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QCP: BTC Enters Range-Bound Trading, Funding Rate Remains Low, and Volatility Continues to Contract

According to QCP Capital’s market report, as the geopolitical risk premium gradually subsided last week, market sentiment turned cautious, and investors’ attention has refocused on policy direction, the interest-rate path, and the economic growth outlook. Equities have been trading near recent highs but lack momentum for an upside breakout. The Federal Reserve’s FOMC decision is due today. A pause in rate hikes is now the baseline market expectation; however, with no new CPI or employment data released since the prior meeting, markets are highly sensitive to Chair Powell’s commentary—any hawkish signal could swiftly reprice front-end rates and tighten financial conditions. Meanwhile, growing attention is turning to potential leadership changes at the Fed. Kevin Warsh has gained increasing traction in market forecasts. His hawkish stance on inflation and skepticism toward quantitative easing stand in marked contrast to current policy approaches. Should he assume leadership, liquidity-driven assets—including crypto—could face pressure, given crypto markets’ particular sensitivity to rising real yields and a stronger U.S. dollar. Regarding Bitcoin: after a strong performance in April—supported by ETF inflows and sustained institutional accumulation—the price has entered a range-bound phase. Funding rates remain subdued, volatility continues to narrow, and the broader market is in a wait-and-see mode. QCP believes Bitcoin’s next directional move will hinge more on Fed signals and macroeconomic data than on crypto-native flows. Additionally, the upcoming tech earnings season, alongside releases of the PCE and GDP price indices, will further test the validity of the “soft landing” narrative.

A whale deposited $2 million into HyperLiquid to open a 3x short position on Brent crude oil.

According to on-chain analyst Onchain Lens (@OnchainLens), a whale address deposited $2 million worth of USDC into HyperLiquid and opened a short position of 80,000 contracts on BRENTOIL with 3x leverage, betting on a decline in crude oil prices.

Bitget will list AIGENSYN spot trading

Bitget will list Gensyn (AIGENSYN) in the AI zone. The deposit channel is now open, and the trading channel will open at 19:00 (UTC+8) today.

A wallet associated with Fenbushi Capital withdrew 3,063 ETH from Aave and deposited it into Binance, generating an unrealized profit of approximately $969,000.

According to on-chain analytics platform Lookonchain (@lookonchain), the wallet address 0x859D—associated with Fenbushi Capital—withdrawed 3,063 ETH (approximately $7.13 million) from Aave and immediately deposited them into Binance. These ETH were withdrawn from Binance one month ago at an average price of $2,017; the current unrealized profit is approximately $969,000.

A major whale疑似 liquidated 3,700 ETH; profit over two months approx. $1.328 million

According to on-chain analyst Ai Aunt (@ai9684xtpa), the address 0xfda…39f26 deposited 3,418 $ETH to Binance one hour ago, worth approximately $7.98 million. Combined with a previous deposit recorded on April 26, if both deposits represent sell orders, this address will have fully liquidated its position, with an average deposit price of approximately $2,332. The address initially accumulated 3,700 $ETH at an average price of $1,973 in February. Over two months, this yielded a return of approximately 18.2%, generating an estimated profit of $1.328 million.

Suspected Bitmine-related address purchases $103 million worth of ETH

According to Arkham monitoring, two newly created whale addresses collectively purchased $103.16 million worth of ETH; their buying pattern closely matches Bitmine’s historical purchase records, suggesting a possible link to Tom Lee.

The whale associated with Matrixport has a floating profit of nearly $2 million on its long ETH position

According to HyperBot data, the total open position value of the perpetual contract held by the whale associated with Matrixport has reached $81,379,845, with a total account net value of $40,076,832. From this morning to noon, the price of ETH continued to rise, and the floating profit on this address has reached $2 million.It currently holds 35,000 ETH, with a position value of approximately $81.38 million. The average entry price is $2,269, the current mark price is $2,325, and the estimated liquidation price for this position is $1,204.

