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In a write-up by Wintermute OTC trader @Jjay_dm, BTC ETFs recorded a net outflow of $463 million for the week ending September 14, marking the first negative reading since June's lows. ARK and Grayscale alone accounted for combined outflows of $371 million, while BlackRock remained flat. As a result, BTC fell 4.4% for the week to close at $76,838, making it the worst-performing asset, while Ethereum dipped 1.5% and altcoins collectively gained 1.0%. On the macro front, the US August CPI came in at 0.4% month-on-month (core 0.3%), exceeding the expected 0.2%, while the PPI annual rate hit 5.4%, prompting Goldman Sachs to upgrade its September rate outlook from "hold steady" to "increase." The market has now priced in an 87% probability of a 25-basis-point hike on Wednesday. Meanwhile, ongoing escalation in Middle East tensions pushed Brent crude past $105/barrel, and the 10-year US Treasury yield reached a 20-year high. Wintermute stated that following the shift to negative ETF flows, it favors a neutral over a bullish market stance. Two key catalysts this week: ① On Tuesday, the US Senate will hold a procedural vote on the CLARITY Act (Crypto Market Structure Act), which requires 60 votes to pass; ② On Wednesday, the Fed will announce its interest rate decision. While the rate hike itself is already fully priced in, subsequent hawkish commentary (particularly any signals pointing to continued tightening into Q1 2027) could exert downward pressure on the crypto market.
Odaily News: Zach Pandl, Head of Research at digital asset management firm Grayscale, said in an analysis on September 10 that even if Congress fails to pass the CLARITY Act this year, U.S. crypto regulation can still advance in areas such as stablecoins, token issuance, tokenized securities, and perpetual futures.U.S. President Donald Trump signed the GENIUS Act on July 18, 2025, establishing a regulatory framework for the issuance of payment stablecoins. The law requires issuers to hold full reserves and publicly disclose the composition of reserves on a monthly basis, and prohibits misleading claims that tokens are federally insured, backed by the U.S. government, or legal tender.The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has proposed Regulation Crypto Assets, which would allow qualifying projects to raise no more than $5 million over four years, or no more than $75 million in any 12-month period. The related exemptions and investment contract safe harbor remain in the proposal stage, with the public comment period closing on October 20.The near-term procedural milestone for the CLARITY Act is a cloture vote on the motion to proceed scheduled for September 15. This procedural vote requires 60 votes to pass and is not a final vote. Grayscale said the bill would still help clarify the division of regulatory authority between the SEC and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), but its failure to pass would not halt regulatory measures already underway. (Bitcoin.com News)
Grayscale Research head Zach Pandl stated that the U.S. CLARITY Act, aimed at establishing comprehensive regulations for the cryptocurrency market, will face a Senate procedural vote on September 15, requiring 60 votes to advance. Since Republicans currently hold 53 seats, the bill requires Democratic support to move forward, and prediction markets show a low probability of its passage by 2026.
According to The Block, multiple crypto companies are actively lobbying the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to expedite the ETF review process and allow the submission of confidential draft filings. Among them, Grayscale has explicitly requested that SEC staff commit to responding within 45 days. However, Jane Street and Charles Schwab have expressed reservations regarding this, voicing concerns about rushing the listing process and the confidential filing mechanism.
