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Base valuation of $128, with non-crypto trading accounting for about 30% on Hyperliquid

research firm Decentralised.co (DCo) has released a report stating that the share of non-crypto asset trading volume on Hyperliquid rose from zero in September 2025 to a peak of 51% in July 2026, and stood at approximately 30% in October 2026; on October 27, such trading accounted for 40% of the platform's $7.2 billion in daily trading volume, with single stocks being the largest trading category that day.The report uses a 2029 global futures and equities market size of $934 trillion as its base, with the base-case scenario assuming crypto trading volume grows to 3 times the current level, a 3% share of the non-crypto market, a blended fee rate of 0.006%, USDC yield falling to 3.6%, and HIP-4 contributing $100 million in revenue; on this basis, it estimates that 2029 revenue will rise from $944 million to $4.91 billion, corresponding to an HYPE price of $128 at a 40x valuation, $98 at a 30x valuation, and $165 under the optimistic scenario, with the current HYPE price at approximately $77. The report states that if the non-crypto fee rate falls to CME's 0.0004%, the base valuation would drop to $66; Binance has already listed 229 TradFi perpetual contracts this year, with average daily trading volume of $13.4 billion, higher than Hyperliquid's $2.3 billion.

Kraken parent company Payward plans to deploy a CFTC-regulated perpetual futures market through Hyperliquid.

Hyperliquid officially announced that Payward, the parent company of Kraken, plans to use Hyperliquid as underlying infrastructure to deploy a perpetual futures market for U.S. users, becoming the first institution to deploy CFTC-regulated trading products on the HIP-3* market. The specific plan still requires regulatory approval.

Delphi Digital: Lists HOOD, HYPE, and LIT as Speculative Trading Thematic Investment Targets

According to the latest research report published by Delphi Digital, Dealers Always Win: Why Speculation is the Theme of the Next Decade, Robinhood (HOOD), Hyperliquid (HYPE), and Lighter (LIT) are listed as core targets for positioning in this investment theme. In evaluating these assets, Robinhood demonstrates the advantage of an integrated broker bundling event contracts, options, and cryptocurrency distribution; Hyperliquid, leveraging permissionless on-chain perpetuals and expansion protocols such as HIP-3 and HIP-4, is evolving into an on-chain clearing layer supporting multi-asset round-the-clock trading, while continuously repurchasing HYPE through protocol fees; and Lighter, which constructs its order book using zero-knowledge proofs, has also built competitive moats through zero retail fees and cross-platform distribution partnerships. Collectively, they form an infrastructure exposure designed to capture global speculative demand.

Papertrade perpetual contract has launched on Hyperliquid, currently priced at $0.012

Odaily reports: Paragon announced on X platform that the Papertrade (PAPER) perpetual contract has launched on the Hyperliquid HIP-3 market, supporting up to 3x leverage. The PAPER price is currently at $0.012, with contract open interest at only approximately $30,000.Previously, Paragon spent 570.98 HYPE (approximately $45,000) to acquire the PAPER ticker.

Cumulative revenue reaches $75 million, Hyperliquid HIP-3 allocates $37.5 million for token buyback and burn

Odaily News: Hyperliquid HIP-3 has generated a cumulative $75 million in revenue, of which $37.5 million goes to deployers, and the other $37.5 million is used for Hyperliquid native token buyback and burn. HIP-3 is a mechanism for deployers to launch perpetual markets on Hyperliquid. Deployers can define their own oracle and contract specifications and are responsible for operations, while reusing the protocol's infrastructure such as the order book and liquidations. Fees from the relevant markets are typically split between deployers and the protocol proportionally, and the protocol-side revenue can be used for buyback and burn.

On-chain trading accounts for 86% of volume, RWA perpetual contracts hit $117.3 billion in August trading volume

Odaily reports: An analysis published by a16z crypto on September 23 shows that the total trading volume of real-world asset perpetual contracts in August 2026 reached $117.3 billion, of which on-chain platforms accounted for approximately $101 billion, or 86%; centralized exchanges accounted for approximately $16 billion, a 44x increase compared to the same period last year. A year ago, on-chain platforms accounted for only one-third or less of trading volume.As of the end of August, open interest stood at $4.8 billion, roughly 30 times larger than the $161 million recorded in July 2025. By trading volume, equities accounted for 48%, commodities 28%, and indices 18%, marking a shift from the previous structure dominated by commodities. a16z stated that Hyperliquid's HIP-3 protocol, launched in October 2025, simplified the creation of new perpetual markets and enhanced liquidity sharing.

Suspected Lighter Prediction Market Mechanism Exposed: Plans to Adopt HIP-3-Style Whitelist Operating Model

A commit titled “Binary options support” recently appeared in the codebase for the decentralized order book exchange platform Lighter, indicating that its ZK Circuits may have begun supporting binary outcome markets (prediction markets). Based on the code, each market features a settlement cap, with share prices trading between 0 and the cap; upon settlement, shares ultimately resolve to zero or reach the cap. Contracts are fully collateralized with USDC, meaning they involve no leverage or liquidation. Analysis suggests that Lighter may introduce a "market operator" model, which would allow whitelisted operators to create, manage, and handle market settlement, similar to the HIP-3 deployment model.

