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JPMorgan: Probability of Clarity Act Passing This Year Drops to 37%, Some Provisions May Inhibit Institutional Participation

According to The Block, the JPMorgan analyst team (led by Managing Director Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou) released a report on July 30 stating that the probability of the "Clarity Act" (Crypto Market Structure Act) passing in the US Senate within the year has dropped to a historic low. The Kalshi prediction market shows a passing probability of only 37%, while Polymarket is even lower at 26%. Analysts pointed out that disagreements on core issues such as ethical provisions, enforcement standards, stablecoin yields, decentralized finance, and illicit finance remain unresolved. Voting is expected to be difficult to complete before the Senate summer recess, and may be postponed until after senators return in mid-September.

Coinbase will launch US500 Index perpetual futures on August 17

Coinbase Markets announced it will launch US500 Stock Index Perpetual Futures on August 17, providing U.S. traders with leveraged derivatives exposure based on the overall performance of the U.S. large-cap stock market. The product will be available on the Coinbase Derivatives platform.

ENS DAO Proposes Establishment of a Full-Time Operations Foundation, Plans to Allocate 1 Million ENS for Employee Salaries

ENS DAO has published a new proposal on the X platform, aiming to establish a full-time operations foundation and set up a five-person board of directors responsible for managing the endowment fund.According to the proposal, ENS DAO plans to allocate 1 million ENS tokens for the foundation’s employee salaries. Token holders will retain control over the protocol, including ENS held by the DAO, operational wallets, and the authority to appoint and remove foundation directors.

Telegram Founder Durov Listed as "Terrorist" by Russia for Refusing to Comply with Mass Surveillance

Telegram founder and CEO Pavel Durov (@durov) revealed in a post that the Russian government has designated him as a "terrorist" because he refused to comply with Russian demands to implement mass surveillance and content censorship on Telegram. Under relevant Russian laws, Durov is prohibited from "publishing any information on the internet." Durov responded to this by stating: "Russian officials obviously fail to understand who can actually kick whom off the internet."

CFTC Issues Proposed Rule on Regulated Entity Affiliate Relationships, Open for Public Comment for 60 Days

According to the announcement on the CFTC official website, the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) issued a Notice of Proposed Rulemaking (NPRM) on July 30 to solicit public comments on amendments to Parts 37, 38, and 39 of the regulations and sections 1.52 and 1.55, with a comment period of 60 days after publication in the Federal Register. This revision targets the increasingly common affiliations among CFTC-regulated entities, covering market participants including Derivative Clearing Organizations, Designated Contract Markets, Swap Execution Facilities, Futures Commission Merchants, and market makers, with a focus on resolving potential conflicts of interest within vertically integrated market structures. CFTC Chairman Michael S. Selig stated that the proposed rule will establish a principles-based regulatory framework for vertically integrated market structures, maintaining market integrity while avoiding stifling innovative market structures or imposing excessive compliance burdens on registered entities.

"Clarity Act" Legislation Hits Stalemate, Bipartisan Senators Submit New Ethics Compromise Proposal to the White House

According to The Block, bipartisan Senators Thom Tillis (Republican) and Ruben Gallego (Democrat) submitted a new ethics compromise proposal to the White House on Thursday morning local time, attempting to break the deadlock in advancing the Clarity Act cryptocurrency legislation. Currently, there is less than a week left until the Senate recesses on August 7, but the bill still has not obtained the 60 votes required for passage. Democrats insist on adding stricter ethics provisions to constrain the Trump family's crypto interests, including the Meme coins they issued and the World Liberty Financial project in which the family participates, while some Republican senators have objections to the stablecoin interest provisions, worrying that it will divert deposits from traditional banks to the crypto sector. Although the draft leaked last week prohibited public officials and their spouses from issuing digital assets, it did not cover other family members, and included a "sunset clause" expiring in January 2029, which critics believe essentially nullifies the entire ethics provision. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent subsequently blamed the Democrats on X, stating that they "chose political gaming on the verge of a major victory". The Crypto Innovation Committee (CCI) warned that if the bill fails to pass, the US will hand over its global leadership position in the field of crypto regulation.

Earnings provisions or adjustments; CLARITY Act faces banking lobby and some Republican opposition

Odaily Planet Daily reported that Fox Business crypto journalist posted on X, stating that Lummis said Senator Hawley is "very resistant." Hawley did not vote in favor of the GENIUS Act and is not expected to vote for the CLARITY Act either; however, discussions with his office are reportedly still ongoing. Other Republican opposition appears to stem from the banking industry's concerns over the stablecoin earnings provisions in the bill. Fox Business crypto journalist noted that an industry source familiar with the matter said yesterday that, given the banking lobby's pressure and concerns from some Republicans, the earnings provisions in the bill are expected to undergo at least partial adjustments before it goes to a full Senate vote. However, it remains unclear whether these adjustments will be sufficient to satisfy the banking sector.

