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crypto journalist Eleanor Terrett posted on platform X, stating that due to ongoing disagreements within the Republican party over the border security coordination bill, the US Senate failed to advance relevant agenda items before the Memorial Day recess. As a result, the crypto market structure bill, the CLARITY Act, will need to compete for Senate floor time again after Congress reconvenes in early June. The Senate's current schedule is already very tight, with housing legislation, the farm bill, and the FISA Act deadline on June 12 also needing to be addressed. Therefore, the crypto market structure legislation is likely to be postponed for consideration until July, thereby affecting the probability of its final passage before the August recess. It is reported that staff from the Senate Agriculture Committee and the Banking Committee have already begun coordinating and merging bill texts behind the scenes, and related technical drafting work will continue during the recess.
the U.S. SEC is seeking public comments on prediction market ETFs and has postponed the approval process for related "new-type ETFs."SEC Chairman Paul Atkins stated, "New products bring new questions," indicating that regulators need to further assess the impact of such products. Previously, Bitwise, Roundhill, and GraniteShares have submitted applications for prediction market ETFs, which would track the outcomes of events such as U.S. elections.Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas noted that the SEC is currently evaluating prediction market ETFs cautiously, similar to its previous approach to spot crypto ETFs. (Cointelegraph)
Chloe (@ChloeTalk1), a columnist for HTX DeepThink and researcher at HTX Research, analyzes that the current macro framework for the crypto market has shifted from “liquidity trades awaiting rate cuts” to a constraining environment characterized by “higher-for-longer interest rates + sticky inflation + war-related shocks.” According to the latest Reuters survey, most economists have pushed back their expectations for rate cuts to after September, with nearly one-third believing no cuts will occur this year. The primary reason is that the Middle East conflict has driven up energy prices, pushing inflation trajectories higher once again and thereby constraining the Federal Reserve’s policy space. This shift directly undermines the two key narratives previously supporting crypto assets: expectations of liquidity easing and a declining interest-rate path. Elevated oil prices, coupled with consecutive upward revisions to PCE inflation expectations, increase the likelihood that interest rates will remain high—or even extend their elevated period—leading to a higher discount rate and shrinking risk budgets. As a result, marginal capital inflows into the crypto market are diminishing, and high-volatility assets broadly face mounting pressure.
According to The Block, Thom Tillis, a Republican Senator from North Carolina and a key negotiator on the Senate Banking Committee, stated that the committee does not expect to schedule hearings to revise and vote on the crypto market structure bill within April. The primary legislative disagreement currently centers on how to handle rewards associated with stablecoins: the current draft proposes banning rewards for idle stablecoin accounts while permitting returns generated from trading activity. Banking representatives fear such returns could draw deposits away from traditional banks, whereas crypto firms argue that restricting rewards would stifle innovation. Tillis suggested postponing the committee’s review to May. Previously, Senator Bernie Moreno warned that if the bill fails to pass before May, “digital asset legislation will stall indefinitely.”
According to The Block, the latest draft language of the Clarity Act concerning stablecoin yield will be delayed until next week or later. Sources familiar with the matter say the current text retains prior wording—namely, prohibiting yield generation on idle stablecoin balances held in accounts, while permitting yield from activities such as trading. Senator Thom Tillis stated that the draft text will not be made public until the Senate Banking Committee’s review timeline is confirmed. The report notes that the legislative team remains engaged in discussions with the American Bankers Association and crypto firms, and that making substantive revisions to the text at this stage would be difficult.