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Elliptic CEO: Cryptographic security is evolving into an AI arms race, and compliance teams struggle to keep up with transaction volumes at machine speed

According to CoinDesk, Simone Maini, CEO of blockchain analytics firm Elliptic, stated that the biggest emerging risk to crypto security is not larger-scale hacking attacks, but rather AI-driven financial activity operating at a speed and scale that human compliance teams cannot keep up with. As AI lowers the barriers to hacking, scams, and fraud, security firms like Elliptic are responding by deploying AI agents to analyze on-chain data in real time—sparking an automated arms race between adversaries and defenders. Maini noted that current compliance systems remain heavily reliant on manual review, and the global pool of compliance analysts specializing in digital assets is simply insufficient to meet future demand. Elliptic has raised $120 million in funding—including from Nasdaq and Deutsche Bank—to build an “agent-based compliance system” that leverages AI to automate transaction monitoring and investigation workflows, thereby reducing the cost per alert and per investigation.

Bhutan Denies Selling Bitcoin, but On-Chain Data Shows Over $1 Billion BTC Has Flowed Out

According to CoinDesk, blockchain analytics firm Arkham Intelligence reported that the wallet holdings of Bhutan’s sovereign wealth fund, Druk Holding and Investments (DHI), have sharply declined—from approximately 13,000 BTC in October 2024 to roughly 3,100 BTC as of now. Since mid-2025, over $1 billion worth of Bitcoin has flowed out of the wallet, with funds directed to multiple exchanges and trading firms—including wallets interacting with Galaxy Digital and OKX. In response, Ujjwal Deep Dahal, CEO of DHI, stated, “I don’t recall the last time we sold Bitcoin,” officially denying any Bitcoin sales. However, DHI did not clarify the specific wallet activity nor confirm its current Bitcoin holdings.

Bullish Announces First Quarter 2026 Results, with Adjusted Revenue of $92.8 Million

According to CoinDesk, crypto platform Bullish (BLSH) reported its first-quarter 2026 results, with adjusted revenue of $92.8 million—below analysts’ expectation of $94.9 million—and adjusted EBITDA of $35.1 million—also below the expected $38 million. The company posted a net loss of $604.9 million, or $3.85 per share, representing a wider loss compared to the same period last year. Dragged down by sluggish digital asset trading activity, BLSH’s pre-market share price fell 7.9% to $38.51.

Crypto Markets Wait-and-See Ahead of April US CPI Report: XRP and SOL Face Key Resistance Again

ahead of the release of the April US CPI data, the crypto market rally has temporarily stalled. Bitcoin has been oscillating within the $80,000 to $82,000 range recently, failing to break out effectively since last Wednesday. Market participants believe that while capital flows still point to the potential for a future breakout, inflation and macroeconomic risks are weighing on risk appetite.The United States will release the April Consumer Price Index (CPI) at 8:30 PM Beijing time tonight. According to FactSet data, the market expects April CPI to rise 3.7% year-over-year, up from 3.3% in March. If this forecast materializes, it would mark the largest increase since January 2024 and be significantly higher than the average of 2.7% over the past 12 months. Core CPI is expected to rise 2.7% year-over-year, up from the previous 2.6%.Analysts are concerned that against a backdrop of high oil prices and Trump's characterization of the US-Iran ceasefire as "extremely fragile," inflation data exceeding expectations could further trigger risk-off sentiment in the markets, dragging down risk asset performance.Lukman Otunuga, Head of Market Research at FXTM, stated that the market is entering a sensitive phase where geopolitical risks, inflation concerns, and central bank expectations are intertwined. High oil prices, uncertainties surrounding the Iran situation, and key US economic data could drive increased volatility in commodities, currencies, and global stock markets.Beyond macroeconomic factors, XRP and SOL are also approaching key supply zones again. XRP tested $1.50 today, but this level has repeatedly failed to be breached since February this year; SOL is once again nearing the resistance zone around $97.Meanwhile, institutional interest in related assets is heating up. The US spot XRP ETF recorded net inflows of $25.8 million on Monday, the highest since January 5th. Bitcoin and Solana ETFs also maintained net capital inflows, while the Ethereum ETF saw net outflows of $16.9 million. (CoinDesk)

