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Arthur Hayes: Rising Oil Prices, AI-Related IPOs, and Trump's Anti-AI Rhetoric Could Pop the AI Bubble and Drag Down the Crypto Market

Odaily News, June 9th — BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes stated in his latest article "Reality Test" that if oil prices continue to rise due to the US-Iran conflict, it could trigger a collapse of the AI stock bubble and drag the entire crypto market down.Hayes said that if traffic restrictions in the Strait of Hormuz persist deep into the second quarter, spot prices for hydrocarbons and other key commodities could rise in the third quarter. If oil prices continue to climb and inflationary pressures impact the US midterm elections, Trump might pivot to a tough stance targeting data center construction, AI regulation, and taxation. Hayes believes the market could anticipate Trump limiting AI capital expenditure and taxing AI companies, thereby triggering the burst of the AI stock bubble.Hayes also noted that since November 2022, the scale of AI-related debt issuance has been approximately $1.5 trillion, and US M2 has increased by roughly the same amount during the same period. He believes the three factors that could pop the AI bubble include rising energy costs, the market's inability to absorb three major AI-related IPOs — namely SpaceX, Anthropic, and OpenAI — and Trump's shift to opposing AI. In terms of portfolio, Hayes stated that Maelstrom's stock portfolio holds significant positions in US-listed energy producers; he has sold AI-related stocks and offloaded non-core crypto assets, having dumped HYPE, NEAR, and WLD last week, as well as selling ZEC due to the Orchard Pool vulnerability. He still holds Bitcoin and ETH and will execute tactical short trades via derivatives.

Euler takes over operations of HypurrFi's Mewler market, HypurrFi to gradually shut down and complete migration

Euler Finance announced it will take over the maintenance and operation of the Euler contract stack known as Mewler under HypurrFi on the Hyperliquid EVM. The relevant infrastructure is undergoing a smooth transition, with Clearstar Labs continuing to serve as the risk manager for the Prime, Yield, and Earn vaults. HypurrFi Scale and Pooled Markets are scheduled to gradually wind down and undergo orderly liquidation over the coming weeks. However, all existing markets remain solvent and fully operational, with no security vulnerabilities or emergency parameter adjustments.During the migration process, new borrowing functionality for some Pooled assets has been frozen, but HYPE, USDC, and USDT0 can still be used for liquidity provision to allow borrowers to gradually unwind their positions. Euler emphasized that its isolated lending architecture on HyperEVM will continue to serve as core infrastructure, jointly maintained by Euler and Clearstar Labs.The HypurrFi team stated that user deposits, positions, and collateral assets remain fully secure. This adjustment is an active strategic migration, not a security incident or protocol failure. According to the plan, Euler Prime and Yield markets will become the primary entry points for lending and yield markets on HyperEVM moving forward. The HypurrFi brand will be gradually phased out, with related support services closing after May 28. Full market liquidation is expected to be completed by July 15, 2026.HypurrFi also reminded users to be aware of risks and fraudulent links during the migration process, to operate only through official channels, and to use the built-in migration tools to transfer Pooled positions to Euler Prime or Yield markets.