News linked to both this project and an event.
According to BIT's weekly "On Target" report, BIT analysts identify two key market catalysts: first, U.S. debt has surpassed the psychological threshold of $40 trillion, and second, U.S. Treasury yields are approaching the critical 5.0% level. Since July 24, Bitcoin has accumulated gains of 22% and gold has risen 9.4%, confirming earlier forecasts. Macro cycle models indicate that the market is currently in the first phase of cyclical reflation, typically accompanied by a weakening U.S. dollar and rising commodity prices. Historical data indicates that during this phase: • Annualized returns for U.S. equities at approximately 29% • Annualized returns for gold at approximately 47% • Annualized returns for Bitcoin at approximately 73% Furthermore, between 2020 and 2026, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of U.S. debt has reached 8.59%, while the CAGR for M2 money supply stands at 6.02%, significantly outpacing the CPI's 4.11%. This sustained accumulation of long-term inflationary pressure further reinforces the allocation rationale for gold and Bitcoin.
According to BIT analysis, the composite institutional capital inflow metric shows that approximately $6.7 billion flowed into the crypto market over the past 30 days. This metric encompasses MicroStrategy purchases, Bitcoin ETF capital flows, and stablecoin issuance. In comparison, June recorded a net outflow of approximately $13 billion, marking a clear reversal in capital flows. BIT stated that the improving trend of capital inflows is currently supporting market momentum, but further acceleration is still required to drive larger gains for Bitcoin.
Odaily News: According to on-chain analyst Ai Yi's monitoring, the bit-affiliated entity that previously held a long position of 120,000 ETH closed 40,000 ETH at $2,513 this morning, realizing a profit of $9.897 million. After the ETH price declined, another address began adding to its position, executing 9,021 ETH, with an open order indicating plans to add another 10,000 ETH. Currently, the three addresses collectively hold 59,000 ETH in long positions, with unrealized gains of $8.73 million.
According to on-chain analyst Ai Yi's monitoring, the Bit-associated entity (0x6c8…d84f6) has taken profits for the first time in four months, reducing its position by 38,000 ETH and realizing a profit of $9.407 million. Currently, four addresses still hold long positions of over 82,000 ETH, with unrealized gains exceeding $20 million.
According to analysis by BIT Official Chinese (@BITofficial_CN), Bitcoin's 7-day implied volatility has fallen below the 30% threshold to 25%, similar to the low volatility period in the summer of 2023. Against the backdrop of relatively low option prices, analysts suggest investors consider the "spot substitution strategy"—selling a portion of Bitcoin spot holdings and replacing them with bull call spreads or directly buying call options, which not only retains upside exposure but also limits the maximum loss to the option premium if prices continue to fall, while the released funds can also generate interest elsewhere.
According to BIT analysts, the major IPO wave continues. Anthropic is currently expected to go public in late September or early October 2026. The trading price of its private secondary market shares has risen to $598, a significant increase from $59 in July 2025 and $162 in August 2025.
According to charts released by independent analyst Markus Thielen on July 27, 2026, the Bitcoin price and Relative Strength Index (RSI) trends show a clear divergence signal. The RSI recently fell to the 30% oversold zone, then rebounded to around the 50% level, while the BTC price also recovered from near the lows to approximately $64,645. Notably, the purple downward trend line in the chart shows that since the June 2025 high (approximately $125,000), BTC has been overall in a downward channel; the current price is still suppressed by this resistance line, and whether it can effectively break through will be key to judging subsequent trends.
BIT analysts stated that one of their views for the coming weeks is that Bitcoin implied volatility could drop below 30% this summer, similar to 2023 and 2025. Should this scenario occur, option premiums could lose approximately 30% of their value solely due to volatility compression. Therefore, although current implied volatility is already near 36%, they still believe there is an opportunity to sell volatility.
According to the weekly market report released by BIT Official, heavy selling in semiconductor and AI stocks on June 23-24 triggered defensive adjustments by institutional capital. BTC fell below $60K on June 24, hitting a low of ~$59,000 (intraday decline of approximately 5%). Approximately $994 million in liquidations occurred during the same period (of which approximately $780 million were long positions). Approximately $1.2 billion in nominal Put positions at the $60K level forced market makers to short, exacerbating the downward trend. As of the weekend, BTC was quoted at ~$59,992, down 6.9% for the week; ETH was quoted at ~$1,578, down 9.3% for the week. In terms of volatility, DVOL only rose slightly (BTC 44.1→45.7, ETH 57.3→59.5), front-end skew tended to stabilize, and convexity returned to normal. The institutional defensive hedging ratio decreased from 29.6% to 19.7%, shifting towards two-way balance, overall showing characteristics of an "orderly decline" rather than panic selling. In terms of ETFs, for the week ending June 26, US spot BTC ETFs saw net outflows of approximately $1.79 billion, marking the second-highest weekly outflow record in history, and have seen net outflows for 7 consecutive weeks; IBIT net assets decreased to approximately $44.4 billion, with average holders having an unrealized loss of approximately 40%. Strategy purchased only 520 BTC this week (approximately $34.9 million), significantly slowing down compared to the previous two weeks. MSTR stock price has fallen below its BTC book value, and the flywheel effect has been affected
According to Hyperinsight monitoring, ETH declined again this morning, briefly approaching $1,500. On Hyperliquid, ETH’s largest long position—held by the “BIT-affiliated whale”—suffered substantial losses across its four addresses, with losses exceeding $10.1 million within the past 24 hours. Its total unrealized loss has now widened to $88.5 million. Given its initial position size of approximately $16.5 million, the loss has exceeded 5.3 times the principal.
according to Lookonchain monitoring, the BIT-linked whale holds 120,000 ETH and 500 BTC in long positions. Due to the recent market downturn, the unrealized losses currently exceed $92.5 million.
