News linked to both this project and an event.
Odaily Seer Channel monitoring shows that the probability on Polymarket for "Claude Fable 5 will be restored for US customers by June 26" has dropped to 41%, down 16% in 24 hours.Due to US government export controls imposed on national security grounds, Anthropic suspended global access to the Claude Fable 5 model just days after its release on June 9.Latest reports indicate that Anthropic executives have submitted a proposal to US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, pledging closer collaboration with the White House and working to address the security concerns that led to restrictions on its powerful "Mythos" and "Fable" models.Sources familiar with the matter say that during ongoing remediation negotiations, Anthropic has committed to resolving any security issues more quickly in the future, though there is currently no exact timeline for a complete resolution. Another insider stated that Anthropic co-founder and Chief Computing Officer Tom Brown, along with Head of Public Policy Sarah Heck, are leading negotiations with Trump administration officials. Representatives from both Anthropic and the Department of Commerce did not respond to requests for comment.Odaily Seer Channel continues to monitor prediction markets, seeing changes before they are priced in.
a16z crypto posted on the X platform, stating that prediction market open interest reached $1.48 billion in the week ending June 15, hitting a new all-time high for the second consecutive week. Unlike trading volume, which reflects daily activity, open interest tracks the funds participants have deployed and remain at risk. This metric has grown approximately sixfold over the past year, indicating that users are maintaining longer-term financial positions and that prediction markets are evolving into durable market infrastructure. Major events attract a large number of users, and more traders are staying to participate in a wide range of markets covering politics, economics, culture, crypto, and more.Previously, a16z crypto stated that multiple events, including the World Cup, synergized to push prediction market weekly trading volume to a new all-time high of $10.8 billion.
Odaily Seer Prophet Channel monitoring shows that the Polymarket “GPT-5.6 will not be publicly available before June 28” probability has risen to 78%, up 67% in 24 hours.OpenAI Chief Scientist Jakub Pachocki described GPT-5.6 as a significant upgrade over GPT-5.5 in an internal memo on June 11. Analysts suggest that previous leaked information related to the Codex backend in May, along with the relatively fast iteration pace following the release of GPT-5.5 on April 23, have strengthened market expectations for the imminent launch of GPT-5.6.The rules stipulate that GPT-5.6 includes both models explicitly named GPT-5.6 and models identified by OpenAI as direct successors to GPT-5.5 (such as GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc.). Task-specific models, cost-optimized versions like Nano/Mini, and o-series reasoning models are not within the scope of this event. Next-generation flagship models such as GPT-6 are also ineligible. Eligible models must be officially opened for public use, including open beta or open waitlist forms. Versions limited to closed beta or private access do not meet the settlement criteria.This event will primarily rely on OpenAI’s official announcements and website information as the main basis for settlement, supplemented by verification from credible media reports.Odaily Seer Prophet Channel continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing changes before prices are set.
According to CoinDesk, STRC—Strategy’s dividend-paying preferred stock—recently fell below its $100 par value, sparking market discussion about the company’s capital structure and solvency. Key timeline events are reviewed below: May 14: STRC closed at $100 on the ex-dividend date; Bitcoin’s price remained above $80,000, yet market stress was already evident. Concurrently, Strive Asset Management announced its competing product, SATA, would adopt a daily dividend mechanism, raising its yield to 13%, further intensifying competitive pressure on STRC. May 15: Strategy announced it would repurchase $1.5 billion of its 2029 convertible bonds at an ~8% discount. The market subsequently noted that the company used its U.S. dollar cash reserves—previously earmarked for dividend and debt servicing—to execute this transaction. May 26: Strategy confirmed its cash reserves were deployed in the bond repurchase, reducing its cash balance to approximately $871 million—enough to cover only about six months of STRC dividend payments, down from its prior target of maintaining roughly 24 months of coverage. June 1: Strategy sold 32 BTC—the first Bitcoin sale since 2022—to demonstrate its ability to support dividend payments via asset sales. Following the announcement, MSTR’s stock price dropped 5.9%.