ETH/BTC ratio falls to 10-month low as Ethereum continues to underperform Bitcoin

According to CoinDesk, the ETH/BTC ratio fell to 0.02835 on Tuesday—the lowest level since July 2025—and declined more than 35% from its August 2025 high of 0.04324. On the same day, Ethereum dropped over 2%, while Bitcoin fell approximately 1%. The ratio currently stands well below its 200-week moving average (0.04828), indicating a sustained long-term underperformance of Ethereum relative to Bitcoin on the technical chart. Analysis suggests that the continued inflow of institutional capital following the U.S. approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs in early 2024 has been the key driver behind Bitcoin’s outperformance over Ethereum.

analysis: Bitcoin funds saw over $700 million in weekly inflows, with institutional capital entering the crypto market for five consecutive weeks

CoinShares data shows crypto funds saw net inflows of $858 million last week, marking the fifth consecutive week of inflows and the largest single-week inflow since the end of April. Among them, Bitcoin funds attracted over $700 million in a single week, with year-to-date inflows reaching $4.9 billion, indicating sustained growth in institutional investor demand for the crypto market.Market analysis suggests that positive expectations related to the "Clarity Act" have driven an improvement in institutional sentiment. Currently, BTC prices remain above the $80,000 mark, with the market watching for a potential breakout of the 200-day moving average near $82,000. Marex analysts point out that if Bitcoin manages a daily close above $82,000 accompanied by stable spot buying, it could initiate a new upward trend.In the altcoin space, SUI rose 12% in 24 hours to $1.26. Mysten Labs co-founder Adeniyi Abiodun revealed that Sui plans to launch confidential transaction features this year to support fee-free private payments. Additionally, Nasdaq-listed Sui Group Holdings (SUIG) previously announced that it has staked most of its reserve SUI, effectively reducing the circulating market supply by approximately 2.7%. (CoinDesk)

US Judge Approves Aave to Proceed with Transfer of $71 Million in ETH Linked to North Korean Hackers

Odaily News: Margaret Garnett, a U.S. District Judge in Manhattan, has approved Aave's asset recovery proposal, allowing the transfer of approximately $71 million in ETH previously frozen on Arbitrum and linked to North Korean-linked attacks, to a wallet controlled by Aave LLC, while preserving the legal claims of terrorism victim plaintiffs over the funds. The ruling also amended the earlier freeze notice against the Arbitrum DAO, permitting the transfer to be executed through an on-chain governance vote and exempting those who propose, vote on, or participate in the transfer from liability under the freeze order. The transfer is still subject to an official vote by Arbitrum's on-chain governance. (CoinDesk)

Consensus Miami: Institutional Investors Remain Cautious Toward Perpetual DEXs; Security Risks and KYC Compliance Are Core Barriers

According to CoinDesk, at the “Perp DEX Explosion: Bullish Volumes and Bear Market Resilience” panel at Consensus Miami, several industry insiders stated that institutional investors are still largely avoiding decentralized exchanges offering perpetual futures (Perp DEXs). Veteran trader Wizard of SoHo pointed out that Drift’s recent multi-million-dollar hack highlights security vulnerabilities in the DeFi ecosystem, making secure onboarding of institutional capital a core competitive focus for major Perp DEXs. Anderson of Canary Labs expressed concern about DeFi’s current security posture, noting that large institutions face significantly greater challenges adopting decentralized exchanges compared to centralized platforms. Additionally, the structural tension between DeFi’s permissionless, open design and institutions’ stringent KYC compliance requirements is seen as a key barrier to scaling adoption. Michaël van de Poppe, founder of MN Fund, shared his views on AI-powered trading tools, stating that AI agents represent an evolutionary extension of algorithmic trading—and that trading will increasingly become fully automated.

