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Analyst: Retail BTC Inflows to Binance Hit 6-Month High, While Whale Inflows Continue to Decline

Odaily reports: CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost posted on X that as BTC has held above $80,000 for several consecutive weeks, the behavior of retail investors and whales transferring BTC to Binance has diverged significantly. Data shows that the 30-day cumulative retail BTC inflows to Binance have risen from $5.5 billion to $10.75 billion, nearly doubling and hitting a 6-month high. In contrast, whale inflows over the same period have continued to decline, dropping from $5.9 billion at the end of August to the current $3.8 billion.Darkfost believes that some retail investors may be viewing this first rebound as an opportunity to reduce positions or exit, while whales have not yet shown a clear willingness to sell. What is worth watching going forward is whether whales will continue to maintain low exchange inflow levels if BTC prices continue to rise.

Pirate Chain Hit by Vulnerability Exploit, Causing Approximately 20% Increase in Token Supply

According to official reports, privacy blockchain project Pirate Chain disclosed that it suffered a transaction verification vulnerability exploit, resulting in the unauthorized minting of approximately 39.8 million ARRR and an increase in the total token supply of about 20%. The attacker transferred the newly minted funds into the Sapling shielded pool, after which part of the funds flowed into the NonKYC exchange, with related deposit accounts restricted from withdrawals; due to the shielding features of the transactions, the complete subsequent flow of funds cannot be traced.

Bonk Guy: SI May Have Hit a Local Bottom, Bullish on SI Breaking Its All-Time High

Bonk Guy posted on X platform stating that Super Inu (SI) has maintained price support despite a significant increase in trading volume. Although the largest holder previously sold approximately 4% of the total token supply, the price did not decline further significantly, which he believes may indicate that SI has reached a local bottom.Bonk Guy pointed out that SI is currently at the bottom of its price range. As large holders reduce their positions, the token's holding distribution has noticeably improved, and its appeal to whales and new buyers is increasing.He believes that SI is one of the stronger emerging Meme coin narratives in this cycle. The current risk-reward ratio for going long is attractive, and he expects it to potentially break its all-time high in the future, reaching a market cap of at least several hundred million dollars.

Bonk Guy: SI Poised to Hit New Highs, Market Cap Could Reach Hundreds of Millions

crypto KOL Bonk Guy posted on X platform, stating that panic selling in the market could last for hours or even days, and investors need not wait until the sell-off ends to start buying, but should instead focus on opportunities when market participants broadly lose confidence.Bonk Guy expressed optimism about SI's performance after this round of panic selling, believing it is poised to hit a new all-time high in the future, with a market cap reaching hundreds of millions of dollars.According to GMGN data, SI's current market cap stands at $13 million, with a 24H decline of 11.8%.

Binance Research: Real Yields Hit New Highs Since 2008, Highly Concentrated Leadership in Crypto and Equity Sectors

According to a report from Binance Research, since August 31, the US 10-year Treasury yield has risen by 47 basis points to 5.22%, with 43 basis points driven by an increase in real yields (currently at 2.87%, peaking at 2.95% on October 5, the highest since 2008), while inflation expectations contributed only 4 basis points. Since the rate hike on September 16, leading market sectors have been highly concentrated: in equities, the S&P 500 rose 3.3%, led by semiconductors up 10.6%, while small-cap and bank stocks declined, and the equal-weight index remained flat; in crypto markets, Bitcoin gained 9.3%, Ethereum rose 2.7%, with Layer 2 (+32%), RWA (+29%), and AI tokens (+29%) leading the way, while Meme coins and payment tokens only advanced 5%. In terms of fund flows, net inflows into stocks on the Binance platform reached $169 million, with semiconductor-related inflows nearly quadrupling to $73 million, and Intel attracting $32 million in a single week despite a 12% drop in its stock price. Key focus areas ahead include the September CPI data (expected to rise from 3.4% to 3.7%) and the banking earnings season, which will serve as a key test of the current market landscape.

