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QCP: BTC Trades in Narrow Range, Surging Oil Prices Weigh on Risk Assets

据 QCP Group 发布的市场报告,当前市场整体处于风险规避状态。受美伊紧张局势升级影响,布伦特原油突破每桶 85 美元,创一个月新高,周涨幅超 10%;美股半导体板块领跌,市场担忧超大规模云厂商或削减 AI 基础设施支出,资金转向防御性板块与能源板块。 加密市场方面,BTC 持续在 63,000 至 65,000 美元区间内窄幅整理,现报 64,100 美元附近,7 月 17 日曾短暂跌至 62,924 美元低点;ETH 表现持续弱于 BTC,现报 1,832 美元,此前短暂突破 1,900 美元后回落,关键阻力位在 1,847 美元,多头需收复 200 日均线(约 2,400 美元)方可改善整体结构。 资金面出现积极信号,美国现货比特币 ETF 连续四日录得净流入,扭转此前创纪录的 80 亿美元净流出趋势。期权市场方面,已实现波动率持续压缩,前端期权定价相对低廉,做市商在 7 月 28 至 29 日 FOMC 会议前处于 Gamma 空头状态,若霍尔木兹海峡紧张局势缓和,上行加速风险不容忽视。

Polymarket Releases This Week's Update: World Cup Page Launched with Feature Testing

prediction market Polymarket has released its platform update for this week, which includes: launching the World Cup page with feature testing; introducing perpetual contract functionality (featuring 5 traditional financial trading pairs and BTC perpetual contracts); optimizing CLOB performance with plans to release a version next week to address queue congestion issues; open-sourcing the SDK; launching a unified API; and implementing Gamma fixes and improvements (including stricter key set pagination and high-traffic read path indexing, as well as production correctness fixes for users, profiles, comments, and sports summaries).

BTC IV remains low while Gamma reversal occurs, the options market presents a "near-term bearish, long-term bullish" structure

Odaily News: BTC IV at 38%, ETH IV at 53%. ETH Skew shows divergence, with the mid-to-long-term maintaining +2 to +4, indicating strong institutional bullish consensus. The short-term skew has sharply deteriorated to -8 to -12 due to CPI exceeding expectations and Powell's resignation, leading to a surge in short-term hedging demand. BTC/ETH GEX has shifted from a long Gamma, steady bull market strategy to short Gamma, widening short-term volatility and making it difficult for IV to drop significantly. The medium-term bullish structure remains intact, with the current situation appearing more like an event-driven release of short-term risk rather than a trend reversal. In block trades, 2,181.8 lots (worth $176 million) of BTC 5/15 expiry $82K Calls were traded; 11,026 lots (worth $24.97 million) of ETH June $2,100 Puts were traded.Gate has launched an exclusive incentive plan for options VIPs. During the event, users can participate to share a 100,000 USDT prize pool. The platform supports cross-exchange VIP rate matching. By submitting VIP proof or trading volume records from other exchanges, users can apply for lower rates. Rewards are distributed in tiers based on options trading volume; the more you trade, the higher the reward. Additionally, participating users enjoy exclusive service benefits, including VIP customer support, API technical integration, and daily options strategies and data services, providing professional traders with more competitive trading costs and liquidity support.

Prediction market platform Polymarket疑似遭遇数据泄露,逾30万条记录及漏洞利用工具包外泄

According to Dark Web Informer, the decentralized prediction market platform Polymarket is suspected of having been hacked. The threat actor “xorcat” posted over 300,000 data records and a corresponding exploit toolkit on a well-known cybercrime forum. The data extraction occurred on April 27, 2026. Reportedly, the attacker extracted data via an undisclosed API endpoint, pagination bypasses, and misconfigured CORS settings in Polymarket Gamma and the CLOB API. The leaked data includes: - Full personal information for 10,000 users (including names, proxy wallets, and base addresses); - 4,111 comments; - 1,000 moderation reports (including 58 ETH addresses and administrator authentication address identifiers); - Metadata for 48,536 Gamma markets; - Constant-product market maker addresses for over 250,000 active CLOB markets; and - Social graph data for 9,000 followers. The toolkit contains proof-of-concept code for multiple vulnerabilities, including CVE-2025-62718 (Axios NO_PROXY bypass, CVSS 9.9, enabling server-side request forgery), CVE-2024-51479 (Next.js middleware authentication bypass, CVSS 7.5), and the aforementioned CORS misconfigurations. Additionally, the toolkit includes automated continuous data-extraction scripts and a comprehensive red-team report (including M