Analysis: The crypto market must undergo a "shitcoin purge" for Bitcoin to start a sustainable bull market

According to Odaily, crypto market analyst and founder of Into The Cryptoverse, Ben Cowen, stated that the crypto market is experiencing an "extinction event" for millions of altcoins, a process necessary for Bitcoin to enter a sustainable bull market cycle. He believes that the "shitcoin purge" has actually been underway since 2021, but a larger-scale clearance is still needed to restore a healthy market structure. Capital is continuously flowing from high-risk tokens to Bitcoin, with the rising BTC dominance rate serving as a clear signal.Data shows that GeckoTerminal tracks over 25 million deployed tokens, with more than 11.6 million projects failing in 2025 alone, primarily due to the burst of the Meme coin bubble. CoinShares researcher Luke Nolan stated that the claim "95% of tokens are worthless" is reasonable.Although Bitcoin has returned above $81,000, Ben Cowen remains cautious, believing that BTC is still in a bear market phase. He warns that if it fails to hold the key resistance level around $88,880, the price could correct to the $58,000-$62,000 range. Against the backdrop of delayed Fed rate cuts and ongoing geopolitical risks, the crypto market continues to face short-term pressure. "2026 is more likely to be a reset year rather than a year for reaching new highs." (CoinDesk)

Analysis: Bitcoin Falls Back Below $81,000 After Failing to Break the 200-Day Moving Average, Historical Trend Sparks Market Caution

Bitcoin briefly approached the key 200-day simple moving average (SMA) around $83,300 on Wednesday but failed to achieve a decisive breakout, subsequently falling back below $81,000. Meanwhile, the broader crypto market weakened, with the CoinDesk Smart Contract Platform Index falling over 2% in the past 24 hours, making it the worst-performing major sector. The 200-day moving average is widely regarded by the market as a key indicator for measuring long-term trends. If BTC can hold above this level, it would further reinforce the market narrative that the bear market, which saw prices fall below $63,000 in February, has ended and a new bull market has begun.However, a similar situation occurred historically in March 2022, when Bitcoin briefly broke above and tested the 200-day moving average before ultimately falling to around $20,000 by June of that year. As a result, some analysts are warning of the risk of a "fakeout."Analytics firm Marex stated that Bitcoin's ability to continue its upward trajectory depends on three factors: sustained spot buying pressure, a continued tightening of exchange supply, and a derivatives market that remains healthy without overheating. If all three factors align positively, Bitcoin could quickly open up the path towards the $85,000 range. Alex Kuptsikevich, Chief Market Analyst at FxPro, noted that this pullback appears more like a brief consolidation within an uptrend rather than an end to the trend. However, he also cautioned that the daily RSI had previously entered overbought territory, and similar instances in the past were accompanied by significant corrections.Additionally, the 10-year US Treasury yield has fallen to 4.32% from its early-month high of 4.46%, which is viewed as a potential positive factor for risk assets. (CoinDesk)

Analysis: Tripartite Signal Convergence—On-Chain Data, Futures, and Options—Suggests BTC May Rally to $85,000

According to CoinDesk, Bitcoin has risen from approximately $63,000 to over $80,000 in the past three months, with multiple key indicators now converging on an $85,000 target. On-chain, BTC has broken above two critical support levels—the “Realized Market Value” ($78,200) and the “Short-Term Holder Cost Basis” ($79,100). Research firm Glassnode notes that the next resistance level lies near the Active Realized Price of $85,200. In the futures market, funding rates have shifted from negative to neutral, signaling a clear retreat of prior large-scale short pressure and rising risk of a short squeeze. In the options market, market makers hold roughly $2 billion in “short gamma” exposure near $82,000; rising prices will compel them to continuously hedge by buying BTC, generating positive feedback. However, analysts caution that Bitcoin remains highly correlated with U.S. tech equities—should equity markets shift toward risk-aversion, upward momentum could be dampened.

Morgan Stanley: It will still take time for Bitcoin to enter U.S. bank balance sheets, but preparations are already underway.

According to CoinDesk, Amy Oldenburg, Head of Digital Asset Strategy at Morgan Stanley, stated at the Bitcoin Conference in Las Vegas that U.S. banks may hold bitcoin on their balance sheets in the future—but the timeline remains uncertain due to guidance from the Federal Reserve, the Basel Accords, and global regulatory requirements. Meanwhile, Morgan Stanley’s recently launched MSBT—the first bank-issued bitcoin ETP—drew over $100 million in inflows within its first six days of listing, all sourced exclusively from self-directed investment channels and not yet made available to financial advisors. Oldenburg noted that slow adoption by the advisor channel stems primarily from an education gap; the bank has initiated internal training programs to address this and is applying for a digital trust charter from the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) to support direct custody of crypto assets and spot crypto trading services.