BIT's analysis today notes that over the past 30 days, the combined capital flows from stablecoins, Strategy, and Bitcoin ETFs have turned net negative, reaching a record high of $8 billion. This indicates that institutional investors are reducing risk exposure ahead of the summer season.Unlike the Q4 2025 period when inflows only slowed slightly, capital flows have now clearly shifted to net outflows. Without a significant positive catalyst (such as the Fed turning dovish), buy-side recovery could prove challenging.This suggests that Bitcoin's decline from $82,000 to $62,000 may have a greater impact than its previous correction from $102,000 to $82,000. Against a backdrop of limited upside potential, short volatility strategies may still present opportunities.
According to a post by BIT Official analysts, over the past 30 days, combined fund flows into stablecoins, MicroStrategy, and Bitcoin ETFs have turned net outflows—reaching a record $8 billion—indicating that institutional investors are proactively reducing risk exposure ahead of summer. Unlike Q4 2025, when inflows merely stalled, this time fund flows have clearly turned negative. The analysis suggests that without major positive catalysts—such as a dovish pivot by the Federal Reserve—buying pressure is unlikely to recover. The recent BTC price drop—from $82,000 to $62,000—may have a greater impact than the earlier decline from $102,000 to $82,000. With limited upside potential currently, shorting volatility may still present trading opportunities.
According to independent analyst Markus Thielen, Sam Altman’s dual role as co-founder of both OpenAI and Worldcoin has led some capital in the secondary market to view WLD as a highly liquid alternative for speculating on OpenAI’s future IPO. Following SpaceX’s recent listing—whose stock price has remained robust—the market’s attention toward IPOs of AI “star” companies has intensified, prompting some traders to treat WLD as a tradable asset that already reflects this sentiment. On the near-term catalyst front, Eightco Holdings disclosed holding approximately 283 million WLD tokens, representing 8.4% of the circulating supply. Should market expectations around OpenAI’s potential IPO as early as September this year continue to strengthen, WLD’s trading thesis—as a proxy asset—may still have further room for development.
According to Onchain Lens monitoring, a blockchain address associated with BIT has deposited 2.8 million ASTER tokens into Binance, valued at approximately $1.77 million at the current market price.
According to an independent analyst report by Markus Thielen on June 9, just days remain before SpaceX’s IPO, and market expectations continue to intensify. There is currently little indication that SpaceX will raise its expected offering price of $135, suggesting the targeted fundraising amount of $7.5 billion has already been substantially subscribed. Meanwhile, pre-IPO synthetic perpetual contracts tied to SpaceX are trading at $157 on Hyperliquid and $169 on Binance—both significantly above the expected offering price—with implied valuations on both platforms approaching $2 trillion. Although prices have retreated from earlier highs near $200, prediction markets still assign a 68% probability that SpaceX’s valuation will exceed $2 trillion by year-end, reflecting traders’ broad expectation of a strong IPO performance.
BIT Group posted on X platform, stating that with only days remaining until the SpaceX IPO, market expectations are heating up, with a general consensus that the stock is likely to perform well post-listing. Unlike many recent IPOs, there are currently few signs that SpaceX will raise its offering price, indicating that the target fundraising amount of $75 billion has already received fairly sufficient subscription coverage.Meanwhile, SpaceX-related pre-IPO synthetic perpetual contracts are trading at around $157 on Hyperliquid (calculated based on the old 11.9 billion share count) and quoting $169 on Binance, both significantly higher than the expected IPO price of $135. Although prices have fallen from around $200 a few days ago and undergone a repricing, the current implied valuations on both platforms still approach nearly $2 trillion, indicating that traders still anticipate a strong market debut for SpaceX. Prediction markets are also leaning towards optimism, with the current probability of SpaceX's valuation exceeding $2 trillion by the end of the year standing at 68%.
According to BIT’s official Chinese-language account (@BITofficial_CN) market recap, the crypto market as a whole faced pressure last week. BTC declined from approximately $73,400 on June 1 to around $63,100 on Monday this week, with an intraday low of $61,400; ETH also fell in tandem to roughly $1,680. On the funding front, BTC spot ETFs recorded net outflows for 13 consecutive trading days, totaling approximately $4.4 billion in outflows. Compounded by whale selling and concerns over Mt. Gox wallet transfers, short-term selling pressure continued to intensify. As BTC approaches the critical support level of $60,000, the market posted an initial rebound within the past 24 hours. Going forward, key factors to monitor include whether ETF inflows resume, whether the $60,000 support level holds, and how this week’s CPI data impacts risk sentiment.
BIT's weekly market review indicates the crypto market continued its weakness last week. BTC fell from approximately $73,400 on June 1st to around $63,100 on Monday morning this week, dipping to about $61,400 during trading on June 4th. ETH faced similar pressure, dropping to around $1,680.BIT stated that the core factor behind this adjustment remains financial pressure. The BTC spot ETF experienced net outflows for 13 consecutive trading days, totaling approximately $4.4 billion. Meanwhile, whale sell-offs and expectations surrounding the transfer of Mt.Gox-related wallets further exacerbated market selling pressure.The report points out that as BTC approached the key support level of $60,000, the market has seen a preliminary rebound in the past 24 hours. Going forward, key areas to monitor include whether ETF capital continues to flow back, whether the $60,000 support level can hold, and the impact of this week's U.S. CPI data on market risk appetite.
BIT tweeted that Strategy’s buying momentum may weaken. However, despite the market’s current widespread focus on Strategy in the crypto space, two principles remain paramount: “trade with the trend” and “follow the money.” When liquidity reverses, it typically signals a shift in the market environment—making premature bottom-fishing highly risky.