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UBS: Does Not Believe There Is a "Bubble" in China's AI Industry

Xiong Wei, China Internet Industry Analyst at UBS Securities, stated that Chinese cloud vendors have a more prudent investment pace, emphasizing ROI and sustainability, and he does not believe there is a "bubble" in the Chinese AI industry. Meanwhile, as model capabilities continue to improve and inference demand continues to increase, investment in the Chinese AI industry will gradually grow.

Bitcoin Treasury Companies Shift Strategy: Selling BTC, Repaying Debt, and Betting on AI as Stock Plunges Force Strategic Pivot

Odaily News As Bitcoin prices have experienced a significant correction, publicly listed companies that had accumulated large BTC holdings are facing multiple challenges, including falling stock prices, debt pressures, and a deteriorating financing environment. Some of these companies are now starting to sell Bitcoin, repay debts, and even pivot towards artificial intelligence (AI) data center operations.Strategy pioneered the "Digital Asset Treasury (DAT)" model, continuously purchasing Bitcoin through financing and borrowing, inspiring a wave of other listed companies to follow suit. However, as the BTC price has fallen approximately 50% from its peak of around $126,000 in October 2025, the stock prices of related companies have also shrunk significantly, forcing them to reassess their BTC accumulation strategies.This week, shareholders of London-listed company Satsuma Technology approved the liquidation of all 668 BTC, returning capital to shareholders, while proceeding with delisting. Another London-listed company, The Smarter Web Company, sold 178 BTC to repay its convertible debt.Additionally, Sequans Communications has sold 1,025 BTC and further sold nearly 80% of its remaining holdings to repay convertible bonds. The company stated it will not continue purchasing Bitcoin in the future and plans to sell the remaining approximately 658 BTC.Nakamoto's stock price has fallen approximately 99% since its SPAC listing in May 2025. The company recently sold about 284 BTC, raising approximately $20 million for working capital. Of its remaining approximately 5,342 BTC, nearly 70% has been pledged as collateral for loans from Kraken, which market observers believe poses a potential risk event.Meanwhile, Bitcoin mining companies are also adjusting their strategies. Companies like Bitdeer Technologies and MARA Holdings are selling portions of their BTC to repurchase shares, repay debts, and redirect energy resources and computing infrastructure towards AI data center operations.Other companies selling BTC include Empery Digital. Data shows that Strategy has recently sold approximately 3,620 BTC and has authorized further asset sales to maintain its U.S. dollar reserves.However, Strategy remains the world's largest corporate holder of Bitcoin, with holdings exceeding 840,000 BTC. The company's CEO, Michael Saylor, stated that while it may sell some Bitcoin in the future to pay dividends, this does not mean the company is exiting its Bitcoin investment.Beyond asset adjustments, management and capital operations at some Bitcoin treasury companies are also changing. Jack Mallers has stepped down as CEO; and Bitcoin Standard Treasury Company (BSTR), affiliated with Adam Back, failed to complete a proposed merger due to the deteriorating market environment.Analysts believe that with rising financing costs and increased BTC price volatility, the "borrowing to buy Bitcoin" treasury model is undergoing a reshuffle. Some companies are shifting from simply hoard

Analysis: Bitcoin's Supply in Profit Approaches 60%, But Confirming a Bull Market is Still Premature

the overall profitability of the Bitcoin market is improving, but on-chain data suggests it is still insufficient to confirm the start of a new bull market, with the risk of another downturn remaining.Data from CryptoQuant shows that Bitcoin's Supply in Profit has risen to 57.5%. This metric represents the proportion of BTC supply whose current market price is higher than its acquisition cost. It has rebounded significantly from the 2026 low of 46.2% on June 30, now approaching 60%. However, the recovery of the supply in profit still needs sustained validation. Historical cycles indicate that the true end of a bear market typically requires two conditions to be met simultaneously:First, the 30-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of the Long-Term Holder Spent Output Profit Ratio (LTH-SOPR) must consistently remain above 1 and not drop below it for several weeks.Second, Bitcoin's Supply in Profit needs to stabilize above 64%.Analysts point out that this cycle has already seen one "false breakout." Between April 28 and June 1 this year, the average LTH-SOPR stayed above 1 for 35 consecutive days, while the Supply in Profit briefly rose to 67%. However, the market subsequently declined again. Currently, the 30-day SMA of the LTH-SOPR has been below 1 for over 50 consecutive days, remaining a key risk signal for assessing the strength of the market recovery.While the proportion of BTC in profit is improving, the market needs further confirmation regarding long-term holder behavior and changes in the profit structure before determining whether the current rebound will genuinely transition into a new upward cycle. (Cointelegraph)

