News linked to both this project and an event.
Delphi Digital has released its "Token Market Status Report," indicating that the token market in this cycle has been suppressed by multiple structural issues, including token unlocks occurring on a fixed schedule regardless of project performance, protocol revenues failing to effectively flow back to token holders, and airdrops gradually evolving into sources of exit liquidity.The report shows that since January 2025, among all newly listed tokens on major centralized exchanges (CEX), if purchased on the listing day and held to the present, an average investment of $1,000 would have dwindled to approximately $500. The median decline is 82%, with only about 12% of tokens still trading above their issuance price, reflecting a market structure that prioritizes "listing quantity over quality."Regarding tokenomic design, the research points out that across more than 400 unlock events, within a sample of 33, 28 tokens significantly underperformed relative to Bitcoin in the three weeks before and after the unlock, resulting in an average excess loss of approximately 7%. Moreover, most unlocks occur within 30 days, making it difficult for the market to effectively absorb the supply shock.The report also notes that the long-standing industry issue of "missing value accrual" is beginning to change. An increasing number of protocols are starting to use "Fee Switch" mechanisms to return revenue to token holders. For example, Hyperliquid allocates nearly all its fees to buybacks, Uniswap is burning 100 million UNI tokens, Jupiter uses 50% of its fees for buybacks locked for three years, and Aave has passed a DAO-approved weekly buyback plan of $1 million.However, the report emphasizes that fee-based buybacks alone are insufficient to resolve supply pressure. For instance, the scale of buybacks for some projects still cannot offset the selling pressure from token unlocks, leading to a situation where "buybacks only offset inflation but fail to generate net buying pressure."Simultaneously, the structure of institutional capital is shifting. Institutional holdings of Bitcoin-related ETFs like IBIT have grown 62% year-over-year, with advisory channels increasing by 204% and sovereign wealth funds and endowments rising by 228%, while arbitrage-focused hedge funds continue to exit. Long-term capital, including BlackRock, Morgan Stanley, and Mubadala Investment Company, is increasing its allocation.The report concludes that in the next phase, more attractive token assets will simultaneously feature "revenue accrual mechanisms" and "supply release structures linked to protocol performance." However, the current market remains in the early stages of structural repair.
Bloomberg Senior ETF Analyst Eric Balchunas posted on X platform, pointing out that Bitcoin's volatility and correlation are increasingly approaching the level of gold. This trend has been significantly underestimated during the current market adjustment and may be a positive signal amid recent market turbulence. Based on the 60-day historical volatility comparison data of IBIT and the gold ETF (GLD) since their launch, Bitcoin's volatility structure is gradually converging with gold, indicating that its asset characteristics may be changing.Eric Balchunas added that despite the volatile market environment, the BlackRock Bitcoin Spot ETF (IBIT) has continued to outperform U.S. stocks since the escalation of the Iran conflict and has achieved more than double the excess returns compared to the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) since the approval of BlackRock's ETFs.
According to Kairos Research data, Hyperliquid’s (HYPE) spot ETF absorbed 1.04% of its market capitalization within the first 10 trading days after launch—outperforming the debut performance of spot ETFs for Bitcoin (0.59%), Ethereum (0.41%), and Solana (0.31%) when measured by market-cap-adjusted demand. Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas noted that 21Shares’ HYPE ETF (THYP) has surged 50% since its launch two weeks ago—growing faster than BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF, IBIT.