaimed the "Realized Price" (approximately $78,100). However, the cost basis for short-term holders sits around $80,100, forming a direct pressure zone. Should the price reach this range, over 54% of short-term investors would be in profit, a scenario historically associated with the peak of a rebound phase. At the same time, the perpetual contract funding rate remains negative, indicating a significant short position. Given the ongoing improvement in spot demand, this could provide short-squeeze momentum for a subsequent upward move.In summary, while the capital structure and market resilience have improved, the $80,000 level remains a key watershed. The market has yet to confirm whether it can transition from a resistance level to a support level. (The Block)
PrimePiper has launched an enterprise-grade prime broker platform for AI agents, designed to address challenges including fragmented account management, inadequate risk control, inability to reconcile across venues, and insufficient compliance auditing in AI-driven automated trading. According to the company, its infrastructure supports unified connectivity to multiple trading venues—including Hyperliquid, OKX, Tiger Brokers, and Interactive Brokers (IBKR). For risk control, PrimePiper offers enterprise-grade API key management, spending limits, and circuit-breaker mechanisms to constrain AI agent trading behavior. At the execution layer, it enables automated strategy execution via SDK or the Model Context Protocol (MCP). For compliance and auditing, it provides audit-grade reporting capabilities tailored for funds and traders. PrimePiper has been selected for the latest cohort of Founders Inc’s accelerator program; its product is currently in the Alpha stage. Team members hail from Galois Capital, Kraken, DRW, and AWS.
Odaily News Grayscale analyst Zach Pandl disclosed data showing that Bitcoin has rebounded over 20% from its low of around $63,000 in early February. The current price is approximately $76,000, slightly above the average cost (realized price) of about $74,000 for buyers over the past 1 to 3 months. This means most short-term investors have returned to the break-even range.Analysis suggests that if the price rises further, more recent buyers will enter a profitable state, which is often considered one of the important signals in the early stages of a bull market. However, Bitcoin remains below its high from last October. Market views indicate that this round of recovery may have formed a relatively solid interim bottom in the range of $65,000 to $70,000.
Crypto analyst Ali published a detailed analysis on X, arguing that rather than debating whether Bitcoin has hit its bottom, market participants should focus on whether the current volatility represents a “generation-defining entry opportunity.” Based on long-term trend lines, on-chain liquidity, and cost distribution metrics, Ali delineates the core “value range” for this cycle. On the support side, the UTXO Realized Price Distribution (URPD) shows a significant concentration of coins in the $63,111–$70,685 range, forming the current primary support zone; if price breaks below $63,111, the market may enter a liquidity vacuum. From a long-term perspective, Bitcoin is approaching the key upward trend line from the past decade (approximately $56,000–$60,000), a level historically associated with accumulation phases preceding major rallies.
According to CoinDesk, Bitcoin is currently trading at approximately $71,200, while Ethereum trades at $2,185; the broader market remains range-bound. Bloomberg analyst Mike McGlone warned that if Bitcoin fails to reclaim $75,000, it risks falling as low as $10,000; conversely, Fundstrat founder Tom Lee believes the market bottom has already been established. In derivatives markets, Bitcoin futures open interest rose to 726,000 BTC, with the 24-hour Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) remaining positive for two consecutive days and funding rates slightly above zero—indicating an overall bullish bias. In contrast, CVD and funding rates for ETH, XRP, and Solana are marginally negative. The volatility index continues to decline, with the market anticipating price swings of only about 2.5% around Friday’s inflation data release. Among altcoins, MANA and AERO each rose roughly 6%; however, MANA’s gain coincided with a 25% surge in open interest, suggesting leveraged trading drove much of the move. Market participants are closely watching whether Bitcoin can decisively break above and hold $75,000—if achieved, it could trigger capital rotation into oversold altcoin sectors.