Odaily News The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has published responses to its request for comments on "Novel ETFs," funds that may hold crypto assets or employ unconventional strategies. The divergence in opinions centers on whether filing documents should remain public before the fund begins trading, and how fast the review process should be.Crypto asset manager Grayscale and the crypto policy organization Crypto Council for Innovation (CCI) support an optional confidential filing period to reduce the likelihood of competitors submitting imitation filings. Charles Schwab opposes full confidentiality and suggests disclosing filings at least 75 days before a fund launches.Grayscale requests the SEC to respond within 45 days, while CCI argues that the confidential process should not extend the automatic effectiveness or review deadlines. Venture capital firm Andreessen Horowitz (A16z) supports shortening the review timeline but emphasizes that the rigor of the review should not be reduced. Trading firm Jane Street, however, contends that accelerating the process could lead to lower product quality, competitiveness, and liquidity.The U.S. currently has 174 ETFs related to crypto assets. BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT) manages approximately $61 billion in assets, accounting for roughly 38% of the total assets of related ETFs. The SEC will determine whether adjustments will be made to the confidentiality arrangement and review speed of filings. (Bitcoin.com News)
Odaily News Crypto enterprises, asset managers, market makers, and consumer advocacy groups have submitted comments to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) in response to its request for input on the regulatory framework for "novel ETFs," covering exchange-traded products such as crypto assets, private assets, event contracts, and leveraged strategies.Crypto industry organization Crypto Council for Innovation (CCI) recommended extending certain regulatory accommodations applicable to ETFs to non-ETF exchange-traded products. Venture capital firm Andreessen Horowitz (A16z) stated that the SEC should assess products based on their underlying assets and risk profiles, rather than treating all novel ETFs as a single category.Grayscale opposed adding new portfolio restrictions for mature digital asset products, while Chainalysis suggested leveraging public blockchains to enable real-time monitoring and verifiable disclosures. Kalshi expressed support for including event contracts in registered funds, whereas consumer advocacy group Public Citizen opposed offering event contract ETFs to retail investors. The SEC will evaluate whether to adopt a unified regulatory framework or craft separate rules based on product structure and risk. (Decrypt)
As reported by Fortune, Grayscale CEO Peter Mintzberg authored an article stating that Bitcoin rallied nearly 20% last week, recording its strongest three-day gains since 2023 as the crypto winter slowly thaws. However, he cautioned that market participants remain overly focused on short-term price fluctuations, overlooking the long-term structural growth of digital assets. Mintzberg highlighted two key drivers: first, sustained expansion in institutional demand. In 2025, the daily average capital inflow into spot Bitcoin ETPs exceeded $500 million, roughly 12 times the daily new supply from miners. Additionally, a 2026 EY survey revealed that 73% of institutional investors plan to increase their digital asset allocations. Second, accelerated enterprise blockchain adoption. In 2025, approximately 60% of Fortune 500 executives stated that their companies are actively advancing blockchain initiatives, with major players like Fidelity, Visa, and Stripe all positioning themselves in the stablecoin sector. He also noted the complementary nature of AI and public chain technologies, adding that emerging demands such as machine-native micro-payments and cross-border instant settlements will further drive real-world blockchain adoption. As regulatory frameworks grow increasingly clear, digital assets are rapidly integrating into the mainstream financial ecosystem.
Odaily News Digital asset manager Grayscale Investments' Chief Legal Officer Craig Salm stated that the company's Zcash investment product has been upgraded to the world's first Zcash Exchange-Traded Product (ETP), marking a move of privacy-focused crypto assets into broader compliant investment channels. Following the launch of this Zcash ETP, investors can gain exposure to ZEC through SEC-registered traditional financial products. Grayscale noted that this signifies the Zcash ecosystem, after nearly a decade of development, is entering a new phase of institutionalization.Salm recalled that Grayscale launched the Zcash Investment Trust in 2018, when the ZEC trust product was just one of four products offered by the company. After years of regulatory engagement, the product was recently converted into the Zcash ETP, with the ticker symbol ZCSH. The process of bringing the Zcash product to the public market was not easy. Due to ZEC's privacy features, the company underwent greater regulatory scrutiny when launching its first publicly quoted Zcash fund in 2021, but ultimately completed the product rollout.Data shows that the adoption rate of Zcash's private transaction features has been steadily rising recently. In February 2026, ZEC shielded transactions reached an all-time high of 59.3% of total transactions, and after the latest Ironwood upgrade, it has again approached this level. Currently, the shielded pool holds approximately 4.4 million ZEC, accounting for about 26% of the circulating supply.
Odaily News - Digital asset manager Grayscale's Zcash ETF began trading on NYSE Arca on Tuesday under the ticker ZCSH. The product is the world's first exchange-traded product offering spot exposure to Zcash, allowing investors to track ZEC prices through securities accounts without needing to directly purchase or store the token.ZCSH was formerly known as the Grayscale Zcash Trust, established in October 2017 through a private placement. Grayscale filed an application with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission in November 2025 to convert the trust into an ETF, with shareholders holding shares that track the fund's ZEC holdings rather than holding ZEC directly.In May of this year, security researcher Taylor Hornby, using Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.8, discovered a vulnerability in Zcash's Orchard shielded pool that had existed for four years, which could potentially allow attackers to mint counterfeit ZEC. Developers deployed an emergency patch on June 1, but due to privacy mechanisms, it was not possible to cryptographically confirm whether the vulnerability had been exploited.Zcash activated the Ironwood upgrade in July, replacing Orchard with a new shielded pool and introducing accounting rules that limit the amount of ZEC exiting the old shielded pool to no more than the amount entering. Grayscale stated it will monitor the adoption of the Ironwood upgrade, network security, exchange support, and regulatory conditions for privacy assets. (Decrypt)
