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Wintermute: BTC ETF Records First Net Outflow Since June as Market Awaits Fed Rate Decision

In a write-up by Wintermute OTC trader @Jjay_dm, BTC ETFs recorded a net outflow of $463 million for the week ending September 14, marking the first negative reading since June's lows. ARK and Grayscale alone accounted for combined outflows of $371 million, while BlackRock remained flat. As a result, BTC fell 4.4% for the week to close at $76,838, making it the worst-performing asset, while Ethereum dipped 1.5% and altcoins collectively gained 1.0%. On the macro front, the US August CPI came in at 0.4% month-on-month (core 0.3%), exceeding the expected 0.2%, while the PPI annual rate hit 5.4%, prompting Goldman Sachs to upgrade its September rate outlook from "hold steady" to "increase." The market has now priced in an 87% probability of a 25-basis-point hike on Wednesday. Meanwhile, ongoing escalation in Middle East tensions pushed Brent crude past $105/barrel, and the 10-year US Treasury yield reached a 20-year high. Wintermute stated that following the shift to negative ETF flows, it favors a neutral over a bullish market stance. Two key catalysts this week: ① On Tuesday, the US Senate will hold a procedural vote on the CLARITY Act (Crypto Market Structure Act), which requires 60 votes to pass; ② On Wednesday, the Fed will announce its interest rate decision. While the rate hike itself is already fully priced in, subsequent hawkish commentary (particularly any signals pointing to continued tightening into Q1 2027) could exert downward pressure on the crypto market.

Yesterday, Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded net outflows of $283 million.

According to data from Trader T (@thepfund), Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded a net outflow of $283 million yesterday, including: • ARKB (Ark): Outflow of $164 million, the largest for the day • GBTC (Grayscale): Outflow of $36.38 million • FBTC (Fidelity): Outflow of $33.55 million • IBIT (BlackRock): Outflow of $24.46 million • HODL (VanEck): Outflow of $15.27 million • BITB (Bitwise): Outflow of $12.56 million • MSBT (Morgan Stanley): Slight inflow of $3.98 million, the only one posting net inflows for the day

ARK Invest: Stablecoin Competition Has Entered a "Winner-Takes-All" Phase, With Only Two Companies Likely to Dominate the $100 Billion Market Long-Term

According to a post by Lorenzo Valente, a cryptocurrency analyst at ARK Invest, stablecoins exhibit clear network effects. Although thousands of stablecoins exist in the market, the number of tiers quickly plateaus as the market capitalization threshold rises. What truly warrants attention today are stablecoins with a market cap exceeding $10 billion, steadily progressing toward the $100 billion and $500 billion levels.

Yesterday, Bitcoin spot ETF net outflows reached $120.24 million.

According to data from Trader T (@thepfund), Bitcoin spot ETFs saw a net outflow of $120.24 million yesterday. The details are as follows: • $ARKB (Ark): Outflow of $77.98 million, representing the day's largest outflow • $GBTC (Grayscale): Outflow of $27.22 million • $IBIT (BlackRock): Outflow of $19.53 million • $MSBT (Morgan Stanley): Inflow of $4.49 million, the only net inflow of the day • All other ETFs recorded zero net flow

U.S. Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded a net outflow of $46.64 million yesterday.

According to Trader T data, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded a total net outflow of $46.64 million on September 8. Among them, BlackRock IBIT recorded a net inflow of $10.66 million, Bitwise BITB recorded a net inflow of $14.47 million, ARK ARKB recorded a net inflow of $8.06 million, and Morgan Stanley MSBT recorded a net inflow of $7.41 million; Fidelity FBTC recorded a net outflow of $17.05 million, Invesco BTCO recorded a net outflow of $4.68 million, and Grayscale GBTC recorded a net outflow of $65.51 million. Net flows for all other products were zero on the day.

