News linked to both this project and an event.
According to BeInCrypto, Grayscale Head of Research Zach Pandl released a report using the "earnings per token" method to value Hyperliquid (HYPE). The report assumes Hyperliquid's 2027 earnings will be approximately $1 billion (an increase of about 20% compared to 2025), and expects the circulating supply at that time to reach 270 million to 310 million tokens, corresponding to earnings per token of approximately $3.25 to $3.75. Calculated at the current price of approximately $54, the forward P/E ratio is approximately 15 to 18 times, suggesting it still holds a valuation advantage compared to fintech stocks.
Grayscale stated HYPE's forward P/E ratio is approximately 15 to 18 times. Hyperliquid possesses real cash flow and can therefore be valued like a stock, but the valuation is based on earnings per token rather than earnings per share. Based on this, compared with fintech peers such as Coinbase, Robinhood, and Circle, HYPE still appears inexpensive. Market data shows that HYPE is currently trading at $55.32, down 1.5% in the past 24 hours.
Dragonfly managing partner Haseeb Qureshi said that as mature networks become harder for startups to challenge, crypto venture capital may eventually enter a "last funds" phase. He noted this does not mean the crypto industry is disappearing, but rather that scale, liquidity, and network effects are increasingly concentrated among a few mature platforms. Qureshi stated that by 2030, most important companies in the crypto space may already be established. While large platforms will continue to grow, the room for new entrants to disrupt the market will be limited. He believes investors may underestimate the possibility that continued growth in the crypto market will not necessarily translate into investable startups. Cryptorank data shows that as of July 28, only 150 independent venture capital firms participated in crypto funding rounds in July, the lowest level since November 2020 and down from a peak of 1,177 active investment firms in May 2022. Qureshi is cautious about startups built around single financial products on platforms like Hyperliquid. He stated that if Hyperliquid controls the distribution channels, such companies are essentially closer to dealers than to businesses with lasting durability.
Trasia Labs has announced the completion of a $1.75 million seed funding round, with Multicoin Capital as the sole institutional investor. The project is a perpetual contract trading platform natively built on Hyperliquid, primarily targeting the Asian market. It is currently connected to the native perpetual market on Hyperliquid in a non-custodial manner, with plans to later launch its own perpetual contracts based on the HIP-3 protocol.
Odaily News Renowned trader Ansem posted on X, stating that buybacks (for token prices) actually don’t have much effect.Ansem further noted that Hyperliquid's annualized revenue is $800 million, while Pump.fun's annualized revenue is $440 million; however, HYPE's FDV is as high as $65 billion, whereas PUMP's FDV is only $1.4 billion. Both teams regularly use a portion of their business profits for buybacks, yet their P/S ratios are vastly different.This disparity doesn't stem from how much revenue the businesses actually generate, but rather reflects the market's "trust premium" for the teams — a trust determined by their actions and decisions in the market. Hyperliquid never over-promises, focuses purely on product delivery, and generously rewards core users who contribute the most to the platform based on established metrics. In contrast, Pump.fun generated $1 billion in revenue, raised another $1 billion in an ICO, and promised users an airdrop, but has yet to deliver. Despite being one of the most successful and profitable businesses in the crypto industry, they lack a social consensus bond with their core user base and thus cannot achieve the trust premium that Hyperliquid enjoys.Therefore, what determines a business's valuation includes not only the "tangible value" derived purely from revenue and other metrics but also "intangible value." Trust, memetics, and attention are all crucial in the market, yet they are currently discussed far too little.
On-chain analyst Ai Yi posted on platform X, stating that on the Hyperliquid order book, someone has placed a buy order for 6.824 million US dollars worth of ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT) at a price of 6 US dollars; if calculated at the current price of 6 US dollars, the market value of ChangXin Memory Technologies would be approximately 2.72 trillion yuan, with a total of 66.88 billion shares, surpassing the current market value leader Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC), which stands at 2.66 trillion yuan.
