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, Greeks.live macro researcher Adam posted on platform X stating that through Options Terminal analysis of the weekend market, it was found that large funds mainly engaged in three types of operations:Selling near-term gamma and near-month volatility;Buying downside protection for medium-to-long-term tenors, or constructing defensive structures such as put fly and collar;Conducting pin and roll operations around the $79,000 to $80,000 range.He stated that the current market does not support chasing short positions, and the decline has not caused market concern, with whales expecting short-term consolidation.
According to analyst [email protected] (@BTC__options), the options expiry data for May 15 is as follows: For BTC, 25,000 contracts expired, with a Put-Call Ratio of 0.59, a maximum pain point at $80,000, and a notional value of $2 billion. For ETH, 274,000 contracts expired, with a Put-Call Ratio of 0.4, a maximum pain point at $2,300, and a notional value of $620 million. This week, Bitcoin traded sideways near $80,000, exhibiting clear technical support; market attention remained low, with only 6% of BTC options expiring, versus 11% for ETH. BTC’s key-term implied volatility (IV) stood at approximately 35%, while ETH’s was around 50%. Skew has fluctuated minimally over the past month, reflecting neutral directional sentiment, and options activity remains extremely low—approximately 20% of open interest is expected to remain by end-May and roughly 30% by end-June. Overall, Bitcoin performed relatively well in both price and market热度 during Q2 2024, supported by favorable legal, regulatory, and macroeconomic developments. However, market热度 still falls short of expectations. Against this long-term bullish backdrop, Bitcoin remains the primary trading instrument, and positioning in medium-to-long-dated options is widely viewed as a reasonable strategy.
Odaily Odaily News: Greeks.live macro researcher Adam posted on X platform, disclosing the options delivery data for April 24th:1. 109,000 BTC options expired, with a Put Call Ratio of 0.93, a max pain point of $72,000, and a notional value of $8.55 billion.2. 563,000 ETH options expired, with a Put Call Ratio of 0.72, a max pain point of $2,200, and a notional value of $1.32 billion.The market continued to rebound this week, with Bitcoin breaking above $78,000. The Hong Kong Web3 conference was also filled with an upbeat atmosphere, and the altcoin market is recovering as well. This is a monthly expiry, with 25% of options set to expire. In terms of holding periods, the distribution of open interest in the options market shows 12% for the end of May and 24% for the end of June.Looking at the main options data, Bitcoin's key tenor IV continued to decline this month, with most tenor IVs falling by 1% to 2% to below 40%. ETH's main tenor IV dropped even more, currently around 60%. Despite the price increase, Skew has declined, and there is no FOMO sentiment in the market.In the second quarter of this year, Bitcoin's performance in both price and market sentiment was significantly better than in the first quarter. This month's sustained rebound is a sign of capital inflow. If macro pressure bottoms out by mid-year, Bitcoin's bottom will also be confirmed.
According to options analyst [email protected] (@BTC__options), on April 10, a total of 27,000 BTC options expired, with a Put/Call Ratio of 0.71, a max pain level at $69,000, and a notional value of $1.94 billion; meanwhile, 151,000 ETH options expired, with a Put/Call Ratio of 0.77, a max pain level at $2,050, and a notional value of $330 million. Market-wise, spurred by news of a U.S.-Iran ceasefire this week, BTC surged past $72,000—breaking out of its recent consolidation range. BTC options’ market share has consistently exceeded 80%, with open interest concentrated in late April and late June expiries; trading activity is dominated by the current-month (late-April) expiry. In terms of volatility, BTC’s implied volatility (IV) across major tenors dropped sharply to around 40%, while ETH’s IV across major tenors also declined to approximately 60%. Skew continues rising, albeit modestly. Analysts note that BTC’s performance this year has been weak both in price and market热度 (heat). Although this week’s sustained rebound is rare, indicators such as fund flows suggest the crypto market remains driven by broader markets, with most of its own metrics pointing to bearish characteristics.