UBS
UBS is a multinational investment banking and financial services company established in Switzerland. It has two headquarters in Zurich and Basel. As the world's largest Swiss banking institution, UBS has offices in major financial centres around the globe. It is renowned for its strict policy of client data confidentiality and its culture of bank secrecy.
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BIS Project Agorá Completes $1 Million Tokenized Cross-Border Payment Test
Odaily News The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) stated that Project Agorá has completed a real-value test of tokenized wholesale cross-border payments, with 28 financial institutions and central banks settling approximately 800,000 Swiss francs (around $1 million) across 17 transaction scenarios. The test utilized tokenized central bank reserves and commercial bank deposits, with settlement currencies including the Swiss franc, euro, pound sterling, Japanese yen, Korean won, and US dollar, and an average settlement time of approximately 80 seconds. Participants included the Bank of England, Banque de France, Bank of Japan, Bank of Korea, and Swiss National Bank, as well as commercial banks such as JPMorgan, Citi, Deutsche Bank, BNP Paribas, UBS, Standard Chartered, and Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group. Project Agorá is an initiative launched by the BIS in 2024, aimed at exploring how tokenized commercial bank deposits and central bank reserves can improve wholesale cross-border payments. The BIS stated that the July test was an important milestone, and testing will continue as Project Agorá progresses.
BNP Paribas
Test
摩根大通
UBS: SK Hynix 1.66x P/B Ratio Implies ROE Less Than 20%, Actually Can Earn 40%
According to TechFlow Research, UBS pointed out in its research report on July 29 that SK Hynix's stock price has fallen 52% from its high on June 22, with a current price-to-book ratio of only 1.66x, implying a long-term ROE of 18.9%. However, UBS predicts the average ROE from 2027 to 2031 will reach 40.2%, a difference of 21 percentage points between the two. DRAM bit demand growth is expected to increase from 22% in 2026 to 36% in 2027, HBM capacity will increase from 230,000 wafers/month at the end of 2026 to 270,000 wafers/month at the end of 2027, and SK Hynix will maintain a 48% shipment share in the HBM industry in 2026. UBS believes the market valuation downward revision lacks basis, AI agents are driving accelerated memory demand, 10 long-term agreements have been signed, and although LTAs suppress ASP in the short term, they benefit profit margins in the long term. UBS maintains a Buy rating, lowering the target price from 3.2 million Korean won to 3 million Korean won, expects to launch a share buyback of about 12 trillion Korean won in the second half of 2026, and will use 50% of free cash flow for shareholder returns in the long term.
Aspecta
June
Ratio
BIS-Led Project Agorá Completes Million-Dollar Cross-Border Tokenized Payment Test
According to CoinDesk, Project Agorá, led by the Bank for International Settlements (BIS), recently completed a cross-border payment test with real funds. Participants included 28 commercial banks such as JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup, UBS, Deutsche Bank, and Standard Chartered, as well as five central banks. The test processed approximately $1 million (about 800,000 Swiss francs) in real transactions, covering six currencies: the US dollar, euro, pound sterling, Japanese yen, Swiss franc, and South Korean won. The test utilized tokenized central bank reserves and commercial bank deposits, settling funds on a shared ledger with an average settlement time of about 80 seconds. Unlike traditional cross-border payments that require intermediation by multiple correspondent banks, the platform achieved shared single ownership records and supports synchronized settlement of bilateral foreign exchange, effectively reducing principal risk. The BIS stated that the platform can operate in parallel with existing payment systems, rather than replacing them.
CoinDesk
Test
摩根大通
UBS: Does Not Believe There Is a "Bubble" in China's AI Industry
Xiong Wei, China Internet Industry Analyst at UBS Securities, stated that Chinese cloud vendors have a more prudent investment pace, emphasizing ROI and sustainability, and he does not believe there is a "bubble" in the Chinese AI industry. Meanwhile, as model capabilities continue to improve and inference demand continues to increase, investment in the Chinese AI industry will gradually grow.