Cathie Wood re-buys Robinhood after 9-day sell-off, adding $3.5 million position

: Cathie Wood has re-bought Robinhood (HOOD) after a 9-day pause, adding 28,589 shares via the ARK Innovation ETF on September 4, valued at approximately $3.5 million. She had previously sold 25,009 shares on August 26.Robinhood has been performing strongly recently, with its stock price climbing over 30% in the past month. During the same period, Bitcoin rose about 23% and is approaching $80,000. On September 4, Deutsche Bank raised its price target from $115 to $136, maintaining a "Buy" rating, driven by explosive growth in Robinhood Chain fee revenue — daily revenue jumped from under $200,000 in mid-August to over $3 million in early September. Deutsche Bank projects the annualized run rate will exceed $100 million.As of September 4, HOOD has become the seventh-largest holding in the ARK Innovation ETF, with a weight of 4.28%. During the same period, Wood also bought shares of Veracyte, Intellia Therapeutics, and the 3iQ Solana Staking ETF, while reducing positions in Tempus AI and Twist Bioscience.

Yesterday, US bitcoin spot ETFs recorded net inflows of $731 million, the third-highest for the year.

According to data from Trader T, the total net inflow for US spot Bitcoin ETFs on September 3 reached $730.89 million, marking the third-highest single-day net inflow since 2026. Among them, BlackRock IBIT recorded a net inflow of $453.96 million, Ark ARKB saw a net inflow of $137.74 million, Fidelity FBTC had a net inflow of $74.45 million, Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust BTC recorded a net inflow of $48.79 million, and Bitwise BITB saw a net inflow of $24.76 million; meanwhile, VanEck HODL experienced a net outflow of $19.58 million, and WisdomTree BTCW had a net outflow of $5.16 million.

US Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded net inflows of $101 million yesterday.

As tracked by Trader T, US Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded total net inflows of $101.15 million on September 2. Among them, BlackRock IBIT saw net inflows of $115.45 million, Bitwise BITB recorded net inflows of $4.19 million, and Morgan Stanley MSBT had net inflows of $7.30 million; Grayscale GBTC experienced net outflows of $56.21 million. Fidelity FBTC, ARK ARKB, Invesco BTCO, Franklin EZBC, Valkyrie BRRR, VanEck HODL, and WisdomTree BTCW all posted zero net inflows for the day.

Yesterday, Bitcoin spot ETF net inflow reached $242.3 million.

According to data from Trader T (@thepfund), Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded a net inflow of $242.3 million yesterday. BlackRock's $IBIT led with a +$277.6 million inflow, Ark $ARKB saw $29.7 million in inflows, and Bitwise $BITB attracted $21.7 million. Fidelity's $FBTC posted a daily net outflow of $83.6 million, while Grayscale's $GBTC experienced a $27.2 million outflow, serving as the main source of capital withdrawal for the day.

Yesterday, Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded a net inflow of $307.5 million.

According to data from Trader T (@thepfund), Bitcoin spot ETF net inflows reached $307.5 million yesterday, with BlackRock's $IBIT leading at $239.3 million. Fidelity's $FBTC saw $30.19 million in inflows, Grayscale Mini's $BTC $13.62 million, Morgan Stanley's $MSBT $7.73 million, Bitwise's $BITB $9.21 million, Ark's $ARKB $3.07 million, and VanEck's $HODL $4.36 million. Invesco's $BTCO, Franklin's $EZBC, Valkyrie's $BRRR, WisdomTree's $BTCW, and Grayscale's $GBTC all recorded zero net flows on the day.

Yesterday, Bitcoin spot ETF net inflows reached $606.3 million.

According to Trader T (@thepfund), Bitcoin spot ETF net inflows reached $606.3 million yesterday, with BlackRock's $IBIT leading the day at $503.0 million, followed by Fidelity's $FBTC at $64.74 million, Bitwise's $BITB at $26.39 million, ARK's $ARKB at $12.15 million, and Invesco's $BTCO at $3.61 million. VanEck's $HODL posted a slight net outflow of $3.59 million, while inflows for all other products remained zero for the day.

Yesterday, Bitcoin spot ETF net inflows reached $517.2 million.

