News linked to both this project and an event.
According to Cointelegraph, Bernstein analysts stated in predictions shared with Cointelegraph on Monday that by 2028, prediction markets could generate up to $1.7 billion in revenue for Robinhood, surpassing the projected $1.6 billion from its crypto business that same year. Analysts project that Robinhood's prediction market revenue will rise from approximately $650 million this year to $1.7 billion in 2028, accounting for roughly 18% of its projected total revenue of $9.4 billion in 2028. Bernstein raised its revenue forecasts for Robinhood for 2026 by 3%, 2027 by 4%, and 2028 by 3%, while maintaining a $160 price target. The forecast was released the day before Robinhood's Q3 2026 earnings report. Bernstein expects its Q3 revenue to increase 13% quarter-over-quarter to approximately $1.5 billion.
Odaily reports: Digital trading platform Robinhood Markets' prediction market revenue is projected to reach $1.7 billion by 2028, exceeding the estimated $1.6 billion in crypto business revenue for the same period. Bernstein analysts expect prediction market revenue to grow from approximately $650 million this year to $1.7 billion by 2028, accounting for about 18% of the company's projected total revenue of $9.4 billion that year.Bernstein has raised its revenue estimates for Robinhood in 2026, 2027, and 2028 by 3%, 4%, and 3% respectively, while maintaining its $160 price target unchanged. Analysts expect the company's third-quarter revenue to grow 13% quarter-over-quarter to approximately $1.5 billion, driven by growth in equity notional trading volume, options trading volume, and event contract trading volume, as well as a recovery in crypto trading volume. (Cointelegraph)
Odaily reports: Prediction market operator Underdog has partnered with crypto infrastructure provider zerohash, planning to support cryptocurrency and stablecoin deposits later this year. Eligible users will be able to deposit supported digital assets directly through the Underdog app, with the service supporting around-the-clock near-instant transfers.Underdog has not yet disclosed which specific cryptocurrencies or stablecoins will be supported. The new deposit method will complement debit cards, credit cards, Apple Pay, and bank transfers, eliminating the need for users to manage wallet addresses or select blockchain networks.Founded in 2020, Underdog currently has over 11 million registered accounts. IG Group has agreed to acquire the company for up to $1.3 billion, with the deal expected to close in late 2026 or early 2027; in the 30 days ending October 21, Underdog's trading volume reached $1.4 billion, up 133% from the previous period. (Cointelegraph)
In a research report released on Thursday, DWF Labs pointed out that daily fund flows of U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs are poor predictors of Bitcoin's subsequent price movements, as investors tend to buy after prices rise and withdraw funds when prices fall. The study covered 694 trading days since the launch of U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs in January 2024: in the 8 instances where Bitcoin's price dropped by 15%, net ETF outflows occurred 7 times; while in all 9 instances where prices rose by 15%, net inflows occurred. DWF Labs concluded that ETF fund flows are more of a confirmation of market trends rather than a leading indicator.Data shows that the correlation coefficient between same-day ETF fund flows and Bitcoin price changes over the previous 5 trading days was 0.54, but the correlation coefficient with price changes over the subsequent 5 trading days was only 0.03. Between October 2025 and February 2026, Bitcoin ETFs saw net outflows of approximately $6.9 billion, and during the market downturn from May to June 2026, net outflows reached approximately $8.2 billion. DWF Labs also noted that some ETF trading may involve hedging strategies that combine buying fund shares with shorting Bitcoin via CME futures, meaning fund flows do not directly reflect investors' true bullish or bearish positions. (Cointelegraph)
Odaily reports: Blockchain security firm CertiK stated that although Google, Apple, and Microsoft have blocked 8 affected certificates issued by Indian digital certificate authority eMudhra, crypto trading bots and exchange applications may still be exposed to related vulnerability risks, as browser remediation measures may not cover software that uses independent security systems.Peiyu Wang, Senior Director of Digital Asset Security at CertiK, noted that attackers could exploit compromised certificates to impersonate exchanges, wallet interfaces, and APIs, replace deposit addresses, or trick users into approving malicious transactions. However, such attacks would also require intercepting or redirecting network traffic, and the compromised certificate authority keys alone cannot expose wallet private keys. Crypto service operators should update their software and certificate trust stores, and confirm that their applications reject the affected certificates. (Cointelegraph)