Analyst: Binance Ethereum Reserves Hit 6-Month Low, Single-Day Withdrawal Transactions Hit Record High

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost stated that the cryptocurrency market has recently entered a short-term correction phase, with the total market capitalization of altcoins excluding Bitcoin (Total2) shrinking by over $110 billion within three days; Ethereum (ETH) alone fell by 11%, erasing more than $38 billion in market value. Despite the price pullback, investors continue to accumulate and withdraw Ethereum. During this period, ETH reserves on Binance dropped from 3.57 million coins to 3.47 million coins, reaching a six-month low—a decrease of nearly 11.5% compared to the 3.92 million coins held in August. Meanwhile, withdrawal activity on the Binance platform surged significantly, with over 320,000 ETH withdrawal transactions recorded on October 6 alone, setting a new all-time high.

Ansem's Question Answered? Only 5 Tokens Meet the Criteria of "Ranked in the Top 100 by Market Cap in 2021 and Hit New All-Time Highs in 2025"

Renowned trader Ansem posted a question to the community: "Aside from USD and BTC, how many tokens can you name that have still hit all-time highs after surviving a full bull-bear cycle?" Crypto KOL @0xaporia compiled findings showing that, excluding BTC, only 8 tokens meet the criteria of "ranked in the top 100 by market cap in 2021 and hit new all-time highs in 2025." Excluding wrapped assets, these include only BNB, XRP, TRX, LEO, and OKB.

NEAR Intents Hit by $3.8 Million Exploit, Gives Hacker 48 Hours to Return Funds

Odaily News: NEAR Intents has stated that it has identified the attacker responsible for the loss of user funds and has demanded the return of $3.8 million within 48 hours through a "responsible disclosure" mechanism, after which the window will be closed.NEAR Intents suspended services on Thursday after discovering a vulnerability in the interaction between the Omni deposit and withdrawal infrastructure and its smart contracts. A preliminary investigation showed that the attack resulted in the theft of $3.8 million in user funds, and the platform has committed to fully compensating affected users.On-chain investigator ZachXBT disclosed that the related funds were transferred to the KuCoin exchange and subsequently bridged to Bitcoin. (Cointelegraph)

Analysts: BTC to Hit New All-Time High Before Christmas 2026

Crypto analyst PlanB (@100trillionUSD) tweeted outlining Bitcoin price scenario projections for the latter half of the current halving cycle (April 2024 to April 2028) (not predictions, for reference only): • October 2026: Break through $100,000 • Before Christmas 2026: Set a new all-time high, exceeding $126,000 • 2027 to 2028: Break through $232,000 (approximately four times the $58,000 bottom) PlanB emphasized that the above are merely scenario analyses and not price predictions, reminding investors to assess risks independently (DYOR).

Wintermute: Two Catalysts Materialize, BTC Breaks Out of Range to Hit Eight-Month High

Wintermute released its weekly market report, as the Federal Reserve voted unanimously 12-0 on September 21 to raise interest rates by 25 basis points to 3.75%-4.00%. Sixteen officials project at least one more rate hike this year, with inflation not expected to return to the 2% target until 2029. Two key catalysts previously monitored by the market—the FOMC rate decision and the CLARITY Act—have both materialized: the CLARITY Act failed to advance in the Senate (49-50 vote, falling short of the 60-vote threshold), prompting the SEC and CFTC to immediately state that they would establish crypto regulatory frameworks under their current authority. The market adjusted for only a single trading session before reclaiming its losses. BTC traded between $75,000 and $81,000 this week, closing at $81,159—the first time since last November it has breached the 50-week moving average; ETH gained 6.7%, trading in the $2,350–$2,600 range. Regarding ETF capital flows, net outflows totaled $746 million from Tuesday to Wednesday, partially reversed by $593 million in inflows from Thursday to Friday, resulting in a five-day net outflow of approximately $6 million. Outflows triggered by the CLARITY Act were nearly fully offset within 48 hours. At the start of this week, both BTC and ETH broke above the range resistance ahead of the U.S. equity market open. Fueled by approximately $250 million in short liquidations, BTC briefly surged to $86,000, setting an eight-month high. Wintermute’s analysis suggests:

Whale "Set 10 Big Goals First" Shares September Tweet Predicting Bitcoin Would Hit $100K: I Told You So

whale "Set 10 Big Goals First" reposted a tweet from early September on the X platform that said "Bitcoin holds steady at $80K and is aiming for $100K! Last chance to get on board," and posted: "I told you so."