Analysis: Bitcoin Rises Above $77,000 but Remains Range-Bound

According to CoinDesk, Bitcoin (BTC) edged up slightly on Friday, rising 1.25% to approximately $77,250 since 00:00 UTC, yet it remains range-bound between $75,000 and $80,000 since April 19. Futures funding rates are predominantly negative, indicating traders continue favoring short positions on rallies; Bitcoin futures open interest stands at roughly $19 billion—essentially flat week-on-week—with a 3-month annualized basis of 1.5%. In the options market, sentiment leans bullish: call options accounted for 58% of options volume over the past 24 hours, and demand for downside protection has eased.

21Shares Executive: Bitcoin Could Hit $100,000 This Year as Institutions Accelerate Entry

Adrian Fritz, Chief Investment Officer of 21Shares, stated that spot Bitcoin ETFs continue to attract capital inflows, reinforcing Bitcoin's core position in institutional asset allocation, even as the price remains volatile below the $80,000 mark. Adrian Fritz pointed out that since the beginning of this year, Bitcoin ETFs have absorbed nearly $2 billion in funds, sourced from retail investors, institutions, and hedge funds engaging in arbitrage and options strategies. He believes that as traditional asset management institutions like Morgan Stanley accelerate their deployment, crypto assets are being more broadly incorporated into multi-asset portfolio allocations. Bitcoin's current daily trading volume has exceeded $50 billion, with liquidity levels approaching those of large-cap tech stocks like Nvidia. The ETF mechanism simultaneously provides primary and secondary market liquidity, gradually granting it "institutional-grade asset" attributes.Although the market remains under pressure from macroeconomic conditions and interest rate environments, Adrian Fritz believes that ETF inflows have shifted from being speculation-driven to structural demand. He predicts that driven by factors such as improving geopolitical conditions, sustained capital inflows, and short covering, Bitcoin could challenge the $100,000 threshold this year. Meanwhile, differentiation among altcoins is intensifying, with the market shifting towards an asset selection logic that places greater emphasis on fundamentals and cash flow. (CoinDesk)

Analysis: Bitcoin Spot Trading Volume Hits Lowest Since October 2023, Low Liquidity May Amplify Market Volatility

data shows the daily spot trading volume of Bitcoin has fallen to below $8 billion, the lowest level since October 2023, when the BTC price was still below $40,000. Glassnode points out that since the peak of over $25 billion in early February this year, trading volume has continued to decline. A low-volume environment typically implies reduced market depth, making it more sensitive to capital flow changes.Market depth is usually measured by the cumulative bids and asks within a 2% range of the current price. When depth contracts, a few large orders can significantly drive price movements, meaning market volatility may be amplified. However, the options market does not currently fully reflect this risk. The Volmex BVIV index shows that Bitcoin's 30-day implied volatility has fallen below 42% annualized, hitting a three-month low, indicating that traders are generally betting on continued market stability.Analysis suggests that with market sentiment cautious ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, Bitcoin is currently hovering around $77,800, lacking a clear direction. If the Fed signals a hawkish stance, particularly expressing concerns over rising energy prices and inflation risks, it could prolong the pause in rate cuts or even strengthen expectations of a rate hike, thereby suppressing risk asset performance. (CoinDesk)

U.S. Cryptocurrency Market Structure Bill Faces Roadblocks; Critical Timeline May Be in May

According to CoinDesk, the U.S. cryptocurrency market structure bill—the Clarity Act—has seen no significant public progress over the past month and is not expected to achieve a breakthrough in April. The report notes that if the bill is to pass before the election, May 25—Memorial Day—is viewed as a critical milestone for advancement; after that date, members of Congress will gradually shift into campaign mode, leaving less time for legislative work. At present, it remains unclear whether the Senate Banking Committee will move forward with related hearings. Issues such as stablecoin yields and other outstanding matters have also yet to be publicly resolved. Even if these disagreements are addressed, the House of Representatives would still need to vote on the bill again.