HBM4 Mass Supply Agreement Nears Finalization, AMD to Finalize Deal with Samsung Electronics

Citrini analyst Jukan posted on X, stating that AMD is close to signing a final agreement with Samsung Electronics for the mass supply of HBM4. AMD CEO Lisa Su indicated during the "AMD Advancing AI 2026" event held in San Francisco on June 23 that the two parties are "almost there." AMD has also announced that its "Helios" AI server rack has entered mass production and is scheduled to begin shipping at the end of the third quarter. Samsung Electronics' foundry business president Han Jin-man and DSA head Cho Sang-yeon attended Lisa Su's keynote speech and continued negotiations with AMD executives on the full-scale launch of HBM4 supply.

A whale has once again opened a 3x long position on Micron, with a current position value of $25.2 million

Odaily Odaily reports, according to Lookonchain monitoring, a trading whale skilled in trading Micron Technology (MU) stock has recently established a leveraged long position again.Data shows that the whale has opened a new 3x leveraged long position on MU, involving 25,961 shares of Micron stock, with a notional value of approximately $25.2 million. Previously, the whale has completed 4 MU long trades, all of which were profitable, with cumulative earnings of around $2.28 million.

昨日以太坊现货 ETF 净流入 2630 万美元

According to data from Trader T (@thepfund), yesterday's Ethereum spot ETF net inflow was $26.3 million, down from the previous day (July 22 net inflow of $72.76 million). Among them, Fidelity $FETH had a net inflow of $14.9 million, making it the largest contributor of the day; BlackRock $ETHA had a net inflow of $8.5 million; BlackRock staked version $ETHB had a net inflow of $2.9 million; Bitwise, 21Shares, Invesco, Franklin, VanEck, and the Grayscale series all saw no capital changes.

昨日比特币现货 ETF 净流出 2.251 亿美元

据 Trader T(@thepfund)数据,昨日比特币现货 ETF 净流出 2.251 亿美元,较前一日(7月 22 日净流入 6898 万美元)大幅逆转。 其中贝莱德 $IBIT 单日流出 2.025 亿美元,占总流出量约九成,为主要拖累;富达 $FBTC、Bitwise $BITB、富兰克林 $EZBC 分别流出 560 万、700 万、560 万美元;WisdomTree $BTCW 流出 510 万美元;方舟 $ARKB 流出 430 万美元;仅摩根士丹利 $MSBT 录得 500 万美元净流入,景顺、Valkyrie、VanEck 及灰度系列均无资金变动。

2028 could be the earliest window for Japan's first spot Bitcoin ETF listing

Odaily News Japanese regulators are advancing adjustments to the legal framework for digital asset investments, with spot Bitcoin ETFs potentially receiving approval for listing as early as 2028. However, the timeline remains subject to progress in regulation, product review, and tax reform. On July 15, Japan's Diet approved the transfer of Bitcoin and approximately 105 other crypto assets from the framework of the Payment Services Act to the Financial Instruments and Exchange Act, removing a major legal barrier for related funds to list on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. Major Japanese financial groups such as SBI Holdings and Nomura are preparing digital asset products. Japan also plans to adjust the crypto asset tax system from a miscellaneous income tax of up to 55% to a separate self-assessment tax rate of approximately 20.315%.

Analysis: Long-term Bitcoin holders (5+ years) have recently been moving BTC frequently, with single-day UTXO changes exceeding 5,000 coins

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost noted a significant increase in on-chain activity among the oldest cohort of Bitcoin holders recently. Data shows that BTC holder groups with holding periods of 5 to 7 years and 7 to 10 years have seen their daily UTXO (Unspent Transaction Output) movements exceed 5,000 BTC on multiple occasions.Darkfost pointed out that spending UTXOs does not necessarily mean selling. Long-term holders typically move Bitcoin for two main reasons: first, for security purposes, such as transferring UTXOs from an original address when changing wallet addresses; second, to sell assets. However, based on current on-chain data, no significant flow of funds to exchanges has been observed, so there is currently no indication that these long-term holders are engaging in large-scale selling of BTC.It is worth noting that this behavior is occurring as Bitcoin again tests the $60,000 level, a situation similar to market movements observed between February and March this year. The market will continue to monitor whether the activity of long-term holders will further impact the BTC supply and demand dynamics.