Analyst: Bitcoin Hasn't Hit a New High in Nearly a Year, but Cycle High Intervals Keep Shortening

Odaily reports: Analyst Darkfost posted on X platform that Bitcoin is about to enter a phase of 365 days without setting a new all-time high (ATH). In previous cycles, Bitcoin typically set new highs shortly after halving, but this pattern appears to be changing. Meanwhile, the time interval from each cycle's peak to the next all-time high is also shortening: 1,180 days from 2014 to 2017, 1,094 days from 2017 to 2020, and 849 days from 2021 to 2024. Darkfost believes that if this trend continues, Bitcoin may reach a new all-time high more quickly this cycle. The next Bitcoin halving is expected to occur around April 2028.

Bonk Guy Names Three Tokens: USELESS, MARSCOIN, PONS May Be First to Hit $1B Market Cap

Odaily News: Well-known trader Bonk Guy posted on the X platform, stating that the three tokens USELESS, MARSCOIN, and PONS are expected to become the fastest projects in their respective niche tracks to reach a $1 billion market cap in the new cycle. He noted that USELESS, MARSCOIN, and PONS respectively represent two core narratives in the current market: USELESS and MARSCOIN serve as the "barbell ends" of the Meme track, while PONS represents the utility track. He also called on the community: "LOCK IN!".

Ansem: HOOD Will Hit a New High in Q4, Then Rally Another 50%

trader Ansem stated on X: "There is always a lag when TradFi companies integrate new crypto businesses, because those executives in suits often see the relevant data very late. I believe buying Robinhood (HOOD) right now is an excellent bet, as its technical chart has started to consolidate from the bottom, and they are adding a significant new revenue stream by launching Robinhood Crypto. In Q4, I expect HOOD to hit an all-time high (ATH), and then rally another 50% from there."

Refi Hub Co-founder Hit by Malicious Claude Link Attack, Contaminated Skill File Attempts to Steal Credentials

Odaily News: Numa Lunah, co-founder of the crypto project Refi Hub, stated that he was hacked after using a download link provided in a Claude chat window to install a transcription application. The link pointed to a fake website bundled with malware, which attempted to steal all information from his device upon execution.Numa Lunah said he wiped and reinstalled the affected laptop and found no signs of sensitive data leakage. Subsequently, he discovered a contaminated Claude Code skill file named SKILL.md in his backups. The file was disguised as a style guide written by himself and contained instructions to re-download malware and steal credentials every time it was loaded.Microsoft Defender Experts previously warned that attackers have shifted from search engine optimization poisoning to large language model response poisoning. These tactics include recommending attacker-controlled download links, AI-branded fake installers, and contaminated code repositories and agent skills. Individuals working in the crypto industry may hold irrevocable credentials such as mnemonic phrases, private key files, hot wallet JSONs, exchange API keys with withdrawal permissions, and deployer keys. (Bitcoin.com News)

Iranian Official: Plans to Attack Crude Oil Export Facilities Aim to Hit Trump Ahead of U.S. Midterm Elections

A senior Iranian official has stated that Tehran is planning to wage an economic war, including attacks on oil bypass export facilities in the Gulf region, with the aim of driving up U.S. gasoline prices and undermining the support rate of Trump's party ahead of the U.S. November midterm elections. According to the official's description, the targets of this plan will include two major alternative routes used by shippers to avoid the Strait of Hormuz: Saudi Arabia's Yanbu oil pipeline and the UAE's Fujairah oil terminal. Together, these two facilities handle approximately 5.5 million barrels of oil per day. If Iran simultaneously cuts off the roughly 5 million barrels per day of oil supply that the U.S.-backed "shadow fleet" currently transports through the Strait of Hormuz, a successful operation would weaken a significant portion of the alternative transport capacity—the very channels that have sustained some Gulf oil exports amid broader blockade conditions. Given that Brent crude prices are already near $93 per barrel under the current tense situation, any credible action targeting Yanbu or Fujairah could be perceived by traders as a shock far larger than previous supply disruptions. (Jinshi)