Odaily reports: Cryptocurrency exchange Bitget has announced that it will cease providing services to certain users through a one-time measure. Bitget stated that user funds remain safe during the related service adjustments, and the platform will continue to operate.Affected users will receive follow-up steps, relevant deadlines, and fund withdrawal arrangements via email, in-app messages, and/or push notifications. Users who have not received official notifications from Bitget may continue to use their accounts normally.Bitget's customer support team will assist users with pending orders, withdrawals, and other account issues during the process, and reminds users to use only official channels and to beware of phishing links, impersonation accounts, and unverified information.On September 25, Bitget confirmed an unauthorized transfer and temporarily suspended withdrawals to investigate a security breach. Subsequent disclosures revealed that the incident involved approximately $388 million in stolen assets. (Cointelegraph)
According to Cointelegraph, the Bank of Russia has issued new guidelines confirming that direct peer-to-peer (P2P) cryptocurrency transactions between individuals will be banned starting July 1, 2027, at which point all such transactions must be conducted through authorized intermediaries. Additionally, individuals are prohibited from transferring crypto assets from digital accounts to self-custody wallets. Meanwhile, the Bank of Russia has approved the country's largest bank, Sberbank, to provide cryptocurrency exchange services, and will bring exchange operators and custodial institutions under central bank regulatory oversight starting September 1 this year. Russia currently continues to prohibit the use of cryptocurrencies for payments for goods and services.
Odaily News: The Bank of Russia stated in updated regulatory guidelines that arrangements allowing individuals to directly conduct peer-to-peer crypto asset transactions will continue until July 1, 2027, after which such transactions must be completed through authorized intermediaries.The Bank of Russia also made clear that individuals may not transfer crypto assets from digital accounts to self-custodial wallets. Russia is expanding its regulated crypto market, and Sberbank, the country's largest bank, has been approved to provide crypto asset trading services, having previously been approved as a digital asset custodian.Russia's new crypto asset regulatory rules took effect on September 1, bringing trading operators and custodians under the supervision of the Bank of Russia; the country still prohibits the use of cryptocurrencies for payment of goods and services. Jan3 CEO Samson Mow said that P2P transactions are more resistant to regulatory crackdowns than centralized platforms. (Cointelegraph)
Odaily Report: Thailand's listing rules for Bitcoin and Ether exchange-traded funds (ETFs) will take effect on Friday. James Butterfill, head of research at digital asset investment firm CoinShares, said initial inflows for the first batch of products are expected to be in the tens of millions of dollars, and expectations of reaching billions are unrealistic.Once the new rules take effect, Thai retail investors will be able to gain exposure to the relevant assets through locally listed crypto ETFs; investing in overseas crypto ETFs through domestic brokers will be limited to institutional investors and ultra-high-net-worth investors. The first batch of Thai crypto funds will still need to obtain regulatory approval and complete custody and distribution arrangements before they can trade.Butterfill compared the situation to Hong Kong. As of the end of September, global crypto exchange-traded product (ETP) assets under management stood at $172.9 billion, of which Hong Kong accounted for $733 million, or 0.42%.He said some investors have already gained Bitcoin exposure through overseas funds or direct trading, which could limit demand for local ETFs. MFC Asset Management launched the Bitcoin ETF Tracker Fund (MBTCETF-UI) in 2024, which invests in BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT); ONE Asset Management became the first Thai asset management company approved for a Bitcoin ETF-linked fund in the same year. (Cointelegraph)
According to Cointelegraph, Ethereum researcher Justin Drake warned that the rapid advancement of AI could accelerate mathematical attacks against the Elliptic Curve Digital Signature Algorithm (ECDSA), potentially breaking existing cryptographic systems within months under the worst-case scenario, and called on the industry to initiate "bunker mode"—transferring assets to new addresses with previously unexposed public keys to mitigate risk. Several industry insiders, however, expressed reservations. Coinbase Chief Cryptographer Yehuda Lindell stated there is currently "no evidence" that the mathematical assumptions underpinning ECDSA have been weakened; Trezor Bitcoin analyst Lucien Bourdon similarly noted that migrating assets could backfire and inadvertently create opportunities for scams. MetaMask founder Taylor Monahan was even more direct, asserting that if elliptic curve cryptography were truly compromised, "the entire world would go to zero," rendering bunker mode ineffective. Meanwhile, Ethereum has laid out a post-quantum roadmap based on hash-based signatures and ZK proofs, while public blockchains such as Solana and NEAR are also exploring their own quantum-safe alternatives, though concrete deployment timelines remain unset.
