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ETH Ushers in "Golden July"? Institutions and Supply-Demand Dynamics Could Become New Catalysts for Ethereum's "New Cycle"

Odaily News, Sharplink research director Steven Ehrlich stated on platform X that Ethereum (ETH) has started July 2026 with strong momentum, gaining approximately 11% so far this month. Historical data suggests investors should pay attention to ETH's July performance. Over the past 10 years, ETH has posted gains in July on four occasions, with an average increase of 43% in those months. Since 2020, July has been ETH's strongest-performing month, with an average gain of about 27%, leading all other months.The core advantage of ETH's July performance is not simply volatility but the asymmetry between gains and losses: when July is positive, the average gain is approximately 43%; in losing years, the average decline is only about 5% (2020 to 2025). Historically, strong Julys for ETH have often coincided with Ethereum-specific catalysts:July 2020: Gained 54%, marking the launch of "DeFi Summer." Compound introduced the COMP token, triggering a yield farming frenzy. DeFi total value locked (TVL) surged from about $1 billion to $4 billion within weeks, DEX monthly trading volume grew by 174%, and ETH benefited as the foundational infrastructure of DeFi.July 2022: Gained 58%. The timeline for The Merge upgrade was confirmed on July 14, market sentiment rebounded from the post-LUNA and 3AC crisis low, and approximately $337 million in short positions were liquidated within 3 days.July 2025: Gained 49%. The US GENIUS Act was signed, spot ETH ETFs recorded a record monthly inflow of approximately $5.4 billion, corporate capital accelerated its allocation to ETH, staking rate reached about 30%, and declining exchange balances contributed to supply tightness.Historically, ETH's strong monthly rallies have typically been driven by a combination of "Ethereum-specific catalysts plus supply-demand imbalance." For July 2026, Steven Ehrlich believes the current market environment presents similar opportunities:1. Institutional infrastructure is being built. EthLabs (protocol R&D) and Ethereum Institutional were recently launched to drive institutional participation in the on-chain ecosystem, with participants including Sharplink, BitMine, and Joe Lubin.2. The Ethereum roadmap continues to upgrade. Vitalik Buterin proposed the "Lean Ethereum" plan on July 4, aiming to simplify Ethereum's architecture, increase speed, and enhance quantum resistance over the next 3 to 4 years. Its significance is comparable to The Merge.3. Corporate capital continues to accumulate ETH. Digital asset reserve companies are still actively building their ETH positions. Sharplink currently holds 886,725 ETH, added 10,000 ETH in purchases last week, and stated its goal is to increase the amount of ETH per share.Steven Ehrlich stated that Ethereum is entering a new phase of development, where institutional adoption, technological upgrades, and capital allocation may become key factors driving ETH's price action.

Ripple plans to introduce an institutional-grade lending protocol on XRPL, allowing tokenized assets to be used as collateral for financing.

Ripple is advancing the addition of a lending infrastructure layer on the XRP Ledger (XRPL), enabling institutions to raise funds using on-chain tokenized assets as collateral. The protocol will automatically execute loan terms, while credit evaluation and lending decisions remain handled by off-chain institutions.According to disclosures, the proposal is named the XRPL Lending Protocol (corresponding to XLS-65 and XLS-66 standards). It is currently in the technical draft stage and will require approval through validator voting before launching on the mainnet, but developer testing has already been opened on the test network.The protocol’s design splits the lending process into two parts: on-chain management of liquidity pools, interest calculation, repayment execution, and default handling; while borrower credit assessment and loan term setting remain with traditional financial institutions to meet compliance requirements across different jurisdictions.Ripple states that the mechanism is primarily aimed at institutional short-term liquidity needs. For example, in cross-border payment scenarios, temporary financing through stablecoins or collateral assets can be obtained before settlement is completed, thereby improving capital efficiency.Analysts believe that while the plan attempts to introduce a “rule-enforced lending infrastructure” similar to traditional finance while maintaining XRPL's open network attributes, it will still face competition from established on-chain lending protocols such as Aave, Compound, and Maple. (CoinDesk)

Kelp: rsETH Recovery Achieves Key Progress, Multiple DeFi Protocols Jointly Liquidate Attacker Positions

Odaily  Kelp announced on X platform that it has coordinated with multiple DeFi protocols to complete the liquidation of the attacker's positions, achieving key progress in the rsETH recovery process. Among them: Compound participated in coordination multiple times over the past four weeks, providing approximately 3,000 ETH in support, and jointly completed the liquidation with Aave, recovering a total of approximately 17,426.20 rsETH; Euler Finance liquidated the attacker's positions within its protocol and plans to return the excess ETH to the DeFi ecosystem fund.

Arbitrum DAO Proposal Seeks to Unfreeze ETH for rsETH Recovery

According to official announcements, Aave Labs, KelpDAO, LayerZero, EtherFi, Compound, and others have submitted an Arbitrum Constitutional AIP proposing the release of 30,765.67 ETH—previously frozen by the Arbitrum Security Council—to the recovery address 0xf228...C15e for compensation and restoration of assets related to the rsETH incident. The proposal states that the KelpDAO rsETH cross-chain incident created a support shortfall of approximately 76,127 rsETH, and the released funds will be incorporated into the coordinated recovery process. The proposal requires no additional treasury funding and estimates the governance process will take approximately 49 days. Currently, the proposal has a 100% voting approval rate, and voting will end at 2:54 AM Beijing Time on May 8.

AAVE Announces rsETH Recovery Technical Plan, Aims to Simultaneously Repair Collateral Support and Affected Positions

AAVE has announced the technical implementation plan for the rsETH recovery, proposing a three-phase repair process involving supplementing ETH collateral, cleaning up affected positions, and restoring market parameters, aiming to restore full collateral support for rsETH and resume normal market operations.The plan indicates that DeFi United has coordinated to secure the necessary ETH commitment for the recovery. It will restore rsETH support by batch-converting and injecting into the bridge lockup contract. Simultaneously, it proposes clearing affected positions on Aave and Compound through a governance proposal, recovering approximately 107,000 rsETH in related excess collateral, and gradually lifting the frozen status of the relevant assets.

Compound Proposal Aims to Participate in rsETH Recovery Initiative, with a Maximum Contribution of 3,000 ETH

according to official sources, a new proposal has been launched on Compound. It aims to participate in the rsETH recovery initiative coordinated by DeFi United, with a maximum contribution of 3,000 ETH.The proposal states that although Compound's direct exposure is expected to be limited, this move is intended to support the stability of the DeFi market and enhance ecosystem resilience and long-term sustainability.