Standard Chartered Bank Analyst: US Treasury Expands Long-Term Bond Buyback, BTC May Hit $100,000 by Year-End

According to Cointelegraph, Standard Chartered Bank analyst Geoff Kendrick pointed out in the latest client report that the U.S. Treasury announced the scale of 10- to 30-year Treasury bond buybacks will be at least doubled from $2 billion per operation to $4 billion, with an execution period from September 9 to November 4. This policy drove long-term U.S. Treasury yields down significantly, effectively alleviating selling pressure in the bond market. Kendrick stated that such government liquidity interventions have historically been bullish for Bitcoin, and coupled with its fixed supply attribute, BTC is expected to hit $100,000 before the end of the year. Technically, he views $65,500 as a key support level; once effectively broken above, it can confirm that the bottom of this cycle has appeared.

Whales Assemble, Ultimate Showdown: Bybit Dual Currency Investment Challenge Season 7 Kicks Off, Winners Can Exclusively Enjoy Up to 2900 USDT

During the event, users who register and trade Bybit Wealth Management Dual Investment products can compete on the leaderboard for generous rewards. Users whose trading volume reaches the "Whale Threshold" can also unlock extra "Critical Hit Rewards," up to 2,500 USDT.

Bitcoin Small-Value Transfers Hit New High Since FTX Collapse, Coldcard Security Incident Sparks Self-Custody Debate

as the suspected hacking incident involving Coldcard wallets continues to unfold, Bitcoin small-value transfers have surged significantly, reaching their highest level since the FTX exchange collapse, reigniting market discussions on Bitcoin self-custody security.Julio Moreno, Head of Research at CryptoQuant, disclosed data on X platform showing that the number of on-chain Bitcoin transfers below 1 BTC has risen to its highest level since November 2022, with approximately 39,600 BTC transferred in a single day—only about 300 BTC below the record of 39,900 BTC set on November 16, 2022, just days after FTX filed for bankruptcy. He believes that users proactively taking action to address risks is a positive signal. Additionally, Eric Balchunas, Senior ETF Analyst at Bloomberg, noted that Bitcoin ETFs, backed by a mature regulatory framework and convenience, may offer some users a safer investment approach.However, industry insiders point out that the Coldcard incident more likely reflects issues with a single wallet provider or specific security processes, rather than indicating a failure of the entire Bitcoin self-custody system. This event once again highlights the importance of security awareness, risk diversification, and wallet usage habits in personal asset management.

Texas 2025 Crypto Kiosk Fraud Losses Hit $56.8 Million, Lawmakers Consider Measures Beyond Regulation

Odaily News: Data submitted by the FBI to a legislative committee shows that in 2025, losses related to cryptocurrency kiosks in Texas reached $56.8 million, involving 1,179 complaints, ranking first among all U.S. states. Nationwide, related complaints totaled 13,460, with reported losses surging 58% year-over-year to $389 million. Cryptocurrency kiosks accept cash and convert it into cryptocurrency, typically located at gas stations and convenience stores. According to Texas Tribune data, there are approximately 4,000 such machines in Texas. Scammers often trick victims into withdrawing cash from their bank accounts and depositing it into the machines. Jesse Saucillo, Deputy Commissioner of the Texas Department of Banking, stated that once funds are transferred out, recovery is nearly impossible, as the money typically flows to non-custodial wallets and then into mixers and other channels. He added that AI-generated impersonation content of police and state agencies has made phone-based scams more deceptive. AARP data shows that since 2023, around 30 U.S. states have enacted laws related to cryptocurrency kiosks. Indiana imposed a full ban on such machines in March, with Tennessee and Minnesota following suit. Texas House Committee Chairman Rep. Cole Hefner said the state will consider measures that go beyond the scope of regulation.