According to Hyperinsight monitoring, Zhipu AI (ZHIPU), after cumulatively declining over 15% from recent highs due to expectations of share unlockings and placement financing, rose 8.3% in the past 24 hours today alongside the overall recovery of HK tech stocks and AI concepts and a rebound in market Risk-on sentiment, currently quoted at $269.04 on Hyperliquid.
According to Hyperinsight monitoring, Zhipu AI (ZHIPU) has been declining continuously since hitting a peak of approximately 17x its IPO price on May 29; it fell another 15.22% over the past 24 hours to $256.81, leading declines in the Hyperliquid HIP-3 market.
Multicoin has published a report stating that the market is severely underestimating the value of Hyperliquid's native token, HYPE, and believes it still has over 400% upside potential in the coming years. The firm estimates that, in a base case scenario, HYPE's price could reach approximately $319 by 2028.Multicoin believes the current market is too narrowly viewing Hyperliquid as a fast-growing decentralized perpetual contract exchange, when in reality it is evolving into an "Everything Exchange" covering multiple assets and trading scenarios.The report states that at the current price of around $63, HYPE is clearly mispriced. Multicoin estimates that by 2028, Hyperliquid's annualized profits could reach approximately $80 billion. Valued at a 20x earnings multiple, this would correspond to a HYPE price of around $319.Multicoin also disclosed that it has been actively buying HYPE since February of this year, and HYPE has become one of the largest holdings in its liquid hedge fund. Recently, HYPE broke through $76 to hit an all-time high, driven by positive catalysts such as ETF inflows, strong protocol revenue, and aggressive buyback plans. It subsequently pulled back with the broader market and was trading around $62.47 as of Thursday afternoon.
Odaily reports: Blockchain data infrastructure startup Cambrian has secured $6 million in seed funding, co-led by Franklin Templeton and Polychain Capital, with participation from Flow Traders, Selini Capital, Paper Ventures, Nomad Capital, and others.As previously reported by Odaily, Cambrian also received a $5.9 million pre-seed investment led by the a16z Crypto Startup Accelerator, bringing its total funding to $11.9 million.Founded in 2024, Cambrian currently offers APIs for institutions and AI agents, providing real-time and historical on-chain data covering yield, risk, lending rates, trading activity, liquidity positions, and market sentiment, helping users allocate capital on-chain. The company plans to expand its existing APIs into a verifiable blockchain data oracle network, serving institutional financial clients, AI agent builders, and protocols that require reliable data to control capital flows. Unlike traditional oracles that primarily provide price data, Cambrian aims to aggregate data from lending protocols, DEX liquidity, social sentiment, developer activity, and historical market data.According to Cambrian, its platform has processed millions of API calls, currently indexes approximately $4.5 billion in TVL across four major lending protocols, tracks 1,789 vaults managed by 895 curators, and monitors over 320,000 DEX liquidity pools on Base and Solana. The company also plans to expand trading data support by integrating Hyperliquid and richer perpetual contract data.
OdailyOdaily reported that after SpaceX was listed on Nasdaq last Friday at a valuation of over $1.7 trillion, trading volume surged for the SpaceX-related HIP-3 perpetual contract SPCX on Hyperliquid. Data shows that the xyz:SPCX trading pair reached a daily turnover of $1.4 billion, accounting for 30% of all HIP-3 trading volume that day.In comparison, during the three weeks before the SpaceX IPO, the average daily trading volume of xyz:SPCX was only about $26 million, indicating that the IPO event significantly amplified trading activity for on-chain equity-linked derivatives.Looking at the broader HIP-3 ecosystem, the cumulative turnover for equity-linked perpetual contracts in the first half of June has already exceeded $18.8 billion, significantly higher than the combined $7.66 billion for crude oil and Brent crude oil perpetual contracts.This suggests that as highly anticipated stocks like SpaceX enter the on-chain trading arena, platforms such as Hyperliquid are becoming key gateways for crypto users to gain exposure to traditional assets, with activity in equity perpetual contracts already surpassing that of some traditional commodity markets.
