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Coinbase Review of May Outage: AWS Cascading Failures Exposed Architectural Risks

Coinbase has released a post-mortem report on the large-scale service outage that occurred on May 7, 2026. The disruption lasted approximately 8 hours, with full recovery taking about 12 hours. During this period, trading, deposits, withdrawals, and most core services were either unavailable or severely degraded.Coinbase stated that the outage was triggered by the simultaneous failure of multiple chillers in the cooling system of a data center within an Availability Zone (use1-az4) of the AWS us-east-1 region. This led to thermal shutdown protection for server racks, causing EC2 instances and EBS volumes to go offline, and impacting multiple internet services.During the recovery process, Coinbase's trading matching engine lost quorum after its cluster architecture, deployed within a single AWS data center, lost the majority of its nodes. Emergency code adjustments and the formation of new node groups were required to restore operations, with market trading being gradually restarted throughout the recovery.Additionally, the AWS Managed Streaming for Kafka (MSK) service experienced a control plane failure, preventing automatic re-election of partition leaders. This further blocked order books, fee calculations, and parts of the settlement and data streaming systems, expanding the overall impact. After Coinbase and the AWS engineering teams collaborated on manual partition migrations, the system gradually returned to normal.Coinbase indicated that this incident exposed deficiencies in its cross-Availability Zone automatic failover capabilities and the disaster recovery of managed middleware. The company will upgrade its cross-region hot standby architecture, strengthen regular disaster recovery drills, migrate its Kafka systems from a dual-AZ to a triple-AZ deployment, and work jointly with AWS to address root causes and implement improvements.

BlackRock Deposits 929 BTC and 36,449 ETH into Coinbase, Worth Approximately $140 Million

According to on-chain analyst Onchain Lens (@OnchainLens), BlackRock has just deposited 929 BTC (worth $67.5 million) and 36,449 ETH (worth $72.23 million) into Coinbase.

Polymarket“Strategy Likely to Sell Bitcoin Before May 31” Probability Drops to 23%, Down 17% in 24 Hours

Odaily Seer Channel monitoring shows that the probability on Polymarket of “Strategy selling Bitcoin before May 31” has dropped to 23%, a 17% decline in 24 hours.Additionally, the probability of a sale before June 30 stands at 67%, down 6% in 24 hours; the probability before December 31 is 88%, down 3% in 24 hours.Strategy withdrew 411 BTC from Coinbase today, exactly the same amount as the deposit made the previous day, seemingly dispelling rumors of a Bitcoin sale.Odaily Seer Channel continues to monitor prediction markets, observing changes before the price is set.

Strategy transfers 411 BTC back from Coinbase; market remains focused on its next moves

On-chain data shows that Strategy has transferred the 411 BTC previously deposited into Coinbase Prime back to its own address, cooling market speculation about its potential Bitcoin sale.

Strategy repurchases 411 BTC, Polymarket’s probability of selling coins this year still stands at 89%

According to monitoring by crypto analyst Ai Yi (@ai_9684xtpa), Strategy withdrew 411 BTC from Coinbase three hours ago, exactly matching the 411 BTC it transferred to Coinbase the previous day.Ai Yi noted that this move may indicate previous market speculation about Strategy selling Bitcoin was unfounded. However, the probability of the prediction event "Strategy will sell BTC before the end of the year" on Polymarket has not significantly declined, and it currently remains at 89%.

Suspected Dragonfly address transferred 137 million SKY tokens to Coinbase; its holdings’ value has shrunk by over half compared to five years ago

On-chain data shows that an address疑似 belonging to Dragonfly transferred approximately $9.05 million worth of SKY tokens to Coinbase. The related token was formerly MKR, and its holding value has shrunk by over 50% since withdrawal.

HYPE Genesis Whale Suspected of Taking Profits, Accumulated Unrealized Gains Exceed $94 Million

A whale address that participated in the HYPE genesis distribution recently executed large-scale transfers, with some tokens moved to Coinbase; the cumulative profit is estimated to exceed $94 million.

