Analysts: Bitcoin on-chain loss pressure eases, but trend reversal still awaits confirmation.
According to the morning report published by on-chain analyst Axel Adler Jr., following Bitcoin's rebound to approximately $78,000, the financial pressure on coin holders has significantly eased: Bitcoin's net unrealized loss (NUL) dropped from 18.57% to 7.35% over the past ten days, a decline of roughly 60%. This represents a near 71% decrease from the local peak of 25.21% on June 30, reaching its lowest level since May 11.
Meanwhile, the 90-day realized profit/loss ratio rose to 1.003 on August 26, marking the first time it has returned above 1 since late July. This indicates that, calculated on a 90-day smoothed basis, realized profits have slightly exceeded realized losses. Prior to this, the metric stayed below 1 for 26 consecutive days beginning July 31, touching 0.747 on August 16 when BTC traded around $62,800.
The report notes that on-chain loss pressure has shifted from dominating to improving, but the profit/loss ratio sits only slightly above the critical threshold, insufficient to confirm a trend reversal. Subsequent monitoring should focus on whether this indicator can sustainably hold its ground and advance, as well as whether unrealized losses remain subdued. If the ratio falls back below 1 and unrealized losses rebound, it may signal renewed selling pressure.