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Bitcoin option implied volatility drops to low levels; analysts suggest it may signal significant price swings

Murphy stated Bitcoin option implied volatility is currently extremely low, with a 1-week IV of 33% and a 1-month IV of 34%, both below the historical range of 40%, potentially signaling significant price swings. According to Murphy’s statistics, similar situations have occurred twice in the past year: in early January, after IV fell below 40%, BTC dropped from $97,000 to $62,000 within 15 days; in late April, after IV fell below 40%, BTC dropped from $82,000 to $60,000 within 14 days; and after June 15, BTC dropped from $66,000 to $58,000. Murphy pointed out that low IV is related to market consensus, the accumulation of volatility arbitrage funds, and the short gamma mechanism of market makers, which may amplify the impact of unexpected events, and reminded contract traders to be prepared.

火币大咖讲堂第五期今晚开播:HTX Research 负责人 Andy Liu 前瞻 2026年 Q3 加密市场

据官方社媒消息,HTX Research 负责人兼首席分析师 Andy Liu 将于今日 19:00(UTC+8)做客火币大咖讲堂第五期。本期活动以“2026年 Q3 季度前瞻:流动性定义加密市场”为主题,Andy 将围绕“全球流动性重定价下的加密市场新秩序”,深入解析全球宏观流动性变化、Q3 加密市场核心交易逻辑、机构资金配置方向及重点赛道机会,帮助投资者把握新一轮市场周期中的关键变量。

Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron have halted in-house CXL controller development, shifting to outsourcing.

Citrini analyst jukan posted on X, stating that the world's top three memory chip manufacturers have stopped developing in-house Compute Express Link (CXL) controllers, turning instead to chips designed by external fabless companies.Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, and Micron have all scaled back or canceled their plans to commercialize CXL expansion device controllers. Micron has taken the lead in stopping its self-developed controller R&D and adopted PrimeMass's solution. SK Hynix has also informed key partners of the termination of its internal CXL controller development project and reassigned relevant personnel to the processing-in-memory (PIM) direction. Samsung Electronics is only using its self-developed CXL controller internally within the R&D team for research purposes, and reportedly procures controllers for its external products from fabless suppliers. Industry insiders indicate that Samsung has removed its self-developed controller from its formal commercialization projects, retaining it only for cutting-edge R&D initiatives.

AVE All-Terminal Access to Hyperliquid Trading with Promotional Event, Total Prize Pool $12,000

AVE has now fully integrated Hyperliquid on-chain contract trading across its mobile app, TG Bot, and PC client, providing users with a more convenient and multi-scenario on-chain contract trading experience.On the occasion of this feature upgrade, AVE is launching the "AVE x Hyperliquid Contract Upgrade Benefits" event, inviting all users to actively participate and share in rewards of up to 12,000U.Event Period: July 16, 2026, 18:00 – July 26, 2026, 23:59 (UTC+8)Two Core Rewards:Open Orders to Share Up to 4,000UUsers who deposit and have a cumulative margin of at least 20 USDT for opening positions will share a 2,000U prize pool. If the number of eligible users exceeds 500, the prize pool doubles to 4,000U.Trading Leaderboard to Share Up to 8,000UUsers with a cumulative trading volume of 20,000U are eligible to participate in the ranking. The top 100 will share the prize pool according to the rules. The base prize pool is 3,000U, increasing with the total trading volume of the event, up to a maximum of 8,000U.Eligible trades will be automatically included in the statistics. Both rewards can be earned simultaneously.Welcome all users to participate in Hyperliquid on-chain contract trading. Trade more, earn more rewards, and collectively unlock a bigger prize pool.Note: This event is subject to the final interpretation rights of Ave.ai. All trading records are uploaded to the blockchain in real-time, ensuring the ranking data is tamper-proof.

Abraxas Capital Transfers $18 Million Worth of Assets to CEX

据 Onchain Lens 监测,Abraxas Capital 已向中心化交易所转入总价值约 1800 万美元的资产。其中,向币安转入 1000 万枚 USDT 及 1000 枚 XAUt,合计约 1400 万美元;另向 Bitfinex 转入 1000 枚 XAUt,价值约 400 万美元。

Abraxas Capital Transfers $14 Million in Assets to Binance and Bitfinex

Odaily News: According to Onchain Lens monitoring, Abraxas Capital transferred $14 million worth of assets to Binance and Bitfinex. Among them, 10 million USDT and 500 XAUT (approximately $2 million) were transferred to Binance, while 500 XAUT (approximately $2 million) were transferred to Bitfinex.

