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Analysis: Bitcoin Awaits CPI Catalyst to Return to $84,500; Short-Term Focus on $81,300 Support

Bitfinex Alpha's latest report indicates whether Bitcoin can reclaim the $84,500 level this week will depend on whether US CPI data alters market expectations regarding interest rates and yields, and whether spot market buying follows through. This pullback is similar to previous adjustments during the earlier recovery phase, with no significant sell-off from holders whose cost basis lies within the original trading range. However, spot buying remains the current market's weakest link. The average cost basis for Bitcoin ETF investors is approximately $84,340, and since the current price is below this level, some investors may choose to sell when the rebound approaches their cost basis. Analysis suggests that if this week's core CPI month-on-month increase is 0.2% or lower, it could dampen rate hike expectations and push yields down, creating upside room for BTC; if core CPI reaches 0.3% or higher, it may continue to suppress risk assets. BTC may consolidate in the $81,300–$84,500 range in the short term. If the price breaks through and holds firmly above $84,500 alongside strong ETF fund flows, the market could retest the early-year opening level of $87,722; if it breaks below $81,300 accompanied by persistent capital outflows, it may further decline toward the true market mean level of approximately $77,400.

Analysis: Bitcoin Rebounds Above $83,000, CPI Data May Be the Next Market Catalyst

Odaily News: Bitcoin fell to $80,350 on Thursday before rebounding, climbing back above $83,000 at the Friday U.S. stock market open and subsequently fluctuating around $82,500. The rolling 24-hour cryptocurrency liquidation amount had previously exceeded $1 billion. Despite news circulating that Ledger hardware wallet users' funds were stolen, the crypto market has not yet shown significant selling pressure.Analysts suggest that before the U.S. CPI data is released on October 14, Bitcoin may remain range-bound, with the main trading range between $81,300 and $86,500, and could repeatedly test $84,000. The market is also watching whether Bitcoin can hold the key level of $82,500 before the weekly close. (Cointelegraph)

Analyst: AI Agents Will Be the Next Catalyst for Bitcoin

macro analyst Jordi Visser has stated that AI agents will be the next catalyst for Bitcoin. According to Jordi Visser, AI agents can serve as a bridge to help traditional institutions allocate their $900 trillion in assets into Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies; he is currently focusing on AI and cryptocurrency. (Bitcoin Treasuries)

Standard Chartered Bullish on Bitcoin Hitting $100,000 by Year-End: U.S. Treasury Expanding Bond Buybacks Could Be Key Catalyst

Odaily News – Geoff Kendrick, Head of Digital Assets Research at Standard Chartered Bank, stated that Bitcoin (BTC) could rise to $100,000 by the end of 2026 as the U.S. Treasury expands liquidity support for the long-term bond market.In a recent client report, Kendrick noted that Bitcoin's current key technical resistance level is $65,500. If the price breaks through this level, it could signal that the cyclical low for this market cycle has already formed. He suggested investors begin positioning for a Bitcoin rally to $100,000 by year-end. Kendrick stated that beyond the four-year cycle pattern for Bitcoin, which suggests the market may be nearing a bottom, the U.S. Treasury's recent announcement to expand long-term bond buybacks is also a significant catalyst.The U.S. Treasury plans to raise the cap on buyback operations for 10- to 20-year and 20- to 30-year Treasury bonds from $2 billion to at least $4 billion per operation. The expanded program is scheduled to be implemented from September 9 to November 4. Following the announcement, yields on long-term U.S. Treasuries notably declined, easing the pressure that the significant sell-off in the bond market had placed on financial markets.Kendrick believes the Treasury's expanded bond buybacks represent a "favorable environment for Bitcoin," as Bitcoin has previously benefited multiple times from government liquidity interventions, while its fixed supply mechanism gives it properties that hedge against currency debasement. In the market, Bitcoin rose over 6% on Wednesday, briefly approaching $69,000, marking its highest level since early June. Kendrick has previously been repeatedly bullish on Bitcoin's long-term trajectory, arguing that as global fiscal pressures increase and monetary policy trends toward easing, Bitcoin may enter a new long-term upward cycle. (Cointelegraph)

Six Major VCs Including Sequoia and a16z Sign MOU with South Korea's National Pension Fund to Boost Investment in AI and Other Strategic Industries

According to Korean media Asiae, six top Silicon Valley VC firms, including Sequoia Capital, a16z, Khosla Ventures, Lightspeed Venture Partners, General Catalyst, and NEA, announced the signing of a strategic investment cooperation memorandum of understanding (MOU) with the South Korean National Pension Service (NPS), planning to jointly explore investment opportunities, share investment information, and strengthen their global venture capital layout. Additionally, with the South Korean government accelerating policies to attract overseas venture capital, coupled with the launch of the 200 trillion won "National Growth Fund," the market expects the Korean venture capital sector to see simultaneous inflows of policy funds, private capital, and overseas capital, with strategic industries such as AI and semiconductors expected to receive more investment. However, industry insiders warn that if a large amount of capital concentrates on a few popular enterprises, it may push up corporate valuations and create bubbles, potentially facing valuation correction pressure during future IPO and M&A exits, affecting fund return rates.