Bitcoin mining company Bitdeer released its latest weekly BTC report. As of June 19, 2026, its self-held BTC balance stood at 0 BTC (excluding customer deposits); this week’s BTC production was 218.1 BTC, all of which was sold, resulting in a net addition of 0 BTC.
Nasdaq-listed Bitcoin mining company Bitdeer has released its latest Bitcoin holdings data. For the week ending June 19, its Bitcoin mining output was 218.1 BTC, but it simultaneously sold 218.1 BTC, resulting in a net increase of 0 BTC. The company continues to maintain zero Bitcoin holdings.
According to the official announcement, HTX will open spot trading for O/USDT on June 19 at 18:00 (UTC+8). Deposits for O will be enabled starting June 19 at 16:00, and withdrawals will be enabled starting June 20 at 18:00.
Monitoring by Odaily Seer Prophet Channel shows that the probability of "Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers before July 1" on Polymarket has risen to 73%, up 33% in 24H.If Anthropic reopens Claude Fable 5 (or Claude Mythos, or a version confirmed to be the same model) to the US public before the specified date, this event will settle as "Yes"; otherwise, it will settle as "No". Qualifying methods of restoration include public beta or public waitlist; closed testing and private access do not count. Other models such as Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus are not included by default unless they are confirmed to be the same model as Claude Fable 5. Settlement will primarily be based on official announcements from Anthropic, supplemented by consensus reports from mainstream media.Due to export controls imposed by the US government on national security grounds, Anthropic urgently suspended global access to the Claude Fable 5 model just days after its release on June 9. Although the restrictions were primarily aimed at foreign users, due to the difficulty of real-time user identity screening, Anthropic ultimately closed access for all users, including those in the US, and switched requests to less capable models such as Opus 4.8. Anthropic is currently engaged in high-level discussions with the White House on issues including model capabilities and potential jailbreak risks. The company has publicly stated that the ban may have stemmed from a misunderstanding and is actively pushing to restore access.Odaily Seer Prophet Channel continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing changes before they are priced in.
According to an official announcement, South Korean crypto exchange Upbit will list the PEAQ, LIT, KMNO, MORPHO, GRAM, LDO, PAXG, OSMO, and AMP tokens on its BTC and USDT markets. Trading for these tokens will begin at 3:00 PM local time on June 19.
Odaily reports, VistaShares posted on X platform that Micron will release its earnings on June 24, with revenue achieving triple-digit growth for multiple consecutive quarters. VistaShares pointed out that the key indicator to determine whether this memory cycle is sustainable or has peaked is the gross margin, with Micron's latest guidance approaching 81%, compared to 37% one year ago.VistaShares noted that revenue reflects delivered results, serving as a retrospective figure in a supply-constrained market, locked in by contracts signed several quarters ago. Profit margins reflect pricing power, which begins to change first when supply starts to catch up with demand. Memory always collapses on margins, not on revenue.
According to the Federal Reserve’s official website, on June 18, the Federal Reserve issued a proposal that would require certain payment stablecoin issuers to establish effective Customer Identification Programs (CIPs), with requirements largely aligned with existing Know Your Customer (KYC) standards applicable to banks and credit unions. The proposal was jointly issued by the Federal Reserve and four other agencies. The public may submit comments within 60 days after the proposal is published in the Federal Register.
According to The Block, Kraken officially launched its on-chain DEX trading functionality on June 18, enabling users to directly access thousands of tokens within the Solana ecosystem through Kraken’s main app—without leaving their familiar interface. This launch is powered by Kraken’s embedded wallet infrastructure Privy and several leading Solana DEX protocols. DEX assets will be displayed alongside existing assets in the Portfolio view, and users can trade using their USD or USDC balances. Kraken stated that it plans to expand DEX functionality to additional ecosystems in the future.