Bank of America: Bull-Bear Indicator Rises to 9.6 Extreme Zone, Recommends Retreat or Rotation

According to Bank of America Securities' July 17 Flow Report, the BofA Bull & Bear Indicator rose from 9.4 to 9.6, further entering extreme bullish territory; historically, an indicator reading above 8.0 is a sell signal. Semiconductor ETFs have recorded year-to-date inflows of $46 billion, accounting for 31% of AUM, while tech funds saw record inflows of $48 billion over the past three weeks. However, the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index has fallen approximately 20% from its June highs, indicating a significant divergence between flows and prices. BofA believes the current market has entered a "topping" zone and recommends reducing equity exposure, retreating or rotating into duration, defensive sectors, high dividends, and the US dollar. The report also notes that investors' extreme optimism is built on three fragile assumptions: an economic "no-landing," the Fed will not raise rates, and hyperscalers will not cut AI capital expenditure—all three of which could be broken. BofA provides specific observation anchors: retreat if the Mag 7 Index (MAGS) falls below 65, while a breakthrough above 70 is the signal to re-enter.

ChangXin Memory whale places $8.32 million sell order, order size exceeds CXMT single-day trading volume

According to Hyperinsight monitoring, the CXMT mark price on Hyperliquid is quoted at $6.7274, down approximately 6.97% from the previous day, reaching a low of $6.62, with a 24-hour trading volume of approximately $6.837 million. As CXMT retreats, the largest short seller, a whale with an address starting with 0xf292, continues to maintain large-scale limit orders to add short positions on rebounds at higher levels.

Analysis: South Korea's semiconductor industry's net profit next year may reach 1,019 trillion won

: Kim Byung-yeon, a director of the Research Division of the Investment Strategy Department at NH Investment & Securities, stated at a meeting with a visiting delegation of journalists and analysts held at the Korea Exchange headquarters in Seoul on July 20, that the current Korean stock market has already reflected concerns over a semiconductor peak, geopolitical anxieties, and supply-demand disruptions, making the decline excessive.NH Investment & Securities sets the lower range of the Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) at 5,800 to 6,250 points and believes the index is more likely to rebound to the low-to-mid 7,000-point range after a sharp price correction, before stabilizing according to the cloud revenue growth rate and capital expenditure plans of major US technology companies.Kim Byung-yeon stated that attention should be paid to the absolute level of semiconductor exports rather than the export growth rate. The institution estimates that the net profit of the semiconductor industry will increase from 217 trillion won last year to 759 trillion won this year and 1,019 trillion won next year, with a net profit growth rate of 34% next year.

$107 Million BTC Longs Reduce Positions to Take Profit, Set Break-Even Stop-Loss for Remaining Holdings

According to Hyperinsight monitoring, the largest long holder, who previously held BTC long positions worth $107 million, has started to reduce positions and take profits, and has placed break-even stop-loss orders for the remaining positions close to the entry cost.

Circle President emphasizes "long-term stock price" while cashing out over $30 million, never adding positions

Odaily Odaily News: Last week, Circle President Heath Tarbert addressed doubts regarding CRCL's stock price falling from $260 to $62 in an interview. Heath Tarbert stated at the time that the company is focused on long-term development, and if it can achieve its mission of building a full-stack internet platform infrastructure, the stock price will reflect its value in the long run.However, Circle Form 4 filings show that since his first sale of CRCL in June 2025, Heath Tarbert has sold CRCL 10 times in total, cashing out approximately $30.77 million, without ever making any purchases to increase his holdings.

Blockworks: There are currently about 250 active liquid funds in the industry

Odaily Planet Daily reported that well-known trader Ansem asked data providers such as Blockworks on X: "Has anyone counted how many liquid funds there are in the crypto space and how large their assets under management (AUM) are?"Blockworks co-founder Jason Yanowitz replied: "I guess there are about 800 globally. I have 470 on my list (there were 1500 back in early 2022), but there might be another 40%-50% of funds that haven't disclosed information. For now, about 250 are active, but most have very small AUM, like small funds managed by two founders with maybe just $10 million in assets... Most of the AUM is actually concentrated in a handful of funds."