Polymarket's "Powell says 'Good Afternoon' at April Press Conference" probability hits 98%, trading volume exceeds $57,000

According to monitoring by the Odaily Seer Prophecy Channel, in the Polymarket prediction event regarding "What will Powell say at the April press conference," the probability of purchasing "Good Afternoon" has risen to 98.3%. As the transaction price is close to 98.3¢, the total trading volume for this event currently stands at $57,749.In related context, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell is about to hold the April monetary policy press conference. As his term is set to expire in mid-next month, this press conference is viewed as a final act of his career. Based on historical precedent, Powell habitually greets the media with "good afternoon" at the start of each press conference. Although the market is currently under pressure from a high-interest-rate environment, bettors have shown extremely high consensus in predicting this customary phrasing.The Odaily Seer Prophecy Channel continues to monitor the prediction market, observing changes before prices are set.

Yesterday, Bitcoin spot ETFs saw a net outflow of $89.65 million.

According to data from Trader T (@thepfund), on April 28, Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded a net outflow of $89.65 million. BlackRock’s IBIT led with an outflow of $112.22 million, followed by Bitwise’s BITB with an outflow of $13.65 million, and Fidelity’s FBTC with an outflow of $4.98 million. Ark’s ARKB recorded a net inflow of $41.20 million, while all other products remained flat.

Yesterday, Ethereum spot ETFs saw a net outflow of $21.8 million.

According to data from Trader T (@thepfund), on April 28, Ethereum spot ETFs recorded a net outflow of $21.8 million: BlackRock’s ETHA led with an outflow of $13.17 million, Grayscale’s ETHE followed with $6.91 million, and Fidelity’s FETH saw an outflow of $1.72 million; all other products remained flat.

Ethereum spot ETFs saw a total net outflow of $21.8019 million yesterday, with BlackRock's ETHA leading at $13.1697 million net outflow

according to SoSoValue data, yesterday (Eastern Time April 28) Ethereum spot ETFs recorded a total net outflow of $21.8019 million.The Ethereum spot ETF with the largest single-day net outflow yesterday was Blackrock's ETF ETHA, with a single-day net outflow of $13.1697 million. Currently, ETHA's historical total net outflow has reached $55.642 million.The next was Grayscale's Ethereum Trust ETF ETHE, with a single-day net outflow of $6.9149 million. Presently, ETHE's historical total net outflow has reached $5.254 billion.As of press time, the total net asset value of Ethereum spot ETFs stands at $13.571 billion, with an ETF net asset ratio (market cap relative to Ethereum's total market cap) of 4.9%, and the historical cumulative net inflow has reached $12.026 billion.

Bitcoin spot ETFs saw total net outflows of $89.6754 million yesterday, with BlackRock's IBIT leading at $112 million in net outflows

According to SoSoValue data, as of yesterday (Eastern Time, April 28), Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded total net outflows of $89.6754 million.The Bitcoin spot ETF with the highest single-day net inflow was the ARKB ETF from Ark Invest and 21Shares, with a net inflow of $41.2021 million. Currently, the historical total net inflow for ARKB stands at $1.608 billion.The Bitcoin spot ETF with the largest single-day net outflow was BlackRock's IBIT ETF, with a net outflow of $112 million. As of now, IBIT's historical total net inflow is $78.118 million.As of press time, the total net asset value of Bitcoin spot ETFs is $100.390 billion, with the ETF net asset ratio (market cap relative to Bitcoin's total market cap) at 6.56%. The historical cumulative net inflow has reached $58.211 billion.

A whale deposited SOL withdrawn from Kraken 11 months ago into Binance, facing an unrealized loss of $17.62 million

According to Onchain Lens monitoring, a whale deposited 211,694 SOL into Binance today, worth $177,700. The whale withdrew 200,010 SOL from Kraken 11 months ago, when it was worth $353,900. Based on current prices, the whale is facing a loss of $17.62 million.