According to data from Trader T (@thepfund), Bitcoin spot ETF net inflows reached $517.2 million yesterday, marking the highest single-day inflow record in nearly three months. The inflow details for each fund are as follows: • IBIT (BlackRock): +$284.7 million • ARKB (Ark): +$77.71 million • FBTC (Fidelity): +$62.41 million • BITB (Bitwise): +$35.60 million • GBTC (Grayscale): +$21.18 million • BTC (Grayscale Mini): +$19.66 million • MSBT (Morgan Stanley): +$9.98 million • EZBC (Franklin): +$5.92 million Products under Invesco, Valkyrie, VanEck, and WisdomTree all recorded zero net inflows for the day.

ARK Invest made significant purchases of Broadcom and Cloudflare yesterday, while reducing holdings in AMD and Roblox.

According to ARK Invest's official trading notification, multiple ETFs under ARK completed a new round of rebalancing on August 19, showing an overall trend of increasing positions in AI computing power and cloud computing while reducing positions in the genomics and gaming sectors. The specific operations are as follows: On the buying side, ARKK, ARKW, and ARKQ synchronously increased holdings in Broadcom (AVGO) across funds. ARKK and ARKW synchronously bought Cerebras Systems (CBRS) and Cloudflare (NET). ARKF also added positions in Cloudflare and tokenized securities platform Securitize (SECZ), while ARKG bought Ionis Pharmaceuticals (IONS) and Perceptive Capital Solutions (FRNM). On the selling side, AMD (Advanced Micro Devices) was synchronously sold by the three funds ARKW, ARKF, and ARKQ. Roblox (RBLX) was significantly reduced by ARKK by 501,466 shares (accounting for 0.32% of the total ETF holdings). 10X Genomics (TXG) was also jointly reduced by ARKK and ARKG by over 200,000 shares. Palantir (PLTR), Illumina (ILMN), Twist Bioscience (T

Yesterday, total net inflow into Bitcoin spot ETFs was $189.31 million.

According to data from Trader T (@thepfund), the total net inflow for Bitcoin spot ETFs yesterday was $189.31 million. BlackRock $IBIT led with $143.57 million, accounting for approximately 76% of the total inflow for the day. Ark $ARKB had an inflow of $19.73 million, Bitwise $BITB an inflow of $16.15 million, Fidelity $FBTC an inflow of $23.92 million, and Grayscale Mini $BTC an inflow of $2.86 million. VanEck $HODL was the only product with a net outflow for the day, recording an outflow of $16.92 million, while inflows for all other products were zero.

Cathie Wood: Bitcoin's Performance Relative to Gold Is Stabilizing

Odaily News, ARK Invest founder Cathie Wood stated that while the recent U.S. employment report appears concerning on the surface, deeper economic trends are shifting. Productivity gains, the expanding application of AI, and potential deflationary pressures could become the main market themes moving forward.Wood noted that the U.S. federal deficit as a percentage of GDP is currently around 5.6%, approaching levels seen during the Reagan era in the 1980s. She believes that if productivity and technology adoption continue to accelerate as ARK anticipates, that ratio could fall to about 5% by year-end, although most economic forecasters view this target as difficult to achieve.On inflation, Wood believes the market is underestimating deflationary risks. She noted that recent inflation data has consistently come in below expectations, with the June CPI falling 0.4% month-over-month, PPI down 0.3% month-over-month, and core PCE rising just 0.1% month-over-month. She argues that companies that fail to adopt AI and productivity tools may face greater pricing pressure and competitive risks in the future.Wood is also bullish on the U.S. dollar. ARK's data model based on Kalshi prediction markets suggests the dollar index could rise to 102.6 this year. She pushed back against the view that "overseas capital is selling off U.S. assets," pointing out that Japan's recent currency market intervention primarily involved selling euros and buying yen, rather than selling dollars.In energy markets, Wood believes a global crude oil supply glut is taking shape. She noted that the UAE's production has risen to historic highs after leaving OPEC, and further downside in oil prices could act as a deflationary driver for the global economy.Regarding the AI investment boom, Wood said concerns about an AI bubble are overblown, and the current growth in capital expenditure likely represents the early stage of a long-term technological revolution rather than a short-term speculative cycle.In the crypto asset space, Wood said Bitcoin's performance relative to gold is stabilizing, and believes that as the "agentic commerce" economy develops, Bitcoin and stablecoins could become the biggest beneficiaries.