Odaily News: The latest financial disclosure from Michigan Democratic Congresswoman Rashida Tlaib shows that her retirement accounts hold Bitcoin and Ethereum-related ETFs, including up to $15,000 in the Grayscale Ethereum Staking Mini ETF, as well as up to $15,000 in the iShares Bitcoin ETF.Tlaib previously voted against the CLARITY Act, which supports cryptocurrency market structure legislation, and supported a resolution aimed at prohibiting so-called "crypto corruption." In addition to crypto asset-related ETFs, Tlaib's investments also include European and Asian market funds, international bond funds, and funds used to hedge against dollar risk. Her assets are distributed across accounts such as traditional IRAs, Roth IRAs, and college savings accounts. (New York Post)
Odaily News: Zach Pandl, Head of Research at digital asset management firm Grayscale, stated that Bitcoin's structural adoption trend continues, the current bear market has entered a deeper stage, and the macro outlook is generally favorable. These three factors may provide a basis for long-term investors to enter, though prices could still decline.Grayscale noted that Bitcoin's adoption growth is primarily driven by government deficits, the expanding application of blockchain technology in the financial services sector, and generational shifts in investor asset allocation. The current bear market has lasted 10 months, approaching the average and median duration of 11 to 12 months observed across the previous four cyclical bear markets.Macro risks mainly depend on real interest rates and Federal Reserve policy. The Federal Open Market Committee held the federal funds rate at 3.5% to 3.75% in July, and future rate hikes could push Bitcoin lower. Bitcoin briefly rose to $79,461 on August 21 before pulling back to around $77,000. (Bitcoin.com News)
According to Bitcoin.com, Zach Pandl, Head of Research at Grayscale, stated that the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission's (SEC) proposed regulations on crypto assets could increase network activity on Ethereum, Solana, and BNB Chain by reducing compliance uncertainties surrounding token financing, driving more U.S. issuers and investors to go on-chain, and potentially creating value for their native tokens ETH, SOL, and BNB.
According to a Grayscale research report, as AI-driven financial monitoring capabilities continue to expand, the demand for financial privacy is experiencing a third wave of renewed interest, potentially benefiting Zcash (ZEC). The report notes that Zcash’s zero-knowledge proof-based shielded transaction technology conceals the sender, recipient, and transaction amount, establishing a differentiated positioning compared to Bitcoin’s transparent on-chain records. Current on-chain data shows that shielded transactions now account for approximately 90% of Zcash’s total network transaction volume, while shielded supply has reached around 4.2 million ZEC, representing 25% of the circulating supply, with both figures hitting all-time highs. In terms of valuation, ZEC holds a market capitalization of approximately $8 billion, accounting for only 0.6% of the total market cap within Grayscale's "Cryptocurrency Monetary Sector". If its market share increases to 5%, the theoretical valuation space would be roughly nine times the current level. The report also cautions that Zcash faces multiple risks, including regulatory compliance, legacy issues from historical trusted setups, quantum computing threats, and protocol upgrade execution challenges, requiring investors to conduct prudent assessments.
Grayscale Research Director Zach Pandl stated in a post on platform X that Ethereum is like a "small country," while ETH has only one core "government function": protecting property rights and value exchange within the system. Unlike traditional countries that provide public services through taxation, Ethereum mainly relies on "seigniorage," i.e., issuing new ETH, to fund network security. Under this framework, stakers responsible for maintaining network security are equivalent to the group providing public services, receiving rewards through newly issued ETH. Therefore, Ethereum's staking mechanism and ETH issuance policy essentially constitute the network's fiscal policy and monetary policy simultaneously; more security guarantees usually mean stronger property rights protection, but at the cost of higher ETH issuance volume and potential other risks. Some community members believe that Ethereum's monetary and fiscal policy design should consider the security trade-offs brought by these key ratios, but the current mechanism has not yet fully incorporated these factors. Zach Pandl added that the above analogy may not be entirely accurate as it does not yet involve other important factors such as the ETH burn mechanism, MEV, governance, etc.; how the future ETH issuance policy will be adjusted remains to be seen based on community governance results.
Odaily News: Grayscale Head of Research Zach Pandl said that even if the Digital Asset Market Structure Clarity Act (CLARITY Act) is not passed, the operation of major blockchains, demand for Bitcoin as a store of value, and growth of stablecoin payments will not be immediately affected. Regulators will fill regulatory gaps through rulemaking. Zach Pandl noted that the lack of comprehensive market structure legislation could dampen new investment activity in the US, prompting crypto industry participants and startups to move to overseas jurisdictions with clearer regulatory frameworks. The US government will continue to support the development of the crypto ecosystem. Strategy co-founder and Executive Chairman Michael Saylor previously stated that regardless of whether the CLARITY Act is passed, Bitcoin will continue to develop, but the US needs regulatory clarity for digital assets. Senator Bernie Moreno said that Senate Democrats and Republicans have concluded related negotiations, and a vote will follow.