Bitcoin Selling Pressure Easing? Realized Losses Drop 56% from Peak, but Demand Recovery Remains Weak

According to Odaily, CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler stated that the current bear market phase for Bitcoin has seen the highest level of realized losses among holders. The 30-day moving average (30DMA) of realized losses peaked at $1.37 billion in February 2026, 19% higher than the $1.15 billion peak during the 2022 cycle. Data shows that since the February peak, Bitcoin realized losses have dropped by 56.5% to approximately $597 million. Meanwhile, the scale of realized profits has only slowly recovered to $257 million. Axel Adler pointed out that loss-driven selling pressure has significantly weakened, but the market has not yet seen sustained demand recovery, with the decline in losses still outpacing the recovery in profits.From a historical cycle comparison, realized losses reached $1.37 billion on February 20, 2026, a new all-time high for this metric. The highest realized loss in the 2022 cycle was $1.15 billion, recorded on June 30, 2022. In terms of realized profits, as of July 23, Bitcoin's realized profit 30DMA stood at $257 million, down 92.7% from the peak of $3.51 billion recorded on December 10, 2024. It is also down 77.7% from the level on October 6, 2025, when Bitcoin hit its all-time high of $124,710. This metric bottomed out at $191 million on June 14, 2026, and has since recovered by 34.7%.Axel Adler stated that profit-driven selling pressure has dropped significantly, and the volume of coins being sold for profit is currently at a low level for this cycle. However, this does not mean that sellers have been completely exhausted, nor does it imply that market demand has recovered. If realized profits consistently rise above the $400 million to $500 million range, it would better confirm a sustained market improvement.Additionally, the Bitcoin realized profit/loss ratio has recovered from a low of 0.26 in June to 0.43, but remains below the 1.0 level. The analyst noted that while the absolute scale of realized losses in the current cycle exceeds that of 2022, the relative market pressure is still lower than in 2022. Since Bitcoin's all-time high, realized losses have exceeded realized profits on 190 out of the past 291 days. Axel Adler cautioned that if the profit/loss ratio breaks below 0.26 again, accompanied by a price drop below the cycle low of $58,535 established on June 30, it could signal further escalation of market pressure.

A trader's HYPE long position, held for 287 days with 5x leverage, is worth $80.71 million with $27.34 million in unrealized profit.

Odaily Odaily reports, according to Onchain Lens monitoring, a trader has held a long position of 1.38 million HYPE for 287 days, currently valued at $80.71 million with unrealized profit of $27.34 million. The trader has added 4.5 million USDC as margin, including 2 million USDC deposited yesterday and 2.5 million USDC deposited on July 17. The entry price was $38.67, the mark price is $58.49, the liquidation price is $52.368, and leverage is 5x.

On-chain trader loracle.hl's 104,848 $CL long positions were fully liquidated, resulting in a loss of approximately $680,000.

According to monitoring by on-chain analysis platform Lookonchain (@lookonchain), due to a recent sharp rise in crude oil prices, the 104,848 $CL long positions (approximately $9.68 million) held by on-chain trader loracle.hl (@loraclexyz) were all liquidated, resulting in a loss of approximately $680,000. However, the trader did not cut losses and exit, but immediately reversed to open short positions. They currently hold 33,500 $CL (approximately $3.07 million) in short positions, continuing to bet on falling oil prices.

Drift hacker transferred 23,000 ETH into Tornado Cash, worth approximately $44.4 million

According to on-chain analyst PeckShield (@PeckShieldAlert), the address labeled "Drift Exploiter" has deposited 23,095.1 ETH (approximately $44.4 million) into Tornado Cash for mixing, and additionally transferred 0.85 ETH to Bybit.

Injective Native INJ Listed on Coinbase, Trading and Deposit/Withdrawal Now Supported

Injective has announced on X platform that native INJ has officially been listed on Coinbase, the largest cryptocurrency exchange in the United States. Coinbase users can now trade INJ and directly transfer INJ into the Injective ecosystem via deposit and withdrawal features.