Ventuals today announced it will gradually shut down its operations and integrate into the Hyperliquid ecosystem team, marking the official conclusion of its 24/7 private market experiments. The platform, which focuses on trading pre-IPO private tech companies, had raised over 500,000 HYPE tokens and achieved a total trading volume of approximately $650 million.The platform's existing HIP-3 markets are now entering the settlement phase. Pre-IPO markets such as OpenAI and Anthropic are settling based on a 24-hour weighted average price, with corresponding prices of $1,341.80 and $1,618.90 respectively. Commodity and index markets including MAG7, semiconductors, and energy will be suspended in batches starting June 18, with open positions being auto-liquidated.vHYPE holders can redeem their staked assets at a 1:1 ratio and claim corresponding rewards. Withdrawal services will be initiated in batches starting June 19, with processing times ranging from 7 to 72 hours. The project has terminated its points and promotional activities and has clearly stated that no tokens will be issued. Officials require all users to complete fund withdrawals and wallet export operations by September 15.
“White-Haired Stock Guru” Serenity posted a summary of the regional market style differences observed on X:1. USA: Bullish on all “futuristic” narratives, such as targets like $SPCX. Less sensitive to valuations, more focused on potential and imagination.2. Europe: From SIVE to SOI, attention to AI infrastructure construction is relatively weak. The time frame leans toward performance over the past 12 months (specifically noting that Belgium has performed decently, while observing France and Sweden).3. South Korea: High-leverage “Degen” style with extremely volatile markets, similar to the intense fluctuation structure of “50x Hyperliquid traders entering the stock market.”4. Japan: Generally mild and supportive, with fewer aggressive short-selling or bearish expressions.Serenity added that data on other regions such as Latin America is still insufficient, but observations will continue in the future.
According to Odaily, the crypto derivatives contract SPCX, linked to a potential SpaceX IPO, has seen a rebound on the decentralized exchange Hyperliquid, reigniting market expectations for the space company founded by Elon Musk's first day of trading.Data shows that the SPCX contract traded back up to approximately $176 to $183 on Friday, recovering from a dip to around $153 earlier this week. This marks a significant bounce from the roughly $157 level observed when market attention peaked on Wednesday. The contract currently has an open interest of about $216 million, with 24-hour trading volume exceeding $150 million.SPCX does not represent ownership of SpaceX stock, allocation rights, or equity in the company; it is a cash-settled derivative. However, with the SpaceX IPO price set at $135 per share, the market views this contract as a key benchmark for gauging investor expectations of the opening price on the first day of listing.At the current price of around $183, SPCX implies a first-day premium of about 36% for SpaceX. Earlier, in May, the contract surged to $216, corresponding to a roughly 60% premium over the IPO price. When the contract fell to $157 earlier this week, the implied market premium narrowed to about 16%.Meanwhile, other informal market signals also indicate a rebound in investor sentiment. Bloomberg reports that derivatives data from IG International implies a market valuation for SpaceX of approximately $2.4 trillion, which is over 35% higher than the roughly $1.77 trillion valuation implied by the IPO price. Additionally, Polymarket users are currently assigning a 70% probability to SpaceX's market capitalization exceeding $2 trillion at the close of its first trading day.SPCX had previously fallen by about 30% over several weeks, reflecting traders' cautious stance on SpaceX's listing performance. The recent rebound suggests the market is re-pricing the potential for a higher valuation premium from the SpaceX IPO. (CoinDesk)
Odaily News Analysts believe that SpaceX's upcoming IPO could become a new source of short-term pressure for Bitcoin and the crypto market. As the company is reportedly set to open up to 30% of its IPO shares to retail investors, some investors may sell high-risk assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum to free up capital to participate in this high-profile offering.SpaceX plans to issue shares at $135 each, aiming to raise $75 billion, with a valuation of approximately $1.77 trillion. A GSR trading executive noted that crypto assets could become one of the funding sources for some investors looking to raise capital for the IPO.Recently, there have been views suggesting that hot IPOs like SpaceX, and potentially future ones such as OpenAI and Anthropic, could drive capital outflows from the crypto market, putting pressure on Bitcoin and Ethereum prices.However, SpaceX's listing could also conversely boost on-chain trading activity. Currently, platforms like Hyperliquid and Binance already offer SpaceX-related perpetual contracts and tokenized stock products, and trading activity for these assets may increase further with the IPO.