Italy’s largest bank, Intesa Sanpaolo, trims 94% of its IBIT holdings while tripling its staked ETH ETF position

Odaily News - In its Q2 Form 13F filing, Italy’s largest banking group, Intesa Sanpaolo, disclosed a reduction in its BlackRock iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) holdings from 646,809 shares to 40,723 shares, a cut of approximately 94%. As of June 30, the remaining position was valued at $1.36 million.Intesa Sanpaolo also eliminated 99% of its IBIT call options and established a new put position covering 500,000 shares. The bank continues to hold 3.47 million shares of the ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF (ARKB), valued at $67.6 million at quarter-end, and maintains its 712,319-share position in the Grayscale XRP Trust unchanged.The bank increased its holdings in the BlackRock iShares Staked Ethereum Trust ETF from 116,200 shares to 349,600 shares, valued at $7.1 million as of June 30. This staked Ethereum fund holds ETH and passes through approximately 3% to 4% in annual network staking rewards.Intesa Sanpaolo also nearly doubled its position in Bitgo Holdings to 323,000 shares, while trimming Coinbase by 32%, Circle by 10%, and Robinhood by 43%. Additionally, it established a new position in commercial spaceflight company SpaceX with 5.66 million shares, valued at $966 million. (News Bitcoin)

Yesterday, US Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded a net inflow of $244 million.

According to Trader T data, the total net inflow for US spot Bitcoin ETFs yesterday was $244.42 million. Among them, BlackRock IBIT ranked first with a net inflow of $196.83 million; Ark ARKB had a net inflow of $37.63 million, Fidelity FBTC $11.28 million, Bitwise BITB $10.56 million, and Morgan Stanley MSBT $2.79 million.

Yesterday, Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded a net inflow of $211.5 million.

According to monitoring data from Trader T (@thepfund), Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded a net inflow of $211.5 million yesterday. BlackRock's IBIT led with $170.4 million, Fidelity's FBTC saw an inflow of $19.58 million, Ark's ARKB saw an inflow of $9.17 million, Bitwise's BITB saw an inflow of $8.72 million, and Morgan Stanley's MSBT saw an inflow of $3.68 million; products from Invesco, Franklin, Valkyrie, VanEck, WisdomTree, and Grayscale recorded no net inflows on the day.

昨日比特币现货 ETF 净流入 2.3315 亿美元

According to data from Trader T (@thepfund), yesterday's Bitcoin spot ETF net inflow was $233.15 million, a significant increase compared to the previous day (July 29 net inflow of $32.1 million). Among them, BlackRock IBIT led with an inflow of $183.41 million, Bitwise BITB had an inflow of $20.74 million, Fidelity FBTC had an inflow of $15.5 million, Morgan Stanley MSBT had an inflow of $7.42 million, VanEck HODL and Grayscale Mini BTC each had an inflow of $2.29 million, Ark ARKB had an inflow of $1.5 million, and the net inflow for other products was zero for the day.

昨日比特币现货 ETF 净流入 3210 万美元

据 Trader T(@thepfund)数据,昨日比特币现货 ETF 净流入 3210 万美元。分产品来看,贝莱德(BlackRock)旗下 IBIT 净流入 8980 万美元,为当日最大买入方;富达(Fidelity)旗下 FBTC 净流出 4308 万美元;方舟(Ark)旗下 ARKB 净流出 1462 万美元;Bitwise、Invesco、Franklin、Valkyrie、VanEck、Morgan Stanley、WisdomTree及 Grayscale 旗下各产品当日净流量均为零。