Odaily reports: Coins.ph stated that its Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) license remains valid, and denied knowingly serving offshore gaming or gambling operators. The company said user funds are safe and the platform will continue to operate as a BSP-licensed institution. The company did not directly state whether the relevant entities had used its platform.The BSP previously required Coins.ph to strengthen internal controls and restrict InstaPay and PESONet transfers involving its operating entity DCPay Philippines. Coins.ph said that cash-in and QRPh collections are temporarily unavailable, but cryptocurrency trading, withdrawals, bill payments, and merchant QRPh payments remain accessible.DCPay holds an Electronic Money Issuer license, while Betur Inc. operates Coins.ph's crypto asset services under a separate Virtual Asset Service Provider license. The restrictions are said to target DCPay's payment business, rather than Betur's crypto asset services. (Cointelegraph)
Tom Lee stated that the South Korean stock market selloff may be spilling over into the crypto market, citing margin liquidations and South Korean investors' significant holdings of crypto assets, and described it as short-term pain. (Cointelegraph)
Odaily News: Cryptocurrency exchange Kraken's parent company Payward has received full market approval from the Dubai Virtual Assets Regulatory Authority (VARA), with its local entity Payward FZCO obtaining a virtual asset service provider license, allowing it to offer crypto asset services in the UAE. The approval builds on preliminary approval obtained in May 2026.Payward stated that Kraken's UAE clients will be able to use spot and margin trading pairs denominated in UAE dirhams within the coming weeks, with support for direct deposits and withdrawals. The services will be available to retail investors, professional investors, and institutional investors.VARA's public registry shows that Payward FZCO was approved on October 6 to provide asset management and investment services, as well as broker-dealer services. The number of licensed service providers currently registered with Dubai's VARA stands at 58, up from 49 in May 2026. (Cointelegraph)
Odaily News: Bitcoin fell to $80,350 on Thursday before rebounding, climbing back above $83,000 at the Friday U.S. stock market open and subsequently fluctuating around $82,500. The rolling 24-hour cryptocurrency liquidation amount had previously exceeded $1 billion. Despite news circulating that Ledger hardware wallet users' funds were stolen, the crypto market has not yet shown significant selling pressure.Analysts suggest that before the U.S. CPI data is released on October 14, Bitcoin may remain range-bound, with the main trading range between $81,300 and $86,500, and could repeatedly test $84,000. The market is also watching whether Bitcoin can hold the key level of $82,500 before the weekly close. (Cointelegraph)
Odaily News: Dragonfly Managing Partner Haseeb Qureshi stated that the "bunker mode" proposed by Ethereum researcher Justin Drake to address the risk of AI cracking cryptographic signatures amounts to "cryptographic doomerism," and argued that migrating tokens to new addresses is not a real solution.Qureshi said that "bunker mode" can only protect assets that users have not yet transferred out of new addresses. If tokens in other addresses are attacked and heavily sold off, those assets could still lose value. He suggested that blockchain networks adopt a "Cryptographic Recovery Mode," using hash-based backup signature schemes that allow users to bind recovery mechanisms in advance, so that validators can assist in recovering assets after cryptographic signatures are cracked.Previously, Ethereum researcher Justin Drake warned that with the rapid improvement of AI mathematical capabilities, the ECDSA signature algorithm protecting crypto wallets could face the risk of being cracked within "months rather than years," and advised users to gradually migrate funds to new wallets that have not exposed public keys. Glassnode data shows that approximately 6.26 million BTC are currently held in addresses with potential risk. (Cointelegraph)