BIS-Led Project Agorá Completes Million-Dollar Cross-Border Tokenized Payment Test

According to CoinDesk, Project Agorá, led by the Bank for International Settlements (BIS), recently completed a cross-border payment test with real funds. Participants included 28 commercial banks such as JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup, UBS, Deutsche Bank, and Standard Chartered, as well as five central banks. The test processed approximately $1 million (about 800,000 Swiss francs) in real transactions, covering six currencies: the US dollar, euro, pound sterling, Japanese yen, Swiss franc, and South Korean won. The test utilized tokenized central bank reserves and commercial bank deposits, settling funds on a shared ledger with an average settlement time of about 80 seconds. Unlike traditional cross-border payments that require intermediation by multiple correspondent banks, the platform achieved shared single ownership records and supports synchronized settlement of bilateral foreign exchange, effectively reducing principal risk. The BIS stated that the platform can operate in parallel with existing payment systems, rather than replacing them.

Quantum Solutions Sells Another 1,000 ETH, Loses Position as Japan's Largest Corporate ETH Holder

Japanese listed company Quantum Solutions has sold another 1,000 Ethereum, cashing out approximately $1.9 million to support its AI data center expansion. Following this sale, the company has reduced its ETH holdings by nearly 30% since mid-June.According to company documents, Quantum Solutions' subsidiary, GPT Pals Studio, sold this batch of ETH on Thursday at an average price of $1,903. The company expects to record a loss of approximately $100,000 from this transaction. After the sale, Quantum Solutions' remaining ETH holdings amount to approximately 4,765, which is lower than the 4,976 ETH held by Def consulting, thereby losing its position as the largest corporate ETH holder among Japanese listed companies.Quantum Solutions has sold a total of 1,904 ETH in less than two months, accounting for approximately 28.6% of its pre-sale holdings of 6,668.8 ETH. Previously, GPT Pals had sold 904 ETH on June 16, cashing out about $1.6 million.The company acquired the majority of its ETH during the crypto market highs of the fourth quarter of 2025, when ETH prices were in the range of approximately $4,000 to $4,500.

Coinbase to Launch US500 Stock Index Perpetual-Style Futures for U.S. Traders on August 17

Coinbase announced on X that users can now trade the 500 largest companies directly on Coinbase. Its next stock index perpetual-style futures, US500, will be available to U.S. traders on August 17, allowing users to go long or short on the overall large-cap U.S. stock market.

Coinbase falls about 5% in after-hours trading as Q2 results miss expectations

cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase released its second-quarter earnings, which fell short of expectations due to reduced trading activity following a crypto market selloff during the period. Its stock price dropped approximately 5% in after-hours trading, as investors watch whether subscription revenue can offset weaker transaction fees.

BTC holdings increased by 95% year-to-date, Hyperscale Data reports H1 revenue of $80 million

BitcoinTreasuries.NET posted on X that Bitcoin-backed AI data center developer Hyperscale Data GPUS announced H1 2026 revenue of $80 million, up 57% from 2025. The company expects FY 2026 revenue of $200 million. Its BTC holdings have increased by 95% year-to-date, currently totaling 1,006 BTC.

Meta's future leasing obligations reach $278.99 billion, primarily related to AI data centers

Meta disclosed in its quarterly securities filing that it has approximately $278.99 billion in operating and finance leases that have not yet commenced and are not recorded on the balance sheet, primarily related to AI data centers. These leases cover data centers, colocation facilities, and some network infrastructure, with leases scheduled to begin from the remainder of this year through 2036, with terms ranging from over one year to 30 years.This figure represents an increase of about 53% compared to the $182.88 billion in future leasing obligations Meta disclosed in its first-quarter filing three months ago. Meta also disclosed that in July, after the quarter ended, the company added approximately $68 billion in new data center lease commitments, expected to commence in 2027 and 2028, with lease terms of 18 to 20 years.Earlier this month, Meta announced the expansion of its Hyperion AI data center in Louisiana, targeting a computing capacity of 5 gigawatts, with the project's expected cost exceeding $50 billion. During the second-quarter earnings call, Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg stated that a significant portion of the company's computing power will be used to train AI models, power AI agents, and support core business operations.In addition to future leasing obligations, Meta disclosed $349.31 billion in non-cancellable contract commitments, covering both short-term and long-term arrangements. The company stated that these commitments primarily involve third-party cloud capacity arrangements, as well as investments in servers, network infrastructure, data centers, and Reality Labs consumer hardware products. Of this amount, $53.52 billion and $81.65 billion are due in 2026 and 2027, respectively.