Grayscale Head of Research Zach Pandl stated that due to the Senate schedule and election-year political factors, the likelihood of the U.S. bipartisan crypto market structure bill, the CLARITY Act, passing this year has significantly decreased. The article suggests that the bill's failure to pass will not impact the operation of major blockchains or demand for Bitcoin as a store of value in the short term, nor will it hinder the growth of stablecoin payments.
According to Globenewswire, Grayscale Investments announced on August 5 that it has completed the Q2 2026 review and rebalancing of its multi-asset funds, involving three products: the Grayscale Decentralized Finance Fund, the Grayscale Smart Contract Fund, and the Grayscale Decentralized Artificial Intelligence Fund, and disclosed the latest constituent assets and weights as of August 3, 2026.
Odaily News: Digital asset management firm Grayscale has called on U.S. Senate leaders to hold a vote on the CLARITY Act before the August recess, warning that further delay could undermine U.S. competitiveness in the digital asset market. The company sent letters to Senate Majority Leader John Thune and Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, stating that ongoing regulatory uncertainty continues to subject digital asset businesses to enforcement pressure in the absence of a unified federal framework. The CLARITY Act aims to allocate regulatory oversight of digital asset markets between the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, while establishing a unified set of national market rules. The legislation also addresses market structure, custody, enforcement, stablecoins, government ethics, developer protections, and safeguards for direct asset holders.
Odaily Bitcoin has been declining since October last year, with its current price hovering around half of its all-time high of $126,000, indicating the market remains in a deep bear phase. Multiple industry analysts believe the current pressure on Bitcoin stems primarily from three factors: the four-year cycle, macroeconomic inflationary pressures, and market leverage liquidations.Matt Hougan, Chief Investment Officer at Bitwise, stated that Bitcoin's long-standing "four-year cycle" continues to influence investor psychology. Historically, Bitcoin typically undergoes approximately three years of an upward cycle followed by a one-year correction period. Investors have developed cyclical expectations and began reducing some long-term holdings towards the end of 2025.Additionally, the macroeconomic environment is a significant drag on Bitcoin. Zach Pandl, Head of Research at Grayscale, pointed out that rising inflationary pressures in the US have weakened market expectations for interest rate cuts. Investors are shifting towards higher-yielding traditional assets, leading to capital outflows from risk assets, including cryptocurrencies. The short-term bottom is estimated to be around $58,000, with future trends still influenced by interest rate policies, corporate Bitcoin buying behavior, and progress in US crypto regulatory legislation.Excessive market leverage has also exacerbated this correction. As a large number of investors expanded their Bitcoin exposure through borrowing and financing during the bull market, derivatives open interest has declined as the market weakened. Digital asset treasury companies have also come under pressure. Strategy's stock price has fallen approximately 75% since October last year, and its previously promoted model of corporate Bitcoin accumulation is facing renewed market scrutiny.However, some analysts remain optimistic about Bitcoin's prospects. Adrian Fritz, Chief Investment Strategist at 21Shares, predicts that Bitcoin may bottom out this summer, rebound after interest rates shift towards easing and geopolitical conflicts ease, with a year-end price target of $100,000. (Fortune)
Odaily News According to Cory Klippsten, CEO of Swan Bitcoin, the holdings of Bitcoin long-term holders have risen to a record high, potentially indicating that the bottom of this crypto market cycle could emerge earlier than in the past. Data from on-chain analytics platform Glassnode shows that long-term holders (those holding coins for at least 155 days) currently possess approximately 14.7 million BTC, a historic high, suggesting that seasoned investors are continuing to "hold" their coins, reflecting strong market confidence. The on-chain data also reveals that since November 2025, the supply held by long-term holders has grown by about 14%, indicating the market has re-entered an accumulation phase following a period of significant liquidation.Cory Klippsten pointed out that, in historical cycles, this level of holdings typically corresponds to a cyclical bottom zone, reflecting long-term capital's firm expectations for Bitcoin's future value. He believes this could mean the bottom for the current cycle will arrive earlier than the historical average pace.However, this view contrasts with some market predictions. For example, Jiang Zhuoer, founder of Lebit Mining Pool, suggests the Bitcoin cycle bottom could appear between October and December 2026, and may be influenced by the market Net Asset Value (mNAV) cycle. Furthermore, market sentiment is also affected by the progress of US crypto regulation. Grayscale noted that the passage of the "CLARITY Act" remains uncertain; any legislative delays could prolong institutional deleveraging, creating additional downward pressure on Bitcoin's price. (Cointelegraph)