Trump: Will Not Allow Banks to Obstruct Crypto Market Structure Legislation

Odaily Odaily: U.S. President Trump stated at a private event for TRUMP Meme coin holders held at his Mar-a-Lago estate in Florida that the White House will not allow banking lobbying groups to hinder the progress of the crypto market structure bill, the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act. He said the crypto industry has entered the mainstream, declaring "America is the leader in crypto," and that banks should not obstruct the establishment of stablecoin and crypto regulatory frameworks.Dubbed the "most exclusive meeting in the world," the event invited hundreds of large TRUMP coin holders. Guests included Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino, Ark Invest founder Cathie Wood, Anchorage Digital CEO Nathan McCauley, and boxing champion Mike Tyson. Previously, the U.S. banking industry had expressed concerns that stablecoin reward mechanisms could impact traditional deposit businesses, which had slowed the legislative process. (CoinDesk)

Analysis: The Bitcoin winter has ended; this correction is more like a sharp pullback within a bull market.

According to CoinDesk, Michael Saylor, Executive Chairman of Strategy, stated that the Bitcoin winter has ended, as Bitcoin’s price has held above $78,000. Market analyst Mati Greenspan believes the recent market downturn should not be labeled a “crypto winter,” but rather a sharp correction within a broader bull market—and added that Bitcoin has likely already bottomed out, with its next leg up potentially driven by both institutional and sovereign adoption. The report notes that Strategy recently acquired 13,927 additional bitcoins, bringing its total holdings to 780,897 BTC. Greenspan also indicated that sovereign adoption—specifically central banks adding Bitcoin to their reserve assets—could be a key driver in the next phase.

Analysis: Bitcoin's "Quantum Threat" Is Manageable, Potential $145 Billion Sell-Off May Not Be a Systemic Risk

discussions regarding the potential threat of quantum computing to Bitcoin's security have been reignited. Analyst James Check points out that while quantum computing could theoretically crack elliptic curve signatures, its market impact may be overestimated.Data shows that approximately 1.7 million BTC (about $145 billion) are stored in early "Satoshi-era" addresses. If private keys were compromised, this could create potential selling pressure. However, from a market liquidity perspective, this scale is not insurmountable: in a bull market, long-term holders typically sell between 10,000 and 30,000 BTC daily. This means the aforementioned volume is equivalent to 2 to 3 months of routine profit-taking.Additionally, the average monthly exchange inflow is about 850,000 BTC, and the notional trading volume in the derivatives market can cover this amount within just a few days. Historical data shows that during the most recent bear market, over 2.3 million BTC changed hands in a single quarter, far exceeding the scale of the potential "quantum risk," yet it did not trigger a systemic collapse.Analysis suggests that even with a concentrated release, it is more likely to cause periodic volatility rather than a structural shock. Furthermore, entities capable of acquiring such assets are more inclined to adopt strategies like phased selling and hedging to mitigate market impact.Overall, the core issue of the "quantum threat" may not be the selling pressure itself, but rather the governance-level response—such as whether to restrict the movement of assets from affected addresses through a protocol upgrade. (CoinDesk)

Jefferies: KelpDAO Security Incident May Slow Down Wall Street's Blockchain Deployment

Odaily News Wall Street investment bank Jefferies' analysis indicates that the approximately $293 million attack on Kelp DAO on April 18 exposed critical infrastructure risks, which may prompt traditional financial institutions to reassess the pace of blockchain and tokenization advancement.Jefferies believes the attacker triggered market sell-offs and liquidity stress by minting unbacked tokens and borrowing across platforms. The incident is suspected to be potentially linked to the Lazarus Group and also highlights the single point of failure in the validation mechanisms of cross-chain bridges. As institutions accelerate the tokenization of assets (such as funds, bonds, and deposits), related risks may cause some banks and asset management firms to temporarily pause deployments, prioritizing a review of system security. Especially in scenarios reliant on cross-chain infrastructure, security vulnerabilities could lead to market fragmentation, undermining the practical utility of tokenized assets.Despite short-term confidence being shaken, Jefferies still emphasizes that the long-term trend remains unchanged. Against the backdrop of regulatory progress and continuous infrastructure improvement, use cases like stablecoins still hold growth potential. However, the industry as a whole is still in its early development stage and requires time to enhance system robustness. (CoinDesk)