After 5 years of dormancy, a whale moved 700 BTC worth $45.3 million

according to Onchain Lens monitoring, a whale transferred 700 BTC after 5 years of dormancy. These BTC were initially purchased at a cost of $22.34 million and are currently worth $45.3 million. Among them, 2.319 BTC were transferred to bc1qqqrfuqp8879fljsm424xnukp4eyz2vfl93tma2, and 697.68 BTC were transferred to bc1q7rcz46kk53t8c9re76anmdvsy5szc53aceh798.

Ansem bought PUMP, then 0xbf73 opened a 10x long position on 764 million PUMP

Odaily reports, according to Lookonchain monitoring, after Ansem (@blknoiz06) spent 1500 SOL (worth $115,000) to buy PUMP, trader 0xbf73 opened a 10x long position on 764 million PUMP, worth $1.53 million. The liquidation price is $0.0016194.

Binance Will Stop Supporting Moonriver (MOVR) and Moonbeam (GLMR) Mainnet

According to the official announcement, Binance will cease support for deposit and withdrawal services on the Moonriver (MOVR) and Moonbeam (GLMR) mainnets at 19:00 (UTC+8) on July 21, 2026, and enable deposits and withdrawals for the above tokens via the Base network. Please ensure you allow sufficient time before this deadline to ensure deposits are successfully completed.

ZHIPU plunged over 17% in a short time; major longs with losses nearing 300% of principal are still adding positions to average down.

According to Hyperinsight monitoring, Zhipu (ZHIPU) on Hyperliquid plunged before the Hong Kong stock market opening. Within about 1 hour, it fell to a low of $120.7, a decline of about 17%; the decline continued during the Hong Kong stock market trading session.

Account drawdown of 49.4%, US stock call king with 4,502.45% return over 26 years discloses drawdown ratio

, on-chain analyst Ai Yi posted on platform X stating that Serenity (@aleabitoreddit), the US stock call king who achieved a return rate as high as 4,502.45% over 26 years, disclosed his account drawdown ratio. Since the stocks he holds are mostly in areas facing AI bottlenecks and restrictions, primarily small-cap stocks including AXTI, SIVE, AAOI, etc., this decline has had a direct impact on his account, resulting in a drawdown of 49.4%, nearly halved from the peak. Ai Yi stated that considering Serenity's relatively early entry point, it is likely only a narrowing of profits at present. Furthermore, Serenity mentioned that he can tolerate higher volatility and predicts that his income turning point will come in the second half of 2027.

Aurora 主网或已宕机

据链上分析师 Onchain Lens(@OnchainLens)监测,Aurora(@auroraisnear)主网自今日北京时间 10:16:11 起出现停机,目前仍处于不可用状态。

SK Hynix Sharp Rise and Fall Traps 3 New Whales; Latest Chaser Only $60 Away from Liquidation

According to Hyperinsight monitoring, SK Hynix (SKHX) on Hyperliquid surged and plunged sharply after opening this morning. It opened at $1,168.1, reached a high of $1,270.1 within half an hour, a gain of approximately 8.7%; it then quickly retreated, dipping to a low of $1,185.3 at 9:55, down approximately 6.7% from the high.

Analyst: Stablecoin Reserve Decline Signals Liquidity Contraction, Bitcoin Breakout Still Lacks Funding Support

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost posted on X platform, pointing out that Bitcoin has been oscillating around the key support level of $60,000 for nearly 165 days, failing to hold firm and reignite upward momentum. One core reason is the market's lack of new liquidity. Over the past 30 days, the net outflow of stablecoin reserves from Binance and Bybit has approached $2.3 billion. New demand, whether flowing into Bitcoin or the entire crypto market, remains weak. Since the beginning of this year, stablecoin reserves on exchanges have continued to decline. This rather pessimistic market sentiment continues to restrict the funding support needed for Bitcoin to break out of its current consolidation range.However, as regulatory measures like the GENIUS Act require stablecoins to improve compliance, the decentralized nature of the stablecoin ecosystem may be weakened. In the long term, Bitcoin's decentralized characteristics could thereby become more prominent.