According to the official announcement, Binance Futures will launch the RE-USDT perpetual contract on June 18, 2026, at 14:00 UTC, with up to 50x leverage. Concurrently, RE will also be listed on Simple Earn flexible products, spot trading (buy crypto), Binance Convert, VIP Loans, and margin trading (including cross-margin, isolated-margin, and portfolio-margin modes), supporting the RE/USDT and RE/USDC trading pairs.
Bitget has launched a new CandyBomb campaign with a total prize pool of 3 XAUT. This campaign is exclusively for new contract trading users. Eligible users can earn up to 0.03 XAUT per person by completing specified net deposit and contract trading tasks. Detailed rules are available on the official Bitget platform. Qualified users must click “Join Now” to register before participating. The campaign ends on June 28 at 18:00 (UTC+8).
Odaily reports, according to the official announcement, Gate will be the first to launch Re (RE) spot trading on June 18 at 22:00 (UTC+8), and will launch Re (RE) perpetual contract live trading (USDT settled) at 22:10 (UTC+8) with support for 1-20x leverage. In addition, Gate will list Re (RE) on its Flash Exchange platform at 23:00 (UTC+8).
According to the Huobi HTX announcement, Huobi HTX will enable RE deposits starting at 19:00 (GMT+8) on June 18. Spot trading for the RE/USDT trading pair will go live at 23:00 (GMT+8) on June 18. RE withdrawals will be available starting at 23:00 (GMT+8) on June 19. Reportedly, the RE Protocol is a protocol related to cryptocurrencies and blockchain technology, designed to simplify and optimize data transmission and processing across decentralized networks. By leveraging the RE Protocol, users can conduct secure transactions more efficiently while preserving privacy. Even crypto beginners can more easily participate in this space through the RE Protocol.
According to the official announcement, HTX (formerly Huobi) has launched perpetual contracts for SMH/USDT, SOXS/USDT, DELL/USDT, and GRAM/USDT on June 18, with a maximum leverage of 10x for all. Concurrently, HTX is hosting a trading party for SMH, SOXS, DELL, and GRAM perpetual contracts from 15:00 on June 18 to 15:00 on June 25 (UTC+8), with a total prize pool of up to $20,000. During the event, users who register and trade the SMH/USDT, SOXS/USDT, DELL/USDT, and GRAM/USDT perpetual contracts—achieving a cumulative effective trading volume of ≥$1,000—will share the prize pool based on their trading volume ranking. Additionally, new perpetual contract users trading any of the SMH/USDT, SOXS/USDT, DELL/USDT, or GRAM/USDT contracts will receive exclusive benefits.
Odaily Planet Daily reports that Bitget PoolX is about to launch the project Aivive (AVV). Locking BTC will distribute 33,333,333 AVV, with a personal staking cap of 50 BTC. The staking channel will be open from June 18, 19:00 to June 25, 19:00 (UTC+8).Additionally, users with positive BTC net deposits during the event period will receive a 2% BTC wealth management booster coupon after the event ends; users participating in PoolX for the first time who meet the net deposit requirements will receive a 10% BTC booster coupon. The net deposit calculation period is from June 18, 16:00 to June 24, 16:00 (UTC+8).
according to Aztec Labs monitoring, the team is investigating a potential vulnerability affecting an Aztec payments product that was discontinued in 2021. Approximately $2 million was transferred from an immutable smart contract. This discontinued product is an immutable Stage 2 Rollup version that was deactivated in 2022. Aztec Labs does not hold the admin keys or any control over the system, and thus cannot pause or upgrade it. This incident is separate from the attack on the Aztec Connect product on June 14. The Aztec Foundation stated that the product affected by this attack is not associated with any smart contracts of the current network or the AZTEC ERC20 token.
According to an official announcement, BitMart Futures will launch GSUSDT, ROKUUSDT, and GDXUSDT perpetual contracts on June 18, 2026, at 17:00 (UTC+8), supporting up to 20x leverage.