BlackRock Deposits 2,448 BTC and 28,683 ETH into Coinbase, Totaling Approximately $238 Million

According to on-chain analyst Onchain Lens (@OnchainLens), BlackRock deposited 2,448 BTC (approximately $180 million) and 28,683 ETH (approximately $57.62 million) into Coinbase, totaling approximately $238 million.

BlackRock deposited 3,900 BTC and 31,702 ETH into Coinbase, totaling approximately $349 million.

According to on-chain analyst Onchain Lens (@OnchainLens), BlackRock deposited 3,900 BTC (approximately $286 million) and 31,702 ETH (approximately $63 million) into Coinbase, totaling approximately $349 million.

The U.S. government transferred approximately $4.556 million of seized FTX/Alameda funds into Coinbase.

According to on-chain analyst Onchain Lens (@OnchainLens), the U.S. government has transferred approximately $1.9 million worth of assets and 2.656 million DAI—seized from FTX/Alameda—to Coinbase. The transferred assets include UNI, RNDR, SAND, MASK, AXS, and APE.

BlackRock Deposits 2,538 BTC into Coinbase, Worth Approximately $192.53 Million

According to on-chain analyst Onchain Lens (@OnchainLens), BlackRock deposited 2,538 BTC into Coinbase, valued at approximately $192.53 million.

A whale has once again purchased $2.38 million worth of HYPE, while a new wallet has withdrawn $30.93 million in HYPE.

according to Lookonchain monitoring, address 0x3527 has just bought another 40,000 HYPE, valued at approximately $2.38 million.Data shows that this address has accumulated a total of 132,758 HYPE over the past three days, worth approximately $7.96 million.Additionally, a newly created wallet address, 0xBCd5, withdrew 501,250 HYPE from Coinbase Prime 7 hours ago, valued at approximately $30.93 million.

A newly created wallet received 501,250 HYPE tokens from Coinbase, valued at approximately $30.93 million.

According to on-chain analyst Onchain Lens (@OnchainLens), a newly created wallet received 501,250 HYPE tokens from Coinbase, valued at approximately $30.93 million.

FalconX: Hyperliquid is Challenging Traditional Exchanges and Prediction Markets

a report released by FalconX shows that the crypto derivatives platform Hyperliquid is expanding from perpetual contracts to pre-IPO trading, prediction contracts, and tokenized real-world assets, beginning to compete with traditional exchanges and prediction market operators. The report indicates that Hyperliquid's HIP-3 market allows users to trade stocks, commodities, forex, and pre-IPO contracts 24/7, with traders already using it for pre-IPO speculation on companies such as Cerebras, Anthropic, and SpaceX. The HIP-4 outcome market allows traders to place binary bets on political, economic, and crypto events.In terms of capital inflows, the HYPE spot ETFs launched by 21Shares and Bitwise have attracted a combined $53 million in inflows within just a few trading days. Hyperliquid's USDC partnership with Coinbase and Circle is expected to generate up to $160 million in annual protocol revenue. FalconX warns that CME and ICE have expressed concerns to regulators about potential market manipulation risks on the Hyperliquid market. Nevertheless, Hyperliquid continues to lead the decentralized perpetual contract market in terms of trading volume, revenue, and total value locked. (CoinDesk)

Analysis: Crypto Becoming Default Payment Layer for AI Agents, Stablecoin Advantages Highlighted

crypto market maker and investment firm Keyrock has released a new report indicating that as traditional bank card payment systems struggle to meet micro-payment needs, blockchain-based stablecoin payment rails are gradually becoming the default payment layer for AI agents.The report shows that between May 2025 and April 2026, AI agents have completed over 176 million transactions through on-chain infrastructure, settling more than $73 million.The so-called "Agentic Payments" refer to AI software that can autonomously purchase data, computing power, API access, or AI services without requiring human authorization for each individual transaction. For example, an AI trading agent can continuously and automatically buy market data, cloud computing resources, or AI analysis services. Keyrock believes this growth rate may even surpass the early explosive phase of stablecoins.Currently, Coinbase's x402 protocol has emerged as one of the leading crypto-native machine payment solutions, allowing AI agents to directly pay for on-chain data analysis, cloud services, and other resources using USDC, without the need for accounts or subscription systems.Data shows that approximately 76% of AI agent payment amounts fall below the common 30-cent fixed fee threshold of traditional bank cards, with most transactions ranging from just 1 to 10 cents. This makes traditional payment networks unsuitable for machine-to-machine micropayments. In contrast, on chains like Base and Tempo, the settlement cost for stablecoins is "less than one cent."However, regulation may still become a limiting factor for industry growth. The report points out that new regulatory frameworks, including Europe's MiCA, the US's GENIUS Act, and the EU's AI Act, have yet to directly cover critical issues such as autonomous transactions by AI agents, liability attribution, and identity authentication. (CoinDesk)