Believe
Meanwhile
“Fed Whisperer”: The July FOMC Meeting Becomes One of the Hardest to Predict in Recent Years
Nick Timiraos, the “Fed Whisperer,” stated on July 23 local time that the Fed’s July policy meeting would become the most unpredictable session in recent years. The resurgence in oil prices, increasing risks associated with US tariff policies, and some officials shifting towards supporting rate hikes have challenged the consensus to keep interest rates unchanged.The market widely expects the Fed to maintain the policy rate at the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on July 28-29, keeping the current rate range at 3.50% to 3.75%. However, the outcome of this meeting does not signify an end to internal disagreements, as some officials are already paving the way for further rate hikes later this year.During previous meetings, there was a clear divide among the Fed’s 18 officials over whether a rate hike was needed this year, with half predicting a hike and the other half seeing no need for adjustment. Jonathan Pingle, chief US economist at UBS, stated that Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh could emerge as a key figure in determining the direction of policy.
Market
Open
UBS: Semiconductors Enter Differentiation Phase, AI Crowded Trade Continues
According to Chaoxiang Research, UBS released a SemiBytes Flash Note on July 20, 2026, judging that the semiconductor sector is transitioning from a broad-based rally to a phase of severe divergence, while the AI-themed crowded trade continues. The report covers five core topics. The release of Kimi K3 drives another upgrade in open-source model scale; longer context windows boost demand for HBM and storage, with NVIDIA being the biggest beneficiary. Micron's cumulative free cash flow over the next few years is expected to exceed $400 billion; after the buyback ban is lifted, the theoretical buyback ratio could exceed 40%, which is not yet fully priced in by the market. Divergence within the analog chip sector is intensifying; stocks with higher AI exposure have gained a 42x P/E premium, while valuations for stocks with automotive and industrial exposure remain near historical averages. Position crowding data shows that Lam Research, Broadcom, Seagate, Micron, and AMD remain in a state of extreme long positioning crowding.
based
Divergence
Divergence
NVIDIA
Strategy Bitcoin Banking Adoption Index: Fidelity Leads at 71%, BNY and Goldman Sachs Rank Second and Third
Strategy's newly launched Bitcoin Banking Adoption Index shows Fidelity leading at 71%, followed by BNY at 46% in second place, and Goldman Sachs at 45% in third. JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley, and Citigroup each stand at 43%. The index evaluates the adoption of Bitcoin-related services across trading, custody, digital asset products, financing, and corporate participation among 25 major global institutions, with an overall adoption rate of 32%.The remaining institutions scored between 13% and 38%, with Wells Fargo at 38%, Banco Santander and Société Générale both at 35%, Charles Schwab and TD Bank both at 32%, BNP Paribas, HSBC, Crédit Agricole, and UBS each at 30%, Bank of America, Barclays, and Standard Chartered each at 28%, State Street at 27%, Mizuho and Deutsche Bank both at 22%, MUFG at 18%, Lloyd’s at 17%, and SMBC and Royal Bank of Canada both at 13% (Bitcoin.com News).
Bitcoin
Bitcoin.com
BNP Paribas
Strategy
Street
BlackRock, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan Chase, and 54 other institutions join the UK tokenized financial markets working group
the UK government is accelerating the tokenization of its financial markets. 54 financial institutions, including BlackRock, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan Chase, HSBC, and UBS, have joined the Wholesale Digital Markets Working Group supported by HM Treasury.Backed by the City of London Corporation, the working group will explore real-world tokenization use cases in the UK financial markets over the next year, with an initial focus on tokenised repurchase agreements (tokenised repo).Chris Woolard, the HM Treasury’s lead on wholesale digital markets, stated in a report that the tokenized financial market represents a "network race" and that the UK must move at the fastest possible pace, or risk missing the opportunity to participate in the global digital financial infrastructure buildout. (CoinDesk)
Backed
CoinDesk
Treasury
摩根大通
贝莱德
Swift Teams Up With 17 Global Banks to Launch Blockchain Ledger Pilot, Enabling Round-the-Clock Cross-Border Payments
According to CoinDesk, Swift announced that its blockchain-based shared ledger platform is ready and will launch real-time transaction testing with 17 major banks. Participating institutions include HSBC, UBS, BNP Paribas, Citi, BNY, and Wells Fargo, among others, covering six continents. The platform aims to enable 24/7 cross-border payments through tokenized deposits, allowing banks to transfer funds for customers during nights and weekends, and providing liquidity support before final settlement is completed in existing payment systems. Swift clearly stated that the ledger system is positioned as a complement to existing payment rails, not a replacement.