KULRTech Abandons Bitcoin Treasury Strategy, Accumulated Losses Approximately $22.62 Million

According to monitoring by on-chain analyst Yu Jin (@EmberCN), BTC treasury company @KULRTech transferred another 145.8 BTC (approximately $9.45 million) to Coinbase Prime 5 hours ago. After multiple position reductions over nearly 3 months, its originally held 1,021 BTC (approximately $101 million) now remains at only 100 BTC (approximately $6.47 million). The company's average BTC reserve price was $98,923, while the average selling price was only $74,368, resulting in an accumulated loss of approximately $22.62 million. Currently, its official website's Bitcoin treasury page has been taken offline, and its official social media has not mentioned Bitcoin-related content for a long time; it is widely believed that the company has abandoned its Bitcoin treasury strategy.

Morgan Stanley Analyst Turns Bearish on Storage, Citrini Analyst Suggests It May Be a Factor in KOSPI's Pullback

: Citrini analyst Jukan stated on the X platform that a Morgan Stanley research report circulating in the market shows that analyst Shawn Kim has turned bearish on the memory chip industry. The report suggests that NAND module manufacturers' inventory has risen to about 13 weeks, with demand clearly cooling. It expects NAND price growth to slow to about 5% in the fourth quarter, with spot prices having fallen for two consecutive months. Meanwhile, Changxin Memory Technologies (CXMT) is rapidly expanding production capacity, and supply and demand are gradually balancing. The report also indicates that if the NAND market weakens, DRAM should also be viewed bearishly, and it predicts that the HBM market growth rate will be limited to about 40%.Jukan stated that he has verified the authenticity of the report with sources and noted that Shawn Kim has consistently held similar views recently, which could be one of the reasons for the recent sustained pullback in South Korea's KOSPI index.

Greeks.live: Bitcoin and Ethereum Options with $1.43 Billion Notional Value Expire and Settle Today

According to options expiry data released by [email protected] (@BTC__options), a total of 19,000 BTC options expired this week, with a Put Call Ratio of 0.89, Max Pain at $64,500, and a notional value of $1.2 billion; 125,000 ETH options expired, with a Put Call Ratio of 1.25, Max Pain at $1,875, and a notional value of $230 million. In terms of market conditions, BTC briefly broke through 66K this week but failed to hold. The 65K to 80K range is a high-volume trading zone from the early year's rally, indicating significant upside pressure. Overall IV has retreated to the 35% level, leaving fewer trading opportunities. Notably, the ETH put option ratio has exceeded 1 for 6 consecutive weeks, the longest duration on record, indicating sustained high bearish sentiment in the market. However, some traders are also taking the opportunity to sell Puts to buy the dip. Cryptocurrencies have experienced an 8-month bear market. From a cyclical perspective, the second half of the year may see a certain rebound.

Faraji Aide Cottrell Exposed for Taking $9 Million on Polymarket and Betting on Trump Election

According to Protos, George Cottrell, an aide to UK Reform Party leader Nigel Farage who was previously convicted of wire fraud, had his Polymarket account (username "GCottrell93") receive a total of $8.8 million in funds in October 2024—$7 million of which came from an OKX exchange wallet (in five transactions), and another $1.83 million from a ChangeNOW wallet. These funds were subsequently used to bet on Trump winning the US election, with approximately $13 million in winnings ultimately transferred to an OKX wallet and $282,000 to ChangeNOW.

After holding for 10 years, MakerDAO initial team/investor address swaps 1,050 MKR for 1.316 million USDC

According to on-chain analyst Yu Jin's monitoring, the MakerDAO initial team/investor address (claim address 0x74B...F0E, sell address 0xE26...7dc) sold 1,050 MKR that had been held for 10 years 20 minutes ago, swapping them for 1.316 million USDC and transferring the funds to Kraken. This address claimed the 1,050 MKR in April 2016. Since then, aside from the MKR token upgrade migration in 2018, the relevant MKR had remained unmoved.

Futurum Analyst: SpaceX’s Full Bet on Starship Could Create a Rocket Launch Capacity Gap, Benefiting RKLB

In response to the news that “SpaceX will stop accepting new commercial orders for the Falcon 9,” Futurum Equities Chief Market Strategist Shay Boloor stated that if Starship fails to achieve successful commercialization by 2028, this shift could create a significant gap in rocket launch capabilities, potentially benefiting second-tier launch service providers such as Rocket Lab (RKLB).This morning, sources revealed that SpaceX has begun declining exclusive commercial launch orders for the Falcon 9 scheduled after 2028, and has suspended accepting new reservations for its Rideshare program, in order to accelerate the transition to Starship.