Uniswap Launches Aggregation Page, Centrally Showcasing Robinhood Chain Token Issuance Projects

Uniswap announced the launch of a beta Launches tab in its web app to aggregate and display token launch projects based on Uniswap infrastructure. This feature initially supports launch projects on Robinhood Chain and integrates token information from multiple launch platforms. Users can filter and sort by dimensions such as launch platform, 24-hour trading volume, liquidity, listing time, and popularity.

CME CEO: US Perpetual Futures Approval Could Bring Tax Uncertainty

: CME Group Chairman and CEO Terry Duffy stated that the approval of perpetual futures contracts in the United States could expose traders to tax and regulatory uncertainties, as the products may ultimately be classified as swaps rather than futures. Duffy explained that buyers and sellers in perpetual contracts periodically exchange funding rates, a mechanism that aligns with the legal definition of a swap under U.S. law. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) currently categorizes them as futures, and CME is challenging this classification in court. Duffy noted that if perpetual contracts are treated as futures, some institutional traders may qualify for the mixed tax treatment under Section 1256 of the U.S. tax code. If classified as swaps, they may be taxed under ordinary tax rules. The Internal Revenue Service (IRS) has not yet issued specific guidance on the tax treatment of perpetual futures. Legal experts said that perpetual futures are structurally similar to swaps but serve an economic function akin to futures, making the court’s interpretation of the relevant definitions crucial. Even if the litigation clarifies product classification, the IRS may still need to issue separate tax treatment guidance.

韩国金融科技公司 KSNET 将在其支付网络中集成 Solana Pay

Solana tweeted that South Korean fintech company KSNET has signed a memorandum of understanding with the Solana Foundation to integrate Solana Pay into its payment network. The network covers over 330,000 merchants and has a monthly transaction volume of approximately $4 billion.

US spot Ethereum ETFs total net inflows exceed $11.23 billion; Ethereum Foundation undergoes organizational restructuring

During the 11th year of Ethereum, the Ethereum Foundation underwent organizational restructuring, including leadership departures, layoffs, the introduction of a new CROPS mandate, and the spin-off of EthLabs, Ethereum Systems, and Ethereum Institutional as independent entities. The Ethereum Foundation seeks to further decentralize its role within the ecosystem. Concurrently, Ethereum continued to advance its technology and institutional adoption, launching the Fusaka upgrade and attracting participation from Wall Street institutions such as BlackRock and JPMorgan; cumulative inflows into US spot Ethereum ETFs have exceeded $11.23 billion.

Base Co-founder: Base Ecosystem Fund Supports Global Developers; Most Funded Teams Had No Prior Connection to Coinbase

Base co-founder Jesse Pollak posted on X, stating that at the inception of Base, he told the team and Coinbase that they must do everything possible to support developers, as developers will create products that bring the world on-chain. One key approach is the Base Ecosystem Fund, which helps teams succeed by providing funding and deep engagement. Most of the teams supported by the fund had no prior connection to Coinbase, come from all over the world, and are exploring multiple fields, including finance.

Polymarket crypto up/down market settlement to switch to TWAP, adding $1 million in liquidity rewards in August

Odaily Planet Daily reported that Polymarket has announced that, to enhance the manipulation resistance of its cryptocurrency up/down prediction markets, affected markets will transition from single price snapshot settlement to Time-Weighted Average Price (TWAP) settlement starting from 00:00 UTC on August 7. Specifically, the 5-minute markets will adopt a 30-second TWAP, while the 15-minute and 4-hour markets will adopt a 60-second TWAP.Additionally, the platform will provide a total of $1 million in liquidity rewards for the relevant markets throughout August. Chainlink's TWAP testnet data feed is now live, with the mainnet data feed and Polymarket's Real-Time Data Streams (RTDS) scheduled to go live on August 4, 2026.

Meta, Google, and Other Tech Giants Face the Allocation Problem of AI Computing Power for Internal Use vs. Sales

during the company's second-quarter earnings call, Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg stated that Meta currently does not have a business selling computing power to customers, but such offerings are in the plans. He indicated that a significant portion of Meta's computing power will be used for training AI models, supporting agent products, and developing core businesses, while the company also anticipates expanding services to large enterprise clients.Both Google and Meta have slightly raised their capital expenditure expectations for this year. Google stated that related spending could increase further in 2027, while Microsoft maintained its capital expenditure forecast. Google's cash flow turned negative for the first time in the second quarter, and Meta's cash flow decreased by 91% compared to the same period last year.Microsoft CFO Amy Hood noted that customer demand for its cloud business still exceeds available capacity. Google said last week that it will purchase more third-party computing power while building more internal capacity to meet customer needs.Google CEO Sundar Pichai stated that the primary objective for Google in using its self-developed tensor processing units (TPUs) is to ensure the allocation of necessary resources for the development of AGI frontiers. Google is working with partners to deploy TPUs in other data centers to unlock more capacity.