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BNP Paribas
CoinDesk
Ledger
SpaceX IPO Quiet Period Ends, Wall Street Firms Upgrades Ratings in Rapid Succession
as the 25-day quiet period following SpaceX's (SPCX) June IPO comes to an end, Wall Street analysts have begun releasing formal research reports. Multiple major brokerages have issued favorable ratings, indicating institutional investors remain optimistic about the company's long-term growth potential.As IPO underwriters, both Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley have assigned buy-equivalent ratings to SpaceX. Goldman Sachs analyst Eric Sheridan set a price target of $205, while Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas gave a target of $300. Additionally, institutions such as Bank of America, Citigroup, Deutsche Bank, JPMorgan, and UBS have also initiated coverage with buy or equivalent ratings. Among them, Raymond James Financial provided the most optimistic forecast; analyst Brian Gesuale initiated coverage of SpaceX with a "Strong Buy" rating and a price target as high as $800, believing SpaceX will become "one of the most representative industrial infrastructure companies of the 21st century."Analysis suggests that market optimism towards SpaceX is primarily based on its布局 (layout/foundation) in areas such as rocket launches, Starlink satellite internet, and government contracts. At the same time, the company's communications business can provide a sustainable source of revenue and support future expansion of launch scale.As of March 31, 2026, SpaceX holds 18,712 Bitcoins. Wall Street believes that the concentrated coverage following the end of the IPO quiet period provides a window for institutional investors to conduct their first systematic assessment of SpaceX's valuation. The fact that nearly all major institutions simultaneously issued positive ratings is relatively rare for large-scale IPOs. (CoinDesk)
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Brian
CoinDesk
June
Starlink
Street
Citrini Analyst: UBS Raises DRAM and NAND Price Forecasts
Odaily News, Citrini analyst Jukan posted on platform X, stating that UBS has raised its DRAM and NAND price forecasts. It now expects DRAM prices to rise 32% quarter-over-quarter in Q3 and 18% quarter-over-quarter in Q4; NAND prices are expected to rise 30% quarter-over-quarter in Q3 and 12% quarter-over-quarter in Q4.
Price
UBS Group raises Marvell Technology price target to $340
Odaily Odaily News According to market sources: UBS Group raised its price target for Marvell Technology (MRVL.O) from $230 to $340. (Jin Shi)
Serenity: US AI Companies Lower Inference Costs to Counter the "Model Distillation" Challenge
"White-Haired Stock Guru" Serenity stated that while some observations in the UBS report hold anecdotal truth, the more noteworthy trend is the increasing number of Chinese-language reports regarding the distillation of Anthropic's models. Currently, many US startups and tech companies are opting to use cheaper Chinese models (such as DeepSeek) in their AI applications, as their unit task costs are significantly lower than those of inference models from Gemini, OpenAI, and Anthropic.Serenity believes this trend, driven by capitalism, creates a "typical paradox"—companies naturally gravitate towards lower-cost solutions, thereby eroding the leading advantage of US models. He proposes that the US needs to address this on two fronts:First, build stronger access control and authentication systems, such as "heavy KYC frontier models" for domestic US use and tiered access mechanisms for allies, to reduce the risk of model distillation and misuse. This could also be accompanied by introducing an identity verification system akin to "AI-grade banking authentication" (e.g., biometrics + short-lived permission tokens) to raise the barrier for model calls, and using regulatory measures to restrict account sharing and access resale.Second, enhance the cost efficiency of inference models, allowing them to comprehensively outperform competitors like DeepSeek in both price and performance.Serenity also noted that some high-end models are currently frequently targeted for "distillation exploitation." Ideally, access to models nearing the AGI level should involve increased friction costs. In summary, the core challenge for the US AI industry lies in achieving both "low-cost inference capabilities" and establishing model access security mechanisms comparable to those in the financial system.