Prediction Market ETFs May Launch Next Week, with Initial Products Focused on U.S. Congressional Election Results

James Seyffart, ETF analyst at Bloomberg, announced in a post that prediction market ETFs are expected to officially launch next week. Roundhill’s related application documents have been submitted, with an effective date set for May 5. The first batch of prediction market ETFs will be based on election outcomes regarding whether the U.S. House of Representatives or Senate will be controlled by the Democratic or Republican Party.

Binance Will Support the Rootstock Infrastructure Framework (RIF) Network Upgrade and Hard Fork

According to the official announcement, Binance will support the RIF Network upgrade and hard fork. Deposits and withdrawals of tokens on the Rootstock Infrastructure Framework (RIF) network will be suspended starting at 17:00 on May 4, 2026. The network upgrade and hard fork will occur at block height 8,804,200, approximately at 18:00 on May 4, 2026. Once the upgraded network stabilizes, deposits and withdrawals of tokens on this network will resume.

Bitget CandyBomb: Trade BTC, ETH, and more to unlock 110,000 BLEND airdrop tokens

Bitget has launched a new edition of CandyBomb with a total prize pool of 111,111 BLEND tokens. New users can earn up to 1,111 BLEND tokens per person by completing tasks such as net deposits and futures trading. Detailed rules have been published on the official Bitget platform. Eligible users must click the “Join Now” button to register in order to participate. The participation period ends on May 5 at 18:00 (UTC+8).

A wallet疑似 linked to Bitmine has received a total of 45,000 ETH from BitGo and FalconX, with a total value exceeding $100 million.

According to on-chain analyst Onchain Lens (@OnchainLens), another newly created on-chain wallet received 20,000 $ETH (approximately $45.85 million) from FalconX; this wallet is suspected to belong to Bitmine. So far, newly created wallets suspected to be affiliated with Bitmine have collectively received 45,000 $ETH from BitGo and FalconX, with a total value of approximately $103 million.

On-chain whale liquidates ASTEROID holdings and shifts funds to SCAN, incurring $86,800 loss overnight

According to on-chain analyst Ai Aunt (@ai 9684xtpa), the Solana address JBhVo…MBYiv, after liquidating its $ASTEROID holdings for a profit, shifted funds into $SCAN and ultimately incurred a loss of $86,800—erasing all prior gains. Previously, this address held 52.8 million $ASTEROID tokens. Five hours ago, it fully sold them at an average price of $0.00306, with an average cost basis of $0.00148, generating cumulative profits of approximately $83,700. After liquidating $ASTEROID, the address accumulated $SCAN in multiple tranches, investing a total of $135,000 at an average cost of $0.00856. However, its final purchase occurred just before Elon Musk un-pinned the related tweet; roughly thirty minutes later, $SCAN’s price plunged sharply. The address immediately exited its position to cut losses, resulting in a $86,800 loss—fully wiping out its earlier $ASTEROID profits.

A whale deposited all 10 million ASTER tokens withdrawn from Binance into Aster.

According to on-chain analyst Onchain Lens (@OnchainLens), a whale that previously withdrew 10 million $ASTER (approximately $6.7 million) from Binance has deposited all of these tokens into the decentralized exchange Aster DEX.

Alchemix yvVault Users Attacked Due to Unauthorized Approvals, Suffering ~$1M in Losses

According to on-chain analyst PeckShield (@PeckShieldAlert), a user’s Alchemix Yearn yvVault position (token $yvWETH) was attacked, resulting in an estimated loss of approximately $1 million. The root cause of the attack lies in the user’s prior approval grant to an unverified contract (contract address: 0x143a), deployed 10 days ago. Reverse-engineering analysis revealed that this contract contains a vulnerability enabling arbitrary call execution. Exploiting this vulnerability, the attacker successfully transferred the victim’s yvVault position. PeckShield has now publicly disclosed the specific logic of this vulnerability. Users are advised to review and revoke token approvals granted to unknown or unverified contracts to mitigate asset risks.