Payward Announces Plans to Launch Hyperliquid-Based On-Chain Perpetual Futures for U.S. Customers

According to an announcement on Payward's official website, Payward, the parent company of Kraken, has announced plans to deploy on-chain perpetual futures products to U.S. customers via the Hyperliquid HIP-3 market, becoming the first registered exchange or clearing agency to launch a market on the protocol for U.S. clients. Payward's CFTC-regulated entity Bitnomial will serve as the HIP-3 deployer, responsible for creating, managing, and clearing and settling contracts. NinjaTrader Clearing will take charge of client accounts, restricting participation exclusively to users who have completed the NinjaTrader account opening process and passed the whitelist review.

Entropy Acquires HIP-3 Code DRAM for 500 HYPE, Worth $39,000

Odaily News: According to HyperliquidNews monitoring, HIP-3 market deployer Entropy spent 500 HYPE (approximately $38,950) to win the code DRAM, and is expected to launch io:DRAM perpetual contract trading.

HIP-3 deployers will be able to configure funding rate caps in the next network upgrade

HyperliquidNews stated on X that in the next network upgrade, HIP-3 deployers will be able to configure funding rate caps.

trade.xyz Launches Events Feature, Initial Up/Down Markets Cover Stocks, Commodities, and Pre-IPO Assets

trade.xyz posted on X that it has launched Events, aiming to develop Hyperliquid into a unified trading system for trading financial assets and real-world outcomes. Users can deposit spot BTC into their unified trade.xyz account, borrow USDC through portfolio margin, open pre-IPO perpetual contract positions on SpaceX, use event markets to hedge against the upcoming SK Hynix earnings event, and pick the US Open champion. Events will cover sports, politics, economics, and financial markets; the initial Up/Down markets cover stocks, commodities, and pre-IPO assets, with liquidity provided by trade.xyz perpetual contracts on HIP-3, whose continuous price discovery mechanism serves as the source for contract settlement.

HIP-4 @Outcomexyz Launches 15-Minute Bitcoin Native "Up/Down" Market

Odaily News, HyperliquidNews posted on X platform, stating that HIP-4 @Outcomexyz will launch a 15-minute cycle Bitcoin native "Up/Down" market.

TXYZ HIP-4 launches 8 outcome markets covering stock prices, American football, and US Open Women's Singles champion

Odaily news, HyperliquidNews posted on X stating that TXYZ (@tradexyz HIP-4) has launched 8 outcome markets, covering stock prices, American football, and the US Open Women's Singles champion.

Analyst: TradeXYZ has deployed HIP-4 DEX on Hyperliquid

According to on-chain analyst Mlm onchain, TradeXYZ has completed the HIP-4 DEX deployment on Hyperliquid. On-chain transaction records show that the deployment was completed at 21:15 Beijing Time on September 5.

Cumulative fees reached $66.06 million, with HIP-3 allocating $33.03 million to deployers and earmarking another $33.03 million for native buybacks and burns

Odaily News: According to HyperliquidNews monitoring, the HIP-3 market has generated cumulative fees of $66.06 million, of which $33.03 million has been allocated to HIP-3 deployers, and $33.03 million has been used for Hyperliquid native buybacks and burns.

HIP-3 future upgrades will support permissioned market deployer configurations, allowing U.S. investors and institutions bound by strict rules to access specific markets

Odaily News: HyperliquidNews posted on platform X that in future network upgrades, HIP-3 will support deployer configurations for permissioned markets. For example, U.S. investors could access specific markets, or access needs could be met for institutional investors operating under strict regulatory rules.

Trading volume surges nearly 3x, but market access remains restricted after Hyperliquid HIP-4 permissionless deployment of prediction markets

Odaily Odaily News: After Hyperliquid opened third-party permissionless deployment of the HIP-4 prediction market layer on August 29, platform trading volume grew rapidly. In the first 28 days of August, HIP-4 had an average daily trading volume of approximately $545,000. After the permissionless deployment, daily trading volume rose to $1.97 million on August 31, with trading volume over the past 24 hours reaching $2.75 million. The number of active traders increased from 1,256 to 1,841. Prediction market project Outcome currently accounts for nearly 85% of HIP-4's trading volume, and its $1 million trading incentive program has further driven liquidity growth. Hyperliquid's unified account system allows prediction markets to share the same account environment as perpetual contracts and HIP-3 assets, enabling users to hedge perpetual positions using prediction market contracts. Sports prediction markets could become the primary growth space for HIP-4. Previously, during the World Cup, HIP-4-related markets accumulated a total trading volume of $189.5 million, accounting for approximately 3% of global World Cup prediction market trading volume. The main constraint HIP-4 currently faces is regulatory access, rather than on-chain deployment. The U.S. market falls under regulatory frameworks such as the CFTC and SEC, and sports-related prediction markets in particular may trigger gambling-related regulatory scrutiny.

HIP-4 is live, @SkewTrade has launched 7 markets

Odaily News: HyperliquidNews posted on X platform, stating that HIP-4, launched by @SkewTrade, is now live and has introduced 7 markets.

Trading volume for outcomeXYZ's first HIP-4 surpasses Hyperliquid's listed markets, reaching $130,900

Odaily News: According to HyperliquidNews monitoring, as of the start of the day, trading volume for outcomeXYZ's first HIP-4 has exceeded that of Hyperliquid's listed markets, totaling $130,900 and $125,100, respectively.

HyperliquidNews Releases HIP-3 Source

HyperliquidNews stated on the X platform that the relevant information source is the HIP-3 page on Loris Tools.