CryptoQuant Analyst: Bitcoin Has Entered a Risk-Off Phase, ETF Demand Momentum Far Below Last Year's Peak

CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler stated that Bitcoin has lost its structural upward momentum amid a sharp deterioration in the macroeconomic environment. This is a significant signal, suggesting the market is currently more in a "Risk-off" phase. Until its on-chain "Impulse" indicator returns above the zero line, every BTC rebound still lacks confirmation.He pointed out that the recently published fourth part of his "Decision Architecture for Bitcoin" focuses on building a macro framework based on the US Dollar Index (DXY), the 10-year US Treasury yield, and the VIX volatility index. The core argument is that not all macro fluctuations will disrupt the on-chain structure, but when macro factors truly enter "dominant mode," the market may temporarily lose upward momentum even if on-chain data is positive.Additionally, CryptoQuant added a dashboard for US spot Bitcoin ETFs this week, covering data such as weekly net inflows, cumulative flow, 30-day ETF Flow Momentum, demand changes over the past four weeks, and capital distribution among various funds. Currently, the 30-day momentum of the ETF stands at just $362.8 million, whereas this indicator reached a high of $13.21 billion in December 2024 and hit a low of -$5.36 billion in November 2025.Adler emphasized that the Coinbase Premium Index remains a crucial indicator for observing US spot demand. When the index stays consistently above zero, it indicates that US buying is still supporting the market. If it turns negative, even if BTC rises, its upward trend may lack genuine US demand support.

BlackRock Deposits 1,587 BTC and 17,815 ETH into Coinbase, Worth Approximately $160.34 Million

According to on-chain analyst Onchain Lens (@OnchainLens), BlackRock deposited 1,587 BTC—worth approximately $122.55 million—and 17,815 ETH—worth approximately $37.79 million—into Coinbase, for a total value of approximately $160.34 million.

A newly created wallet withdrew 684,934 HYPE tokens from Coinbase over the past two days, valued at approximately $40.7 million.

According to on-chain analyst Onchain Lens (@OnchainLens), over the past two days, a newly created wallet withdrew 684,934 HYPE tokens from Coinbase, valued at approximately $40.7 million. The address is a recently created wallet, and the related transactions occurred within the past two days.

A whale suffered an alleged personal intimidation attack, resulting in losses of $6.7 million

according to monitoring by Specter Analyst, a high-net-worth investor holding significant assets on Kraken and Coinbase exchanges fell victim to an alleged personal intimidation attack, resulting in total losses of approximately $6.7 million across various assets.The attacker withdrew 1,554 ETH (approximately $3.3 million) and 10.5 BTC from the user's Kraken account. Simultaneously, the attacker also breached the user's Coinbase defenses, withdrawing 34.1 cbBTC. Subsequently, the attacker directly deposited over $5.3 million of the stolen funds into the privacy protocol Tornado Cash to obfuscate the transaction trail. (financefeeds)

Multiple whales and institutions have been steadily increasing their HYPE holdings recently

According to Lookonchain monitoring, multiple whales and institutions have been steadily accumulating HYPE recently.Among them, a wallet 0xBED9 associated with Galaxy Digital purchased 158,100 HYPE worth approximately $8.8 million in the past 2 hours.Additionally, a newly created wallet 0x4CBB has withdrawn 536,247 HYPE, worth approximately $29.87 million, from Coinbase over the past two days.