According to reports, SpaceX, the aerospace company led by Elon Musk, has attracted over $250 billion in investment demand for its IPO, surpassing its planned fundraising target of $75 billion. The offering is nearly 4 times oversubscribed, valuing the company at $1.8 trillion. Bankers and investors noted that long-term funds have submitted large orders. Pricing is expected to be finalized on Thursday, though demand figures could still change before orders are placed by major institutional investors. SpaceX's growth narrative is primarily tied to its satellite internet business, Starlink, which has become a significant source of revenue and profit for the company. SpaceX also highlighted that its artificial intelligence products address a market opportunity worth $23 trillion. Cryptocurrency exchanges including Binance, Coinbase, Kraken, and Bybit have listed pre-IPO perpetual futures for SPCX this month. Binance's related product has accumulated a trading volume of $2.1 billion over 18 days, covering over 130 countries. Decentralized exchange Hyperliquid recorded a trading volume of $70 million in the past 24 hours, with open interest exceeding $115 million. (Cointelegraph)
According to an independent analyst report by Markus Thielen on June 9, just days remain before SpaceX’s IPO, and market expectations continue to intensify. There is currently little indication that SpaceX will raise its expected offering price of $135, suggesting the targeted fundraising amount of $7.5 billion has already been substantially subscribed. Meanwhile, pre-IPO synthetic perpetual contracts tied to SpaceX are trading at $157 on Hyperliquid and $169 on Binance—both significantly above the expected offering price—with implied valuations on both platforms approaching $2 trillion. Although prices have retreated from earlier highs near $200, prediction markets still assign a 68% probability that SpaceX’s valuation will exceed $2 trillion by year-end, reflecting traders’ broad expectation of a strong IPO performance.
BIT Group posted on X platform, stating that with only days remaining until the SpaceX IPO, market expectations are heating up, with a general consensus that the stock is likely to perform well post-listing. Unlike many recent IPOs, there are currently few signs that SpaceX will raise its offering price, indicating that the target fundraising amount of $75 billion has already received fairly sufficient subscription coverage.Meanwhile, SpaceX-related pre-IPO synthetic perpetual contracts are trading at around $157 on Hyperliquid (calculated based on the old 11.9 billion share count) and quoting $169 on Binance, both significantly higher than the expected IPO price of $135. Although prices have fallen from around $200 a few days ago and undergone a repricing, the current implied valuations on both platforms still approach nearly $2 trillion, indicating that traders still anticipate a strong market debut for SpaceX. Prediction markets are also leaning towards optimism, with the current probability of SpaceX's valuation exceeding $2 trillion by the end of the year standing at 68%.
according to Hyperliquid market data disclosed by MLM, as the SpaceX IPO approaches, the SpaceX prediction market on Hyperliquid is currently quoted at approximately $166/share, corresponding to an implied valuation of about $2.15 trillion.Data shows that there are currently 4,528 traders holding open positions, of which 3,865 are long and 663 are short, with a long-to-short ratio of approximately 85:15. The open interest in this market is around $66.6 million, with cumulative trading volume exceeding $450 million, total units traded reaching 2.333 million, and the cumulative number of transactions over three weeks exceeding 917,000.In terms of profitability, among the 4,528 position holders, 1,001 are in profit, accounting for 22%; while 3,527 are in loss, accounting for 78%. Based on notional position size, the current largest short position holds approximately 27,100 SPCX units, with a position value of about $4.5 million; market maker Cumberland is the second largest short, holding approximately 18,700 SPCX short positions, valued at around $3.1 million.
According to Finance Feeds, Grayscale is in talks with Hyper Holdings Global LP to sell its proposed Hyperliquid ETF shares in exchange for approximately 2 million HYPE tokens—valued at roughly $115 million at current prices—as seed capital ahead of the fund’s listing. Meanwhile, Grayscale has renamed the product the “Grayscale Hyperliquid Staking ETF,” planning to list it on the Nasdaq under the ticker symbol HYPG. The addition of staking functionality distinguishes it from spot ETFs that merely track token price performance.