Odaily News: The International Monetary Fund (IMF) stated that the tokenized financial market is growing rapidly, but legal uncertainty, insufficient interoperability, and the lack of a widely recognized settlement asset could still limit its further development.In its latest analysis, the IMF noted that as of July, the scale of tokenized real-world assets (RWA) was approximately $65 billion, still relatively small compared to the roughly $300 trillion in global capital market assets. Among these, tokenized credit products accounted for approximately $30.4 billion, money market funds approximately $17.5 billion, and tokenized equities approximately $2.3 billion.The IMF stated that tokenized equities are attracting investors by supporting 24/7 trading and fractional ownership, but their liquidity is significantly lower than traditional markets, with actual volatility approximately 1.5 times that of traditional stocks. As the tokenized market expands, increased market correlation and leverage could amplify liquidity risks, concentrated selling, and risk contagion.The IMF said tokenization could reshape financial markets, but future development will depend more on improved policy frameworks, market depth, trust mechanisms, and risk protection measures. Currently, since the market size remains relatively small, the systemic risks posed by tokenized assets are limited. (Cointelegraph)
Odaily reports: The European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) has stated that EU crypto asset service providers authorized under MiCA should cease offering services involving stablecoins that do not comply with the Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCA) to EU clients, and should address existing related exposures no later than January 8, 2027.The guidance covers trading platforms, exchange services, order execution, custody, transfers, investment advice, and portfolio management. ESMA requires firms to take technical, contractual, and organizational measures to prevent EU clients from gaining or increasing exposure to unauthorized stablecoins.Regulators may allow firms to provide limited services such as liquidation, conversion, withdrawals, transfers, and safekeeping to help clients exit existing positions, but such activities must be temporary arrangements and subject to strict supervision. This update extends the relevant guidance published by ESMA in January 2025. (Cointelegraph)
Odaily reports: Crypto wallet provider Tangem has announced the launch of its first physical Visa card, supporting in-store and online purchases as well as ATM withdrawals, with an initial limited release of 5,000 cards. Users can top up the card directly from their self-custodial wallet, and if the card is suspended or closed, funds can be transferred back to the wallet.More than 40% of Tangem Pay payments come from Latin America, and over 30% from the United States. Tangem stated that the physical card currently cannot be shipped to approximately 20 countries and regions, including China, Russia, North Korea, and Palestine, with these restrictions affected by KYC, sanctions, banking rules, and card issuance compliance requirements.Tangem Pay will also offer USDC cashback on eligible purchases, with 1% cashback for Basic users and 2% for Plus users. Tangem plans to showcase the first batch of physical cards during Token2049 in Singapore. (Cointelegraph)
According to Cointelegraph, CryptoQuant data shows that during the week ending September 27, Binance's Bitcoin net outflow reached 23,137 BTC, marking the highest level since June 2023. Since September 20, Binance's Bitcoin reserves have cumulatively decreased by nearly 40,000 BTC.
cryptocurrency exchange OKX has announced the launch of OKX Money, a stablecoin savings and payment app, now available in parts of Latin America, Africa, South Asia, and the Middle East, offering up to 10% annualized yield on eligible USDG balances.Users can fund their accounts with over 50 supported currencies, with funds converted into USD-backed stablecoins, and can hold, send, and spend USDG, USDC, or USDT. The app supports both virtual and physical cards, and eligible USDG balances can earn yield without staking or lock-up requirements.OKX stated that the app will roll out gradually in accordance with regional requirements, with specific legal entities and regulatory frameworks varying by jurisdiction, and the initial launch markets have not yet been disclosed. Yields and eligibility conditions vary by region and user, and users can unlock higher yield tiers by meeting a 30-day average deposit threshold, reaching a 30-day spending amount, or upgrading their exchange VIP level. (Cointelegraph)