Agility
Delysium
Gemini
Inference
Serenity
UBS: Falling Oil Prices Will Ease Pressure on Fed Rate Hikes
Leslie Falconio, currently serving as the head of taxable fixed income strategy at UBS Global Wealth Management, stated that following reports of a deal between the U.S. and Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, which suppressed oil prices and triggered a rally in U.S. Treasuries, the pressure for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates this year is easing.Leslie Falconio pointed out that even before the ceasefire, as oil prices fell, "the two-year yield was still rising because the market was pricing in nearly 100% probability of a rate hike by December 2026." "What is happening now is that oil prices are falling, and the market is stripping out these rate hike expectations. That is why the two-year yield is declining."New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh will chair his first monetary policy decision meeting this week. As surging crude oil prices accelerate inflation, voices within the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) supporting rate hikes this year are growing louder. Leslie Falconio expects the FOMC to formally remove its accommodative bias at this week's meeting, paving the way for a more hawkish outlook. However, she stated that she still expects the next move to be a rate cut, likely in 2027. (Bloomberg)
Market
Open
UBS, HSBC, and Macquarie collectively forecast a bullish outlook for silver’s future price trajectory.
UBS, HSBC, and Macquarie have recently adopted a cautious or bearish stance on silver’s outlook. UBS stated that silver prices have surged approximately 140% in 2025, significantly dampening downstream demand; HSBC views silver as “fundamentally overvalued,” with limited upside potential; Macquarie warned that the U.S. Federal Reserve may hike interest rates again in the first half of 2027, potentially pressuring precious metals such as silver. In terms of market performance, spot silver recently fell over 3.5%, to around USD 71.98 per troy ounce.
Micron and SanDisk surge to record highs in a single day; trading volume for Gate-related stock contracts soars
Odaily News, May 27th – Stimulated by UBS raising its rating and setting the highest target price on Wall Street, the US-listed memory chip sector experienced an epic surge. According to data from the Gate platform, Micron (MUUSDT) skyrocketed 21.40% to an all-time high, now trading at $950.82; SanDisk (SNDKUSDT) jumped 8.15%, currently at $1,633.66. As the focus of the AI hardware market shifts comprehensively towards the memory segment, trading activity in related contracts continues to heat up. According to Coinglass data, Gate's MU 24-hour trading volume reached $19.133 million, an increase of 770.75%; the 24-hour trading volume for SanDisk (SNDK) reached $9.4332 million, an increase of 451.14%, both ranking among the top in the market.Gate is continuously bridging crypto and traditional financial trading scenarios through its unified account system. Users can conveniently trade global mainstream assets such as stocks, metals, forex, indices, and commodities using a single USDT account, thereby enhancing cross-market trading efficiency and capital utilization flexibility. Gate has listed over 130 US stock-related perpetual contract instruments and over 430 CFD contract instruments. It continues to expand its diverse product lines, including spot tokens, perpetual contracts, and on-chain assets, offering 7×24 hour trading to provide users with a more flexible and efficient one-stop global asset trading experience.
Gate
Street
Tether
UBS increases MSTR holdings to 6.31 million shares, with position value of approximately $1.12 billion
UBS Group purchased 551,121 shares of Strategy for $98 million, increasing its total holdings to 6.31 million shares, valued at approximately $1.12 billion. (Bitcoin News)
Bitcoin
Monsterra
Strategy
UBS Group increased its holdings in MSTR by over 550,000 shares, bringing its total position to $1.12 billion.
According to the latest 13F quarterly holdings filing disclosed by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), UBS Group—the largest bank in Switzerland—recently purchased 551,121 shares of MicroStrategy (MSTR) stock, valued at approximately $98 million. The bank currently holds a total of 6.31 million MSTR shares, with a total holdings value of approximately $1.12 billion.
Monsterra
Strategy