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Wintermute: BTC ETF Records First Net Outflow Since June as Market Awaits Fed Rate Decision

In a write-up by Wintermute OTC trader @Jjay_dm, BTC ETFs recorded a net outflow of $463 million for the week ending September 14, marking the first negative reading since June's lows. ARK and Grayscale alone accounted for combined outflows of $371 million, while BlackRock remained flat. As a result, BTC fell 4.4% for the week to close at $76,838, making it the worst-performing asset, while Ethereum dipped 1.5% and altcoins collectively gained 1.0%. On the macro front, the US August CPI came in at 0.4% month-on-month (core 0.3%), exceeding the expected 0.2%, while the PPI annual rate hit 5.4%, prompting Goldman Sachs to upgrade its September rate outlook from "hold steady" to "increase." The market has now priced in an 87% probability of a 25-basis-point hike on Wednesday. Meanwhile, ongoing escalation in Middle East tensions pushed Brent crude past $105/barrel, and the 10-year US Treasury yield reached a 20-year high. Wintermute stated that following the shift to negative ETF flows, it favors a neutral over a bullish market stance. Two key catalysts this week: ① On Tuesday, the US Senate will hold a procedural vote on the CLARITY Act (Crypto Market Structure Act), which requires 60 votes to pass; ② On Wednesday, the Fed will announce its interest rate decision. While the rate hike itself is already fully priced in, subsequent hawkish commentary (particularly any signals pointing to continued tightening into Q1 2027) could exert downward pressure on the crypto market.

BlackRock IBIT bought $1.08 billion worth of Bitcoin over the past 20 days.

According to Arkham's monitoring, BlackRock's IBIT purchased $1.08 billion worth of Bitcoin over the past 20 days, with capital inflows on 7 of those days. During the same period, Grayscale's GBTC net sold $254.7 million worth of Bitcoin. Arkham stated that while BlackRock was buying, Grayscale was selling.

Zcash mining rewards per solo machine are about 2x Bitcoin's, with roughly 4x higher reward per unit of electricity

Odaily News: Crypto asset management firm Grayscale estimates that Zcash mining rigs generate daily mining rewards roughly 2x those of Bitcoin mining rigs, and about 4x on a per-unit-of-electricity basis. Zcash mining activity has grown to more than 2.5x its level at the start of the year.Zach Pandl, head of research at Grayscale, said that at current valuations, Zcash mining profitability is relatively high, as token price gains have driven up mining rewards and encouraged more hash rate to join. Grayscale believes that more hash rate can support network security.The comparison uses the Bitmain S23 Hydro and Bitmain Z15 Pro as samples, assuming an electricity price of $0.05 per kilowatt-hour, full-load operation, and excluding transaction fees. Pool fees, cooling, other operating expenses, and equipment costs are not included in the calculation, and actual profitability is still affected by these factors.Bitcoin miners' total daily rewards are about $35 million, higher than Zcash's roughly $2 million. Grayscale's Zcash investment product assets under management surpassed $500 million on September 8 and recorded more than $70 million in cumulative external inflows. (Bitcoin.com News)

Ethereum spot ETFs recorded a net outflow of $29.76 million yesterday.

According to data from Trader T (@thepfund), Ethereum spot ETFs recorded a net outflow of $29.76 million yesterday, with the following breakdown: • FETH (Fidelity): $25.15 million outflow, the largest of the day • ETHA (BlackRock): $18.59 million outflow • ETHE (Grayscale): $7.72 million outflow • ETHB (BlackRock Staked): $13.95 million inflow • ETH (Grayscale Mini): $7.75 million inflow

Yesterday, Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded net outflows of $283 million.

According to data from Trader T (@thepfund), Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded a net outflow of $283 million yesterday, including: • ARKB (Ark): Outflow of $164 million, the largest for the day • GBTC (Grayscale): Outflow of $36.38 million • FBTC (Fidelity): Outflow of $33.55 million • IBIT (BlackRock): Outflow of $24.46 million • HODL (VanEck): Outflow of $15.27 million • BITB (Bitwise): Outflow of $12.56 million • MSBT (Morgan Stanley): Slight inflow of $3.98 million, the only one posting net inflows for the day

Yesterday, Bitcoin spot ETF net outflows reached $120.24 million.

According to data from Trader T (@thepfund), Bitcoin spot ETFs saw a net outflow of $120.24 million yesterday. The details are as follows: • $ARKB (Ark): Outflow of $77.98 million, representing the day's largest outflow • $GBTC (Grayscale): Outflow of $27.22 million • $IBIT (BlackRock): Outflow of $19.53 million • $MSBT (Morgan Stanley): Inflow of $4.49 million, the only net inflow of the day • All other ETFs recorded zero net flow

Yesterday, US Ethereum spot ETFs recorded a net outflow of $24.29 million.

