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Fidelity Analyst Says Bitcoin Could Rise from $100K to $200K Much Faster

Bitcoin News posted on X platform that Zack Wainwright, a research analyst at Fidelity Digital Assets, stated that as of October 12, Bitcoin had risen nearly 50% from its bear market low of around $58,000 in June, with a trajectory similar to its 2022 recovery path. He cautioned that Bitcoin's returns have been narrowing each cycle, and past performance does not guarantee future results, but significant upside in dollar terms remains possible; Bitcoin took nearly 16 years to break through $100,000 for the first time, and the move from $100,000 to $200,000 could happen much faster.

Fidelity believes there is room for growth in Bitcoin demand from the $15 trillion global fixed income market

Odaily Report: Fidelity Digital Assets research analyst Zack Wainwright noted in an analysis published on October 20 that preferred stock financing oriented toward Bitcoin could attract capital from the approximately $15 trillion global fixed income market. Fidelity estimates that the size of this type of preferred stock is approximately $12 billion.As of October 5, preferred stock financing has supported the purchase of 135,979 BTC, of which more than 95,000 were purchased between March and May. Fidelity estimates that nearly 96% of Bitcoin's maximum supply has been issued, and the next halving is expected in less than two years.Bitcoin treasury company Strive Inc. completed a 15% Series A Perpetual SATS Preferred Stock offering on October 20, selling 7 million shares at $90 per share for total proceeds of $630 million; the dividend rate is calculated on a $100 par value and is 15% annualized.Bitcoin treasury company Strategy Inc. disclosed that it holds 848,517 BTC and purchased 267 BTC the previous week for $22.1 million, using proceeds from common stock issuance and cash. Fidelity noted that the performance of related instruments is affected by both Bitcoin and the issuing company. (Bitcoin.com News)

$500,000 Settlement: Fidelity Digital Assets Resolves California Investigation into Crypto Withdrawal Restrictions

California Attorney General Rob Bonta announced on October 16 that his office has reached a $500,000 settlement with Fidelity Digital Assets, National Association (the successor entity to Fidelity Digital Asset Services), regarding the company's prior practice of restricting California retail customers from transferring cryptocurrency to external wallets. Regulators determined that this practice may have violated the California Commodity Law of 1990, which restricts certain speculative commodity contracts unless the buyer receives physical delivery within a specified timeframe. The California government views the ability to withdraw cryptocurrency as a functional equivalent of delivery.From November 2022 to April 2025, California customers could buy and sell cryptocurrency on the Fidelity platform but were unable to send assets directly to external wallets. Fidelity stated that the restriction stemmed from the New York State Department of Financial Services (NYDFS) not having approved the relevant functionality at the time; approval was granted in April 2025, and the transfer feature was extended to all California retail customers in June 2025.

Fidelity refutes claims that Bitcoin’s security declines post-halving, stating miners’ revenue increases as Bitcoin price rises.

According to Cointelegraph, Fidelity Digital Assets has rebutted concerns in a new research report that Bitcoin’s long-term security will deteriorate as mining rewards decline, asserting that the network’s economic incentives remain sufficient to secure the blockchain over the long term. Authored by Fidelity research analyst Daniel Gray, the report reiterates that Bitcoin’s security depends not only on block rewards but also on transaction fees and market-driven economic incentives, which will continue to motivate miners to protect the network—and render sustained attacks prohibitively costly. The report challenges a longstanding critique that Bitcoin’s security is weakened every four years by the halving event, which reduces new coin issuance. It notes that since April 20, 2024, Bitcoin miners have received a subsidy of 3.125 BTC per block—down from 6.25 BTC in the previous halving cycle—but this reduction in issuance has not translated into diminished miner incentives, as Bitcoin’s price appreciation has more than offset the decline in block rewards. Gray points out that average daily miner revenue has surged from approximately $26,300 during Bitcoin’s first halving cycle to over $40.2 million today. The report also notes that although Fidelity views the long-term incentive structure as sound, many publicly listed mining companies are currently facing financial pressure, with some diversifying into artificial intelligence and high-performance computing. VanEck recently