According to data from Trader T, U.S. spot Ethereum ETFs recorded a total net outflow of $24.29 million on September 8. Among them, Fidelity FETH saw a net inflow of $9.89 million; Grayscale ETHE had a net outflow of $9.57 million, and Grayscale Mini Ethereum ETF registered a net outflow of $24.61 million. BlackRock ETHA, Bitwise ETHW, 21Shares TETH, Invesco QETH, Franklin EZET, VanEck ETHV, BlackRock Staked Ether ETF ETHB, and Morgan Stanley MSSE all recorded zero fund flows on the day.

U.S. Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded a net outflow of $46.64 million yesterday.

According to Trader T data, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded a total net outflow of $46.64 million on September 8. Among them, BlackRock IBIT recorded a net inflow of $10.66 million, Bitwise BITB recorded a net inflow of $14.47 million, ARK ARKB recorded a net inflow of $8.06 million, and Morgan Stanley MSBT recorded a net inflow of $7.41 million; Fidelity FBTC recorded a net outflow of $17.05 million, Invesco BTCO recorded a net outflow of $4.68 million, and Grayscale GBTC recorded a net outflow of $65.51 million. Net flows for all other products were zero on the day.

Grayscale Zcash ETF Assets Under Management Surpass $500 Million

According to CoinDesk, Bitcoin briefly dipped to $77,666 on Tuesday before recovering to around $78,900 during Wednesday's Asian trading session. The asset saw minimal movement over a 24-hour period, posting a weekly gain of nearly 2%. Markets are currently focused on upcoming U.S. inflation data and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision scheduled for September 15–16. Meanwhile, Grayscale stated that its Zcash exchange-traded fund surpassed $500 million in assets under management just two weeks after its debut on NYSE Arca. Trading under the ticker ZCSH, the fund has attracted over $70 million in net inflows since its launch on August 25 and secured a $100 million investment from DCG International Investments. It currently holds more than 550,000 ZEC, representing approximately 3% of the ZEC circulating supply.

Yesterday, US Ethereum spot ETFs recorded a net inflow of $141 million.

According to data from Trader T, on September 3, US spot Ethereum ETFs recorded a total net inflow of $141.39 million. Specifically, BlackRock ETHA saw a net inflow of $72.07 million, Fidelity FETH saw a net inflow of $65.11 million, Invesco QETH saw a net inflow of $5.39 million, Grayscale Ethereum Mini Trust ETH saw a net inflow of $3.6 million, BlackRock Staked Ethereum ETF ETHB saw a net inflow of $1.29 million; Grayscale ETHE saw a net outflow of $60.7 million.

Yesterday, US bitcoin spot ETFs recorded net inflows of $731 million, the third-highest for the year.

According to data from Trader T, the total net inflow for US spot Bitcoin ETFs on September 3 reached $730.89 million, marking the third-highest single-day net inflow since 2026. Among them, BlackRock IBIT recorded a net inflow of $453.96 million, Ark ARKB saw a net inflow of $137.74 million, Fidelity FBTC had a net inflow of $74.45 million, Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust BTC recorded a net inflow of $48.79 million, and Bitwise BITB saw a net inflow of $24.76 million; meanwhile, VanEck HODL experienced a net outflow of $19.58 million, and WisdomTree BTCW had a net outflow of $5.16 million.

US Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded net inflows of $101 million yesterday.

As tracked by Trader T, US Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded total net inflows of $101.15 million on September 2. Among them, BlackRock IBIT saw net inflows of $115.45 million, Bitwise BITB recorded net inflows of $4.19 million, and Morgan Stanley MSBT had net inflows of $7.30 million; Grayscale GBTC experienced net outflows of $56.21 million. Fidelity FBTC, ARK ARKB, Invesco BTCO, Franklin EZBC, Valkyrie BRRR, VanEck HODL, and WisdomTree BTCW all posted zero net inflows for the day.

Yesterday, US Ethereum spot ETFs recorded a net inflow of $10.95 million.

According to Trader T data, US spot Ethereum ETFs recorded net inflows of $10.95 million on September 1, marking the 15th consecutive trading day without net outflows. Specifically, BlackRock Staked Ethereum ETF (ETHB) saw net inflows of $11.2 million, Fidelity (FETH) recorded $4.81 million in net inflows, and Morgan Stanley (MSSE) saw $2.34 million in net inflows; Grayscale (ETHE) experienced net outflows of $7.4 million, while flows for other products remained at zero.

US spot Ethereum ETF recorded a net inflow of $87.6 million yesterday.

According to data from Farside Investors, U.S. spot Ethereum ETFs recorded a total single-day net inflow of $87.6 million yesterday. BlackRock's ETHA saw net inflows of $59.9 million, Fidelity's FETH $9.3 million, Bitwise's ETHW $3.7 million, TETH $1.2 million, and Grayscale's ETH $13.5 million; other products recorded zero net inflows for the day.

US Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded a net inflow of $216.7 million yesterday.

According to data from Farside Investors, US spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded a total daily net inflow of $216.7 million yesterday. Among them, BlackRock IBIT saw a net inflow of $205.9 million, Fidelity FBTC $6.9 million, Bitwise BITB $4.3 million, Grayscale BTC $9.4 million, and MSBT $3.6 million. VanEck HODL posted a net outflow of $13.4 million, while all other products registered zero net flow for the day.

Bitcoin spot ETF net inflows reached $924.5 million last week.

According to data from Trader T, Bitcoin spot ETFs posted a net inflow of $924.5 million last week, with a trading volume of $15.5 billion. Over the past two weeks, Bitcoin spot ETFs have accumulated a net inflow of $2.8 billion, following a period where capital flows were generally flat to net outflows. Specifically, BlackRock's IBIT recorded net subscriptions of $938.3 million, equivalent to approximately 11,845 BTC; Grayscale's Mini BTC Trust saw net inflows of $81.9 million, representing about 1,034 BTC; Fidelity's FBTC attracted $62 million, roughly 783 BTC; and MSBT logged net inflows of $25.3 million, amounting to approximately 319 BTC.

Grayscale GBTC address transferred 340.45 BTC to Coinbase Prime and other addresses.

According to Arkham, on August 28 at 21:47 (Beijing Time), an address associated with the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust transferred 340.449091 BTC, valued at approximately $26.9186 million, to two addresses including Coinbase Prime Deposit.

Yesterday, Bitcoin spot ETF net inflow reached $242.3 million.

According to data from Trader T (@thepfund), Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded a net inflow of $242.3 million yesterday. BlackRock's $IBIT led with a +$277.6 million inflow, Ark $ARKB saw $29.7 million in inflows, and Bitwise $BITB attracted $21.7 million. Fidelity's $FBTC posted a daily net outflow of $83.6 million, while Grayscale's $GBTC experienced a $27.2 million outflow, serving as the main source of capital withdrawal for the day.

Grayscale CEO: The crypto winter is over, yet the market still overlooks the long-term value of digital assets

As reported by Fortune, Grayscale CEO Peter Mintzberg authored an article stating that Bitcoin rallied nearly 20% last week, recording its strongest three-day gains since 2023 as the crypto winter slowly thaws. However, he cautioned that market participants remain overly focused on short-term price fluctuations, overlooking the long-term structural growth of digital assets. Mintzberg highlighted two key drivers: first, sustained expansion in institutional demand. In 2025, the daily average capital inflow into spot Bitcoin ETPs exceeded $500 million, roughly 12 times the daily new supply from miners. Additionally, a 2026 EY survey revealed that 73% of institutional investors plan to increase their digital asset allocations. Second, accelerated enterprise blockchain adoption. In 2025, approximately 60% of Fortune 500 executives stated that their companies are actively advancing blockchain initiatives, with major players like Fidelity, Visa, and Stripe all positioning themselves in the stablecoin sector. He also noted the complementary nature of AI and public chain technologies, adding that emerging demands such as machine-native micro-payments and cross-border instant settlements will further drive real-world blockchain adoption. As regulatory frameworks grow increasingly clear, digital assets are rapidly integrating into the mainstream financial ecosystem.

Yesterday, Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded a net inflow of $232.12 million.

According to data disclosed by Trader T (@thepfund), Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded a net inflow of $232.12 million yesterday, lower than the $314.37 million on August 25. BlackRock's IBIT led with a net inflow of $200.76 million, while Fidelity's FBTC and Bitwise's BITB recorded net inflows of $25.59 million and $5.96 million, respectively. The Grayscale Mini Bitcoin ETF (BTC) saw a net inflow of $46.83 million, whereas Grayscale's GBTC experienced a net outflow of $50.39 million. Morgan Stanley's MSBT logged a net inflow of $3.37 million, while capital flows for the other reported products were zero for the day.